Premier League Week 10: Expert Betting Tips by Luke Andrews

by , 26 October 2023

An exciting weekend awaits Premier League betting enthusiasts, featuring a lineup of must-see matches. The weekend starts with an intriguing Friday night clash between Tottenham, the unexpected league leaders, and Crystal Palace. Saturday’s spotlight is on London, with Chelsea facing Brentford and Arsenal taking on Sheffield United. On Sunday, the betting action moves up North, as Liverpool squares off against Nottingham Forest and Manchester United goes head-to-head with Manchester City.

Premier League Betting – Week 10 – Luke's Premier League Tips

Premier League – Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur

The stats tell a tale of mixed fortunes regarding Crystal Palace’s home form. With only four matches under their belt, they’ve clinched victory in just one—a win rate of a mere 25%. Their attack has been underwhelming, failing to score in 75% of these fixtures. But don’t write them off defensively—half of these games ended with their net untouched.

On the goal front, the Eagles are averaging 1.5 goals per match. Intriguingly, they’ve got a balanced sheet, netting and conceding 0.75 goals each. If you are looking for a goal fest, you might look elsewhere, as only a quarter of their matches have exceeded the 1.5, 2.5, or even 3.5 goal mark. Finally, their points per game sits at a modest 1.25.

Regarding Tottenham, they have been on the road for five games and are turning heads with a solid 60%-win rate. If you’re looking for a team that packs a punch upfront, Spurs are your go-to. They’ve found the back of the net in every away match— a 100% scoring record.

Defensively, they’re not too shabby, either. They’ve shut out the opposition in 40% of these clashes. And if you’re into the thrill of both teams scoring, that’s happened in 60% of their games.

Tottenham’s games are a goal bonanza, averaging a sky-high 3.6 goals per match. They’re netting 2.4 themselves and letting in 1.2. Over 1.5 goals? That’s happened in 80% of their matches. Over 2.5 and 3.5? You’re looking at a 60% rate for both.

The current league leaders are picking up a stellar 2.2 points per game. So, if you’re eyeing an away game bet, Tottenham’s stats are screaming ‘winner.’

Betting Predictions:

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur – Tottenham to Win

Surprising pundits and fans alike, Tottenham is on a 3-match winning streak and has not lost a single game this season. As a result, they lead in the Premier League table with 23 points from 9 games. Away from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, their form is strong, with an average of 2.2 points per game.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur – Over 2.5 Total Goals

33% of Crystal Palace’s matches and 60% of Tottenham’s away matches have had over 2.5 goals. Tottenham has an average of 2.4 goals scored per away game.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur – Both Teams to Score

25% of Crystal Palace’s home matches and 60% of Tottenham’s away matches have seen both teams score. Tottenham has scored in each of their last five away matches.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur – Tottenham to Score in Both Halves

Tottenham has a 100% scoring rate in away matches and has scored in both halves in 60% of those games.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur – Over 8.5 Total Corners

Crystal Palace averages 7.5 total corners in home matches, and Tottenham averages 10.8 in away matches. 50% of Crystal Palace’s home matches and 80% of Tottenham’s away matches have had over 8.5 total corners.

Premier League – Chelsea v Brentford

Chelsea’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with three wins, three draws, and two losses in their last eight league games. Notably, they drew 2:2 against Arsenal on October 21 and defeated Burnley 4:1 on October 7. However, in the game with Arsenal, they blew a two-goal lead and only took a point from a game from which they should have taken three.

They average 1.33 points per game overall and 1.00 at home. They are in 10th place with 12 points from 9 games but have improved after a rough start, as evidenced by their 11 points in the form table over the last eight games.

They face Brentford, who have also had a varied run, with two wins, four draws, and two losses in their last eight league games. Their most recent game was a 3:0 win against Burnley on October 21. They have an average of 1.11 points per game overall and 1.00 away. They are behind Chelsea, in 14th place with 10 points from 9 games. Brentford are in 13th place with 9 points.

Betting Predictions:

Chelsea v Brentford – Both Teams to Score

Chelsea and Brentford have a high scoring rate in their respective home and away matches. Chelsea has a 60% scoring rate at home, and Brentford has a 75% scoring rate away.

