Match Day 11 Premier League Betting Tips 2022/23

Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips 22/23: Matchday 11

Spurs’ win against Brighton was the lowest-scoring game in the weekend, with just one goal scored. Newcastle beat Brentford 5 – 1, while Manchester City managed the same goal margin winning 4 – 0 against Southampton. Chelsea bested Wolves 5 – 0, while Bournemouth came from behind to win 2 – 1. Manchester United came from a goal down to win 2 – 1 against an improved Everton side, and Crystal Palace won against Leeds by the same score line. Finally, Arsenal beat Liverpool in our main game 3 – 2, while West Ham beat Fulham 3 – 1. The only draw on matchday 10 came on Monday night when Aston Villa drew 1-1 with Nottingham Forest.

Match of the Day

A repeat of the season curtain raiser, the Community Shield, in which Liverpool triumphed 3 – 1. Jurgen Klopp and Pep Guardiola will once again battle it out on the touchline, Erling Haaland and Darwin Nunez will showcase the attacking brilliance and the Liverpool against Manchester City rivalry. Regardless of Liverpool’s form, we anticipate them to match Manchester City as they are the only team on the same level. Expect fireworks, as the Citizens have a point to prove while Liverpool is looking to overcome a drop in league form.

Liverpool v Manchester City
Liverpool Form Guide DWDWD
Manchester City Form Guide DLWLW
  • Venue: Anfield
  • Sun 16 Oct 16:30
  • Referee: Anthony Taylor
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 16/5 D: 16/5 A: 3/4

About the Game:

Liverpool has drifted far from their usual excellent form and is struggling to get back to their best. The Reds sit tenth with ten points, fourteen points off the leader’s Arsenal and thirteen off their usual sparring partners, Manchester City. Jurgen Klopp’s side lost 3 – 2 to the Gunners and can’t afford a bad result here, which will take them further off the pace. However, the Reds will hope to replicate the performance in the Community Shield, where they won 3 – 1, as a win will help them keep pace toward the Premier League title.

Liverpool’s weakness this season has been consistency; they have failed to record the same result over the last eight games. Instead, they have alternated between wins, draws and defeats, with the 7 – 1 thumping of Rangers in midweek a boasting performance after their loss against Arsenal. We expect a strong performance from Jurgen Klopp’s side as the stakes are high, especially if they lose.

Mohammed Salah’s performance in the Champions League has been commendable, scoring a hat-trick in midweek with five goals in four games. However, he has just managed two goals in eight appearances in the league, given a lacklustre performance against Arsenal that saw him subbed off with half an hour left to play. Nevertheless, the maestro who scored and provided an assist in this fixture in this stadium last season will be eager to perform, so we highlight him as the one to watch.

Trent Alexander-Arnold, Arthur, Luis Diaz, Curtis Jones, Naby Keita, Joel Matip, and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain are all side-lined to reduce options for Liverpool. However, they have a solid team to challenge Manchester City even with the injuries. They face West Ham, Nottingham Forest, and Leeds in the next three games after this; avenues they can win and improve their position in the table.

Bet on Liverpool v Manchester City at bet365

Manchester City is the last remaining unbeaten team this season looking too strong to lose in their performances. Pep Guardiola’s team have the best attack, scoring thirty-three goals and averaging 3.7 goals per game. In addition, they boast the joint-best defence that has conceded just nine goals this season. The Citizens are enjoying their best-ever start to a Premier League season and have been going from strength to strength with a genuine claim to the title. If they win against Liverpool, they will have downed their strongest challengers to the crown, leaving the challenge to Arsenal, who are unproven at this level.

Manchester City has been untouchable this season, with their worst results being draws. They scored four goals in the last game against Southampton to extend their winning streak to three games. The defending Champions are just one point behind the league leaders Arsenal who they are yet to face. A win against their most significant and robust rivals keeps them in a solid position to take control of the title race.

Haaland was the subject of ridicule when the two sides met in the Community Shield for missing a host of chances. However, the Norwegian has bounced back spectacually, scoring fifteen goals in nine games. The maestro’s chemistry with Kevin De Bruyne, who has nine assists, has been their strength in attack. Phil Foden has been the icing on the cake with six goals, including his first hat trick for the club in their derby match against Manchester United.

