Premier League Week 35: Expert Betting Tips by Luke Andrews

by Luke Andrews, 26 April 2024

As the Premier League season approaches its climax, the stakes couldn’t be higher in match week thirty-five. With the battle against relegation heating up and the race for European spots intensifying, every game now carries the weight of a season-defining moment. This weekend promises to be thrilling as teams at both ends of the table fight for crucial points. Join our resident sports expert, Luke Andrews, as he previews five key fixtures poised to shake up the league standings.

Liverpool was on course for a treble and had seen their dream fade away in a week. They have to win every match, beginning at the London Stadium against West Ham, to keep pressure on Arsenal, who play Tottenham and Manchester City, who travel to Nottingham on Sunday. All these games will be followed closely by Premier League betting fans.

Manchester United must build momentum for the FA Cup final against Manchester City and European qualification as they welcome Burnley to Old Trafford.

Newcastle and Sheffield United understand a draw is not enough, and a win is the only result that will savour the Magpies in contention for a top-seven finish or postpone the Blades’ impending relegation.

Everton and Brentford feel safe with a comfortable cushion between them and the red zone, and whoever wins this encounter will almost certainly guarantee survival.

Chelsea, having missed out on Europe last season, are determined to make a late gasp for a top-four finish against an on-form Aston Villa, who are eyeing a top-four finish to feature in the Champions League. It will be interesting to see who has the desire to prevail and secure a fighting chance to accomplish their season objectives.

Premier League Betting – West Ham vs Liverpool

The early kick-off for match week thirty-five will be West Ham against Liverpool. Both sides are recovering from a sudden end to their European journeys followed by a demoralising domestic defeat, Hammers losing 5-2 to Crystal Palace while Liverpool lost 2-0 to Everton.

David Moyes now eyes a top-seven finish, having played a game more than seventh-placed Newcastle, and still two points behind them means there will be no room for error when they welcome title-chasing Liverpool.

The London Stadium has been their fortress with just two defeats in their last eighteen games (eight wins, eight draws), which should be a relief following their poor run of form of one win in the previous seven games (three draws, three defeats).

However, Liverpool has been a formidable opponent, losing the last thirteen head-to-head games against them (one win, one draw).

George Earthy is ruled out of tomorrow’s game for West Ham due to a head/face injury. Konstantinos Mavropanos, Nayef Aguerd, and Jarrod Bowen are all still being assessed with a 50% chance of playing following respective injuries and issues. Their participation remains uncertain.

West Ham will likely play a 4-2-3-1 with Antonio leading the line. The Jamaican scored in his last two appearances, the 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen and the shock 5-2 defeat to Crystal Palace.

“Two weeks ago, I would have backed Liverpool to win these game easily, but Liverpool’s drop in form and West Ham’s need for points has changed the outlook. I’ll be betting on the Both Teams to Score market, ‘yes’, at 1/2.” – Luke Andrews, Betting Expert – UK Market.

Who would win in a race – Jarrod Bowen or Mohammed Kudus? 💨

Jarrod Bowen says there's only one answer and it's not even close 😆 pic.twitter.com/tHVc3GZapo

— Hammers Hub (@HammersHubWHUFC) April 24, 2024

Mohammed Kudus has scored eleven of his thirteen goals at home and hopes to end a six-game goal drought.

Home team top scorer: – Jarrod Bowen, anytime goal scorer 29/10 & first goal scorer 9/1 at bet365.

Liverpool has won against West Ham twice this season (5-1) in the Carabao Cup quarter-finals and (3-1) in the first leg at Anfield. They will be hoping to beat their hosts three times in the same season, a fate they have never achieved in ten attempts.

Jurgen Klopp’s side will be desperate for a result as they drift away from the title race following a 2-0 defeat in the Merseyside derby; anything other than a win would be a dagger to their hopes of securing a first title since the 2019-20 triumph. The Reds will be playing a fourth consecutive away game, hoping to match their performance against Fulham, where they won 3-1.

For Liverpool’s upcoming game, Joel Matip, Thiago Alcantara, Conor Bradley, and Diogo Jota are all ruled out due to their respective injuries. Cody Gakpo is also uncertain about playing, with a 25% chance of participation, as his situation is still being assessed.

Just seen this brought up, and for me, it's the game where our season started to derail.

Mac Allister telling Nunez to pass the ball to Robertson, and then fuming when we conceded.

9 minutes to go and we were winning. pic.twitter.com/8gQgOofOqs

— – (@AnfieldRd96) April 26, 2024

Liverpool will field a 4-3-3 formation with Mohamed Salah, Darwin Núñez and Luis Díaz the attacking threat. Núñez is experiencing a drought of goals. His last one was seven games ago in the 3-1 win over Sheffield United.