Chelsea v Brentford – Over 2.5 Total Goals

67% of Brentford’s matches had over 2.5 goals scored in total. Chelsea has a 44% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals. The average total goals for Chelsea at home is 2.20, and for Brentford away is 2.25.

Chelsea v Brentford – Chelsea to Score First

Chelsea has scored first in 40% of their home matches, while Brentford has conceded first in 25% of their away matches.

Chelsea v Brentford – Total Corners Over 9.5

Chelsea averages 10.00 total corners in home matches, and Brentford averages 11.25 in away matches. Both teams have a high percentage of matches going over 9.5 total corners.

Chelsea v Brentford – Draw at Half-Time

Chelsea has had a 40% match rate of 0-0 or 1-1 at half-time at home. Brentford has had a 50% rate of matches being 0-0 or 0-1 at half-time away.

Premier League – Arsenal v Sheffield United

Arsenal has been in solid form recently. Their latest match against Chelsea ended in a 2:2 draw, which would feel like a victory as they fought back from two-nil down against their bitter local rivals. Before that, they had a string of wins and draws, including a 1:0 win against Manchester City and a 4:0 thrashing of Bournemouth. Arsenal has an impressive points per game figure of 2.33 overall and 2.20 playing at home.

Currently, Arsenal sits in 3rd place in the league with 21 points from nine games, tied with Manchester City and just 2 points behind the leaders, Tottenham. Arsenal has played five games at home, winning three and drawing two, with no losses.

Sheffield United is struggling, with their most recent match ending in a 1:2 loss against Manchester United. In fairness to the Yorkshire side, they matched the Red Devils for most of the game, and Cameron Archer forced United goalkeeper Andre Onana into two decent first-half saves.

Their recent form has been poor, marked by just one draw and several losses. Sheffield United has a dismal points per game of 0.11 overall and has not secured any points away from home. Sheffield United is at the bottom of the league table, with just one point from 9 games. Sheffield United has played four games and lost all of them on the road.

Betting Predictions:

Arsenal vs Sheffield United – Arsenal to Triumph

Arsenal is enjoying a stellar run, remaining unbeaten in their last nine fixtures with a tally of six victories and three stalemates. On the flip side, Sheffield United has suffered five consecutive losses and is yet to secure a win this campaign. Additionally, Arsenal’s home form is commendable, boasting three wins and two draws in five outings.

Arsenal vs Sheffield United – Over 2.5 Aggregate Goals

In Arsenal’s games, 67% have seen more than 2.5 goals, while for Sheffield United, the figure is even higher at 78%. This bet seems entirely rational, given both teams’ propensity for high-scoring affairs.

Arsenal vs Sheffield United – Arsenal to Net in Both Halves

Arsenal has a perfect 100% scoring rate in their home matches and has managed to find the net in both halves in 40% of those games. On the other hand, Sheffield United has conceded in 100% of their away fixtures. Given Arsenal’s potent attack, they will likely score in both halves.

Arsenal vs Sheffield United – Both Sides to Score

Despite Arsenal’s robust defensive setup, they have let in goals in 80% of their home games. Despite their lacklustre form, Sheffield United has managed to score in 75% of their away matches. This stat makes a “both teams to score” wager quite feasible, and bet365 is offering odds of 6/5 for both teams to get on the scoreboard.

Arsenal vs Sheffield United – Over 9.5 Total Corners

Arsenal averages 8.80 corners in their favour and 3.40 against when playing at home, while Sheffield United averages 4.25 for and a staggering 9.25 against in their away games. The statistics indicate a high probability of a match abundant in corners.

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest

Liverpool has been in excellent form recently, having secured a 2-0 win in their latest match against Everton. However, they rode their luck as they should have been reduced to ten men after the referee sent off Ashley Young for two yellow cards. Konate, who had already been booked, was fortunate not to join Young in the changing room, and Klopp quickly substituted him.

Their recent matches also include a 2:2 draw against Brighton and a 2:1 loss to Tottenham. However, their recent form has more wins than losses or draws. Liverpool has an impressive 100% record when playing at home and an overall points per game of 2.22. In a very congested Premier League table, Liverpool sits in 4th place in the league with 20 points from nine games, just three points behind the league leaders, Tottenham. Liverpool has played four games at home, winning all four with no draws or losses.