Kalvin Philips, John Stones, and Kyle Walker are the three notable absentees. However, the depth of the city team means they are unlikely to be missed. Manchester City’s fixture schedule is not demanding as they do not face any other top six till November 9th when they face Chelsea.

Prediction: A draw. With live betting opportunities.

Rest of the Premier League Games

Coming up are our previews and Premier League betting tips for all the rest of the weekend’s action.

Brentford v Brighton
Brentford Form Guide LLDWL
Brighton Form Guide WWLDD
  • Venue: Brentford Community Stadium
  • Fri 14 Oct 20:00
  • Referee: Michael Salisbury
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 2/1 D: 12/5 A: 27/20

About the Game:

Thomas Frank has to figure out how to inspire his side after they suffered their heaviest-ever defeat in the Premier League, losing 5 – 1 to Newcastle in the last match. The Bees failed to take a single point from Brighton last season, losing 1 – 0 at home and 1 – 0 at the Amex Stadium, meaning they even failed to score on both occasions. Brentford has not lost back-to-back games since February but is currently winless in the last three games (losing two, drawing one). Their Achilles heels have been dealing with aerial threats this season, as they conceded the highest number of headed goals (six). However, they have been flourishing on the other end of the pitch scoring ten goals in their four home games this season (winning two, drawing one, losing one). Ivan Toney has six goals and two assists and will be the player with the highest numbers in terms of goal involvement at Gtech Community Stadium.

Life after Graham Potter has been convincing but still without a win. The Seagulls gave a real fight in their 3 – 3 draw against Liverpool but were outclassed by Spurs; despite giving a good fight, they couldn’t breach the London’s side defence. Roberto de Zerbi started life in the Premier League against two rigid sides and will be glad to play a winnable fixture to push for his first three points. The buildup to this game has been highlighted by news that 24-year-old Enock Mwepu has hung up his boots due to a hereditary heart condition. The maestro will surely be missed as he already has been one of the Seagull’s best players; with the team failing to win three games which the Zambian man hasn’t played yet, they won six of the eight he did play. Solly March has had eighteen shots, eight on target without scoring could finally have his breakthrough.

Prediction: Brighton to win.

Leicester City v Crystal Palace
Leicester Form Guide LLWDL
Crystal Palace Form Guide DLLDW
  • Venue: King Power Stadium
  • Sat 15 Oct 12:30
  • Referee: Andrew Madley
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 13/10 D: 12/5 A:21/10

About the Game:

You would feel Leicester City had overturned their dark spell when they beat Nottingham Forest, which ended a run of four consecutive defeats to move out of the bottom of the table. However, a lackluster performance saw their lead overturned to lose 2 – 1 against newly promoted side Bournemouth saw them back at the bottom of the table. Brendan Rodgers’ side has already lost fourteen points from winning positions this term. The fans are already calling for Rodgers’s head, who has failed to solve their defensive frailties. The Foxes won the last three home games against the Eagles, where exactly three goals were scored will be a motivating factor to carry to King Power at a time the team needs to stay positive. The attack has been yielding good results with fifteen goals. James Maddison has scored three of their five home goals opening the scoring twice here.

Just like the hosts, Crystal Palace is guilty of throwing away points from winning positions as they are yet to win a game after scoring first (two losses, two draws). However, they have the momentum heading to King Power, having come from a goal down to win 2 – 1 against Leeds United over the weekend. The Eagles haven’t won here since February 2019 and are winless in the last five (three draws, two defeats) Premier League games on the travel. Furthermore, they took the lead in three of these games, including Manchester City and Liverpool but couldn’t keep up is something Patrick Viera will be working on, keeping the same energy to the end of the game. Eberechi Eze is having a breakthrough season scoring the winning goal in their last match and has the second-best tally of successive dribbles (twenty) and the best success rate (66.7%) in the Premier League.

Prediction: Crystal Palace to win.