The last time the two sides met, Curtis Jones scored a brace and has been stepping up in performances, with the front three feeling disconnected. The match feels like the final match if they are to reward their decorated manager with a farewell Premier League trophy; anything less than a win would be detrimental to their title quest.

Away team top scorer: – Mohamed Salah, anytime goal scorer 1/1 & first goal scorer 4/1.

Selected bets: – West Ham 19/4, Draw 15/4, Liverpool 4/7. Over 2.5 2/5, Under 2.5 2/1. BTTS: No 13/8, Yes 8/15.

Premier League Betting – Manchester United vs Burnley

On Wednesday night, Manchester United came from behind twice to win 4-2 against Sheffield United. It could feel like a straightforward result against the league’s bottom side, but coming from the eventful FA Cup semi-final that saw them surrender a three-goal lead shows how nerves were high.

The hopes for Champions League qualification feel out of reach, with thirteen points separating them and fourth-placed Aston Villa, leaving them to battle Tottenham for a sixth-place finish. Having ended a four-match winless run (three draws, one defeat), they will be hoping to finish their season. They look forward to the FA Cup final to secure a trophy.

Erik Ten Hag’s side has been performing well against newly promoted sides, winning thirteen consecutive games. Playing at Old Trafford has inspired confidence, winning five (two draws, one defeat) of the last eight games.

For Manchester United’s upcoming game, Tyrell Malacia, Anthony Martial, Luke Shaw, Lisandro Martinez, Victor Lindelof, Raphael Varane, and Mason Mount are all ruled out due to injuries. Jonny Evans, Marcus Rashford, and Willy Kambwala are still being assessed, each with a 25% chance of participation,

Bruno Fernandes stats (last 5 years)

19/20 – 49 G/A
20/21 – 45 G/A
21/22 – 24 G/A
22/23 – 28 G/A
23/24 – 26 G/A

The people who hate him on this app genuinely don’t love our club. pic.twitter.com/Pdsxv3nhha

— ' (@TheShowtimeReds) April 26, 2024

Bruno Fernandes has scored seven goals over the previous five consecutive games, including a brace in the last match.

Home team top scorer: – Bruno Fernandes, anytime goal scorer 15/8 & first goal scorer 13/2.

Burnley makes the short trip south in high spirits, hoping a late charge can turn their fortune and save their Premier League status. Vincent Kompany’s side lost just once (two wins, four draws) in the previous seven games and stayed three points from safety.

The Clarets won their last match on the road 4-1 against Sheffield United, which ended an eight-game winless (two draws, six defeats). A trip to Old Trafford presents a fear factor, having won once since 1962.

In addition, they have just two wins in thirty-five head-to-head games (twelve draws, twenty-one defeats), which means they will need some motivation to deliver a generationally inspiring performance to get a result and end the poor record.

Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Nathan Redmond, Ameen Al-Dakhil, and Luca Koleosho are all ruled out for Burnley’s upcoming game due to injuries. Lyle Foster, however, has passed his fitness assessment and is available to play.

Two goals in quick succession for @BurnleyOfficial!

Jacob Bruun Larsen put the Clarets ahead with a deflected shot, and less than three minutes later Lorenz Assignon doubled their lead!#SHUBUR pic.twitter.com/Bon3fi2je3

— Premier League (@premierleague) April 20, 2024

Lorenz Assignon scored and assisted in their last match, dashing from the right back to provide an auxiliary source of goals and outlet in attack, especially from cutbacks that could unlock the United defence.

Away team top scorer: – Zeki Amdouni, anytime goal scorer 7/2 & first goal scorer 11/1.

Selected bets: – Manchester United 1/2, Draw 4/1, Burnley 11/2. Over 2.5 21/50, Under 2.5 2/1. BTTS: No 31/20, Yes 4/7.

Premier League Betting – Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa has been the season’s surprise package, breaking through the big six to sit fourth in the Premier League table and could be destined to be featured in the Champions League. They came from a goal down to beat Bournemouth 3-1 to set themselves in a strong position six points above Tottenham Hotspurs, who have two games in hand.

Unai Emery, having led his side to a five-game unbeaten run (four wins, one draw), scoring fourteen goals, would be confident welcoming Chelsea, who they beat in the reverse fixture. The Spaniard put pen to paper on a new contract at Villa Park to continue the impressive work, starting with a double against their visitors for the first time since 1989-90.

For Aston Villa’s upcoming game, Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey, Alex Moreno, and Nicolo Zaniolo are all ruled out due to injuries. Additionally, Douglas Luiz is unavailable due to suspension after accumulating ten yellow cards.