Nottingham Forest has had mixed results recently, with their latest match against Luton Town ending in a 2:2 draw, a 0:0 draw against Crystal Palace, a 1:1 draw against Brentford, and a 2:0 loss against Manchester City. Forest’s most memorable result came on the first day of the season, beating Chelsea 1-0 at Stamford Bridge. Nottingham Forest has a points per game average of 0.80 when playing away and an overall average of 1.11, indicating that they perform better at the City Ground than on the road.

Betting Predictions:

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest – Liverpool to Win

Liverpool has a strong home record with four wins in four matches, while Nottingham Forest has only one win in five away matches. Liverpool also has a higher points per game total at home (3.00) than Nottingham Forest’s away points per game (0.80).

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest – Over 2.5 Total Goals

Liverpool’s average total goals at home is 3.25, and Nottingham Forest’s average total goals away is 2.20. Both are above the 2.5 mark, making this a likely outcome.

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest – Both Teams to Score

Liverpool has a conceding rate of 50% at home, and Nottingham Forest has a scoring rate of 60% away. The stats suggest that both teams are likely to score.

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest – Liverpool to Score in Both Halves

Liverpool has a 75% scoring rate in both halves when playing at home. Nottingham Forest has a conceding rate of 60% away, making it likely that Liverpool will score in both halves.

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest – Over 9.5 Total Corners

Liverpool averages 9.00 corners at home, and Nottingham Forest averages 7.00 corners away. The total average corners for both teams is well above 9.5.

Manchester United v Manchester City

This game is a fixture that many Manchester United fans will have been dreading, as the Red Devils have been inconsistent.

Once a fortress, Old Trafford has been the venue for three defeats in eight games across all competitions, including a shocking 2-3 defeat by Galatasaray in the Champions League. Their victories have come against teams they were expected to beat—such as Wolves, Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace, Brentford, and Copenhagen. However, in most of these wins, except for the game against Palace, they were fortunate to come away with the three points.

What might offer a glimmer of hope to Manchester United fans is that their ‘noisy neighbours,’ Manchester City, have also been struggling, particularly on the road, losing four out of their nine away games. These losses include matches against Arsenal in the Community Shield, as well as Newcastle, Wolves, and Arsenal in the league.

In the league table, Manchester United is in 8th place with 15 points, trailing Manchester City, who are in 2nd place, by six points. Manchester United has won two of its last four games, matching City’s record in their last four away fixtures.

Manchester United vs Manchester City – Both Sides to Net Goals

Both squads boast an 80% rate in both scoring and conceding goals. Furthermore, in 60% of their clashes, each side has scored. Given their offensive firepower and defensive frailties, it’s probable that both will hit the target.

Manchester United vs Manchester City – Over 2.5 Aggregate Goals

In 67% of Manchester City’s games, more than 2.5 goals have been tallied, while for Manchester United, the figure stands at 56%. This wager appears credible, considering the attacking talents on both sides and their current form.

Manchester United vs Manchester City – Manchester City to Emerge Victorious

Currently, Manchester City sits higher in the league rankings and boasts a superior points per game average. They’ve also clinched victories in six out of their last eight Premier League outings.

Given their current momentum and statistical edge, they are the more likely side to secure a win.

Manchester United vs Manchester City – Over 8.5 Total Corners

Both teams register a high average of corners per match (Manchester United at 8.80 and Manchester City at 7.60). All of Manchester United’s home games and 80% of Manchester City’s away fixtures have seen more than 8.5 corners in total.

Manchester United vs Manchester City – Stalemate at Half-Time

Manchester United has found themselves trailing at the interval in 80% of their home games, whereas Manchester City has been ahead at the half in just 20% of their away fixtures. Given these statistics, a draw at half-time seems a likely scenario.

Erling Haaland scored two goals in midweek and many Premier League betting fans will fancy him to at least repeat that feat in this fixture. The PFA player of the year is priced at 5.75/1 to score two and 22/1 to claim the match ball.

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