Fulham v Bournemouth
Fulham Form Guide LDWWD
Bournemouth Form Guide LLLDD
  • Venue: Craven Cottage
  • Sat 15 Oct 15:00
  • Referee: Graham Scott
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 83/100 D: 11/4 A: 16/5

About the Game:

The Cottagers will be hoping to get back to their best after losing two consecutive games for the first time this season. They, however, still find themselves in the top half after an impressive start. The Cottagers hope playing at Craven Cottage will help them get back to winning ways. Their defence has been leaky, conceding seven goals in the last two games and eighteen across the League, meaning only three teams have eclipsed them. Marco Silva said his side is still learning and improving after being the better side despite losing 3 – 1 to West Ham. They have a poor record against the Cherries, having come out on top just once in their last ten meetings with Bournemouth (five defeats, four draws). Joao Palhinha has made more tackles (thirty-five) than any other player in the Premier League and will be depended upon to assist the defence keep goals out.

Bournemouth was thought to be done and dusted when they were hammered 9 – 0 by Liverpool, which led to Scott Parker being fired. The interim manager Gary O’Neil has performed exceptionally well beyond his wildest dreams, unbeaten in his first five games (winning two, drawing three). Their defence has been their strength conceding just four goals, the best defensive record in that period. They came from a goal down against Leicester City to win 2 – 1, the second such comeback excellence after coming from two goals down in their 3 – 2 win against Nottingham Forest. The Liverpool defeat was the only loss in their travel (winning two, drawing one). The Cherries are unbeaten in seven games (four wins, three draws) at Craven Cottage and will be hoping to continue this excellent run. Dominic Solanke will be against one of his favourite opponents, whom he scored both Bournemouth goals in a pair of 1 – 1 draws in the Championship.

Prediction: Fulham to win.

Wolves v Nottingham Forest
Wolves Form Guide DWDDL
Nottingham Forest Form Guide LDLDW
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium
  • Sat 15 Oct 15:00
  • Referee: Thomas Bramall
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 7/10 D: 11/4 A: 17/4

About the Game:

Wolves are sitting in the relegation zone without a coach; having fired Bruno Lage two weeks ago after West Ham’s 2 – 0 win, they are yet to replace him. They have lost the last three consecutive games, losing 3 – 0 to Chelsea in their previous match. The only solace the fans can hold on to is that the Wolves are unbeaten in five of their six home games (two wins, three draws), losing just once to Manchester City. They have a chance to turn their season around when they face fellow relegation-threatened side Nottingham Forest in a fixture that you would feel is winnable. Daniel Podence’s goal in their 1 – 0 win against Southampton is their only goal in over eight hours of football, with the team managing just three goals in nine games. They have lost once in eleven games against newly-promoted sides (five wins, five draws).

Nottingham Forest awarded Steve Cooper a contract extension despite the poor run of form, even worse results than some of the managers in the Premier League have been fired. One win, two draws, and six defeats are what they have to show after a record twenty-three record player signings in the window. They gave a commendable performance in the last match in the previous game drawing 1 – 1 against Aston Villa, which ended a five-game losing run. However, they have the second worst defence (twenty-two goals conceded) after Leicester (twenty-four); having shipped in nineteen in the last six games is an area that needs urgent improvement. Emmanuel Dennis, who had an impressive campaign with Watford despite their relegation, scored his first goal in his first start, with ten of his overall eleven Premier League goals coming when he started.

Prediction: Wolves to win.

Tottenham v Everton
Tottenham Form Guide WLWWD
Everton Form Guide WDWLD
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Sat 15 Oct 17:30
  • Referee: Paul Tierney
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 9/20 D: 7/2 A: 11/2

About the Game:

In what was a tough week for Antonio Conte and his side after the death of their fitness coach Gian Piero Ventrone they managed to control their emotions and drag out a 1 – 0 win against Brighton. However, the camp’s mood is dull, with the manager and some of his staff expected to travel for the burial. The proceedings could affect their preparation for their weekend game against Everton. They are on a seven-game home winning streak and have been in great form (six wins, two draws) to hold on to their top-four position despite losing in the North London derby. Lucas Moura and Dejan Kulusevski returning from injury will reinforce the already lethal attack boasting goals in fourteen consecutive Premier League games with an average of 2.36 goals per game. Harry Kane has scored in the last four straight games and has been in fine form. The defence kept their first clean sheet in five games against Brighton. Tottenham won in their Champions League game in midweek, Kane scored one and Son Heung-Min scored two in the 3-2 win over Eintracht Frankfurt.