Wouldn’t be where we are without him, we love you @leonbailey pic.twitter.com/9BIVsnmzlq

— Gabe ✞ (@avfcgabe) April 18, 2024

Leon Bailey has three goal involvements (two goals, one assist) in the last two games and has partnered well with Golden Boot chasing Ollie Watkins with nineteen goals, one behind Erling Haaland.

Home team top scorer: – Ollie Watkins, anytime goal scorer 7/5 & first goal scorer 5/1

Chelsea is desperate for a win to reignite their push for a top-seven finish and qualify for European football. The last two games are once to remember for Mauricio Pochettino’s side, having been knocked out of the FA Cup semi-final by Manchester City, ending their hopes for silverware this season.

The dagger straight to the heart was the 5-0 humiliation by Arsenal in the London derby that should have hurt their confidence heading this encounter would be significant to the destiny of their season, having not featured in Europe this season. The Blues have conceded fifty-seven goals, the most in the Premier League campaign, with six games left to play.

Furthermore, they have played thirteen away games without a shutout but will be heading to Villa Park, having won six (one defeat) of the last seven games, including a win in the FA Cup this season.

For Chelsea’s upcoming game, Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Enzo Fernandez, Lesley Ugochukwu, Reece James, Robert Sanchez, Christopher Nkunku, Levi Colwill, Malo Gusto, and Ben Chilwell are all ruled out due to various injuries and illnesses. Cole Palmer is currently being assessed with a 50% chance of playing, making his availability uncertain.

There’s just no way someone can watch this and not believe in Nicolas Jackson, right?

A rare profile. pic.twitter.com/dF7m6j7vRD

— ~ (@CFCdruw) April 24, 2024

Nicolas Jackson has each of his previous five goals coming before the break, including one during his last visit to Villa Park.

Away team top scorer: Cole Palmer, anytime goal scorer 9/4 & first goal scorer 13/2.

Selected bets: – Aston Villa 5/4, Draw 35/12, Chelsea 2/1. Over 2.5 4/9, Under 2.5 9/5. BTTS: No 2/1, Yes 11/25.

Premier League Betting – Newcastle vs Sheffield United

Newcastle suffered a 2-0 defeat against Crystal Palace in midweek, which means the ceiling for finishing is sixth. Six teams are eyeing to finish seventh place, which guarantees European football, which means Eddie Howe’s side still has an arduous task to achieve their season objectives.

The Magpies have a rather kind assignment against rock-bottom Sheffield United at St. James Park. A fixture that Newcastle have found joy in having won the reverse fixture at Bramall Lane 8-0 their joint-most significant win in the Premier League is part of seven victories (one defeat) in eight head-to-head games.

For Newcastle’s upcoming game, Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Joseph Willock, Lewis Miley, Joelinton, Kieran Trippier, Nick Pope, Miguel Almiron, and Matt Targett are all ruled out due to injuries. Valentino Livramento is also doubtful, with a 25% chance of playing, as his situation is currently being assessed. Sandro Tonali is unavailable due to suspension.

BREAKING 🚨 – Newcastle United are in talks with Alexander Isak and his agent over a new contract for the Swedish striker. 🗣️

It’s understood the discussions revolve around an increase to the player’s wages, the length of the contract extension, and the possible inclusion of a… pic.twitter.com/qaGKhLPwTg

— Magpie Media (@MagpieMediaX) April 23, 2024

Alexander Isak has found the back of the net in six consecutive Premier League home games, with five goals being the opening goal.

Home team top scorer: – Alexander Isak, anytime goal scorer 8/11 & first goal scorer 3/1

Sheffield United came close to taking points from Manchester United, taking the lead twice, but eventually lost 4-2 in the midweek encounter. The immediate return to the Championship feels inevitable, with their relegation likely to be confirmed if they lose this match, and a draw wouldn’t be enough if Nottingham Forest avoids defeat against Manchester City.

In a torrid season for the Blades, Chris Wilder will motivate his side to delay the inevitable as they have lost the last three visits to St. James Park without scoring. If they win, they will become the first promoted side to win at Newcastle since Leeds United in January 2021.

Villarreal’s Ben Brereton Diaz who’s out on loan scored for Sheffield United yesterday against Manchester United. ⚽️🇨🇱

His stats in the Premier League since joining Sheffield United in January:

10 Matches 🏟️
5 Goals ⚽️
1 Assist 🪄pic.twitter.com/C6Z0b53bHe

— LaLigaExtra (@LaLigaExtra) April 25, 2024

The form of Sheffield United’s Ben Brereton Diaz sparkled late after making his loan move after scoring in their defeat against Manchester United. The maestro’s last three goals came after the fiftieth minute.

Away team top scorer: – Ben Brereton Diaz, anytime goal scorer 17/4 & first goal scorer 14/1.