Everton has been the most improved team this season after surviving the threat of relegation throughout the second half of last season. Their absence from European assignments has kept them fresh, primarily through the busy October schedule. Frank Lampard will hope for a better performance than the 5 – 0 thumping they received on their previous trip here, which was part of the seven successive away defeats when he began his Merseyside career. The Toffees boast a joint-best defensive record conceding nine goals. They hope they keep this tally as they keep working on replicating this form on the attack that has managed just eight goals. They scored the opening goal despite losing 2 – 1 to Manchester United last Sunday. Alex Iwobi has one goal and three assists, with the best numbers in goal involvement, which is the one they depend on to make things happen in front of the goal.

Prediction: Tottenham to win.

Aston Villa v Chelsea
Aston Villa Form Guide LLLLL
Chelsea Form Guide DWDWW
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Sun 16 Oct 14:00
  • Referee: Robert Jones
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 7/2 D: 11/4 A: 4/5

About the Game:

Steven Gerrard finds his team two places off the relegation zone in good form, unbeaten in the last four games (three draws, one win). They have drawn two successive games taking a point from Nottingham Forest in their previous match. Ashley Young equalised with a smashing shot from twenty-five yards after Emmanuel Dennis had put the hosts ahead. Despite not losing games, their fans expected more than a point against Forest and the murmurings against Gerrard are getting louder each week and there has been a surge of money by football betting fans on Gerrard being the next Premier Manager to leave his post. Villa beat Chelsea 2 – 1 in this stadium two seasons ago and will be hoping to replicate this performance when they need a result dearly. They will also feed off their confidence boasting a 1 – 1 draw against the on-form Manchester City in this stadium early last month. Gerard has to work on his attacking prowess that has yielded seven goals, as no player in his team has scored more than a goal. Ollie Watkins has one goal and two assists and is the most prolific in goal involvements.

Chelsea has excelled exceptionally under Graham Potter, winning four and drawing one in his first five games, including three consecutive wins in the Premier League. The Blues are in the top four and have good momentum, having kept their first clean sheet under Potter in their 3 – 0 win against Wolves. Pierre Emerick Aubameyang, who did not feature in the League, scored in the Champions League 2 – 0 win against AC Milan. The former Arsenal man is in great form and could be an essential figure in Stamford Bridge after seemingly outdoing the number 9 curse. Raheem Sterling, on three goals, is their top scorer who has not matched his performances at Manchester City so far but has been effective in influencing their game going forward. Their defence has been solid, keeping three consecutive clean sheets and conceding two in the three games under Potter.

Prediction: Chelsea to win.

Leeds v Arsenal
Leeds United Form Guide WDLDD
Arsenal Form Guide WWWLW
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Sun 16 Oct 14:00
  • Referee: Chris Kavanagh
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 5/1 D: 16/5 A: 11/20

About the Game:

Leeds United’s best result against Arsenal in the last five League games was a goalless draw at Elland Road. Jesse Marsch’s side has been winless in the previous five games (drawing two, losing three). However, they will be excited to play in their fortress as they are yet to lose at Elland Road this season, winning two and drawing two of their four games. The standout performance was a 4 – 0 win against Chelsea, which should be a confidence-boosting result that will go straight to their positivity to try to repeat the same excellence against Arsenal. Rodrigo (four goals) is Leeds’s top scorer, while Jack Harrison has assisted three goals. Unfortunately, they saw an early lead meltdown as they lost 2 – 1 to Crystal Palace in the last match. They would, however, be relieved to have put behind their disciplinary issue that saw them have two players sent off in the previous three games, including their manager.

Top of the table Arsenal has become a force under Mikel Arteta. Eight wins and one defeat leave see them top of the table, ahead of Manchester City by one point. The 3 – 2 win against Liverpool was not just three points but a statement that the London side can compete with the best in the league and get a result. Their ability to record consecutive results has been their strength, and they are seeing the job done as they are yet to draw a game this season. Bakayo Saka scored twice in their recent win, he has been an inspiration this season, not just in goal involvement but in how he affects the game from the right side of the pitch. The Premier League title could stand out as the primary objective for a side that probably would have been content with a top-four finish at the start of the season. Coming from three consecutive wins, most notable against Tottenham and Liverpool.