Selected bets: – Newcastle 6/25, Draw 32/5, Sheffield United 12/1. Over 2.5 1/3, Under 2.5 12/5. BTTS: No 6/5, Yes 13/16

Premier League Betting – Everton vs Brentford

Everton will play their third home game in six days when they welcome Brentford to Goodison Park. The saving grace of this hectic schedule is that it has kept them in fine form, having won the other two games by a 2-0 scoreline against Nottingham Forest and Liverpool.

Those six crucial points almost secured the Toffee’s safety and ended their Merseyside neighbour’s title quest, showcasing a sweet week for Sean Dyche. A win here without conceding would mean they have won four consecutive home games while keeping a clean sheet for the first time since May 2019.

For Everton’s upcoming game, Nathan Patterson, Bamidele Alli, Norberto Gomes Betuncal, Seamus Coleman, and Lewis Dobbin are all ruled out due to various injuries. Vitalii Mykolenko is doubtful and will need a late fitness test with a 25% chance of playing. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has been ill, also faces a late fitness test but has a higher chance of playing at 75%.

Everton will likely take to the field in a 4-4-1-1 formation, with Abdoulaye Doucouré sitting behind the lone striker. The 31-year-old provided an assist in Everton’s 2-0 win over Nottingham Forest.

🚨🚨Branthwaite and Dominic Calvert-Lewin handed over premier league trophy to Man City pray for Brighton tonight

pic.twitter.com/E6bAnb1uRS

— Cole Palmer (@cfccolepalmer) April 25, 2024

The Toffees have opened the scoring in the previous four head-to-head games against Brentford (three times within the first ten minutes). Dominic Calvert-Lewin has three goals in the last four games, as many as he scored in the previous twenty-eight games.

Home team top scorer: – Dominic Calvert -Lewin, anytime goal scorer 12/5 & first goal scorer 7/1.

Brentford has safety concerns despite being two points above Everton and having a ten-point cushion. An impressive unbeaten run over the last five games (two wins, three draws) has alleviated the Bees to a solid position to secure safety.

They would gladly travel to Goodison when the pressure is light on their shoulders, as they have lost seven of the last ten games here and the previous two head-to-head games. Thomas Frank’s side has not been great while playing at the Saturday evening kick-off, as they have lost five (one win) in the previous six games.

For Brentford’s upcoming game, Joshua Dasilva, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry, and Ben Mee are all ruled out for the remainder of the season due to injuries. Neal Maupay is also unavailable as he cannot face his parent club. Ivan Toney is uncertain for the game; he will undergo a late fitness test and has a 50% chance of playing.

Brentford will be playing in a 4-3-3 formation with plenty of attacking intent. Yoane Wissa scored two in their last game, an easy 1-5 win away at Kenilworth Road against Luton.

Yoane Wissa was absolutely GUTTED he didn’t complete a hat-trick this afternoon 😭 pic.twitter.com/muj15mQWu2

— Sky Sports Premier League (@SkySportsPL) April 20, 2024

Yoane Wissa is a man in fine form with five goals in the previous five away games, which is as many as he had scored across the last twenty-nine away games. Both sides are in great form, especially in attack, and with nerves settled, this could be a great exhibition of football.

Away team top scorer: -Yoane Wissa, anytime goal scorer 11/4& first goal scorer 8/1.

Selected bets: – Everton 29/20, Draw 13/5, Brentford 19/10. Over 2.5 4/5, Under 2.5 21/20. BTTS: No 11/8, Yes 4/6.

Liverpool will be ruthless as they try to work their way back to the Premier League title race, and a win should be guaranteed at the London Stadium against West Ham. However, Liverpool seems to have lost their mojo, and many pundits predict a Hammers victory that will enhance their European chances.

Burnley feels like an underdog at the Old Trafford stadium, but having seen Sheffield United’s performance, the Clarets would be determined to battle to the death for three points and gain milage on their survival quest.

Sheffield United seem to be done and dusted, and Newcastle should put the final nail in the coffin and send the Blades back to the Championship.

Chelsea would be more determined despite their poor run of form against an in-form Aston Villa, as the thought of missing out on Europe for two consecutive seasons should scare the Blues into a performance.

Brentford and Everton feel like an even encounter that could go either way, and with both sides destined to secure safety, a draw feels like a good take for both sides.

Another fixture worth a mention is Nottingham Forest v Manchester City. The hosts are just a point above the relegation zone and face a Manchester City team who demolished Brighton 0-4 on Thursday. It’s hard to see anything but a routine win for the visitors.

All stats are taken from SoccerSTATS.comand WhoScored.com, and the odds are from bet365 and are correct at the time of writing but can fluctuate, especially in play.

All tips are provided as entertainment only; the author’s opinion should not be considered financial guidance. Always bet responsibly; if you need help with problem gambling, you can find organisations that offer support in this page’s footer.