Prediction: Arsenal to win.

Manchester United v Newcastle United
Manchester United Form Guide LDDDW
Newcastle United Form Guide WWLWD
  • Venue: Old Trafford
  • Sun 16 Oct 14:00
  • Referee: Craig Pawson
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 9/10 D: 11/4 A: 11/4

About the Game:

Eric Ten Hag has found his balance, working tactic, and best starting eleven for the Manchester United team. The Red Devils bounced back from a 6 – 3 thumping in the Manchester derby to win 2 – 1 against Everton. Their performance at Merseyside was impressive, coming from a goal down and delivering exceptionally in all aspects of the game. Under their new manager, Manchester United not only plays counter-attacking football but can build up from the back and dominate the game, something his predecessors found hard to accomplish. After a slow start to the season, the Old Trafford faithful find themselves sitting fifth with their Champions League ambition within reach. Antony has taken the Premier League by storm; scoring in his first three games has improved the United attack making them lethal through the right. Marcus Rashford has reignited his career under the new manager with three goals and two assists. One criticism about United is their inability to turn chances into goals. In their 1-0 win against Omonia Nicosia on Thursday, United had a remarkable 34 shots on goal. The last of these shots by Scott McTominay in the 93rd minute finally broke the deadlock.

Newcastle United are on an impressive run, unbeaten in the last four games, including two wins in the previous two games. Eddie Howe’s attack side has produced nine goals in their successes, 5 – 1 against Brentford and 4 – 1 against Fulham. Bruno Guimaraes has been one of the most effective signings since he joined, with some of the best numbers in goal involvement. Kieran Trippier has been excellent for the Magpies as one of the most influential players in the team who marked a year since the Saudi-led, takeover showing how their financial input has directly improved their pitch performance. Newcastle is eying for European football this season to try to earn a reputable name to attract top talents as they have the financial capabilities to acquire them. They sit sixth at the table, and their objective feels realistically achievable with every performance after a slow start.

Prediction: A draw.

Southampton v West Ham
Leicester City Form Guide DDWLL
West Ham United Form Guide LWDLL
  • Venue: St Mary’s Stadium
  • Sun 16 Oct 14:00
  • Referee: Peter Bankes
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 19/10 D: 12/5 A: 7/5

About the Game:

Southampton is on a four-game losing run that sees them occupy the final slot after the relegation zone. The poor run comes after an impressive five games where they won one, drew three and lost just once to start the season excellently. However, they were hammered 4 – 0 against Manchester City over the weekend was salt to the open wounds will be hoping to end this devastating form when they welcome West Ham at St. Mary’s Stadium. Che Adams has two goals, and one assist is a player who can produce a moment of magic for Ralph Hassenhuttl when they need a hero. Adams is 13/5 with bet365 to score anytime. Joe Aribo seems to have put aside a struggling start to fit in well with his side and rewarded them with two goals.

West Ham is in impressive form, winning five and losing one in their last six games in all competitions. They have won the previous two games in the Premier League, thumping Fulham 3 – 1 in the last game. For a team that was bottom of the table in the better part of the start of the season, they are creeping up the table. Gianluca Scamacca and Jarrod Bowen scored a goal in the last two league games with their understanding on the pitch building a dangerous attacking partnership that improved David Moyes’ attack. They will be favourites as they are in great form with a good result here, taking them into the top half. The Hammers have a European assignment where they have been flourishing as well and have now replicated their performances in the League and hope to keep the momentum, hoping fatigue doesn’t step in. They won 2-1 against RSC Anderlecht on Thursday, Bowen scored again, a goal that saw him equal the Hammers’ all-time European goalscoring record.

Prediction: West Ham to win.

Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*

Game Event Odds Cumulative Odds
Liverpool v Manchester City A draw 3/1 4.00
Brentford v Brighton Brighton to win 13/10 9.20
Leicester City v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win 21/10 28.52
Wolves v Nottingham Forest Wolves to win 7/10 48.48
Leeds v Arsenal Arsenal to win. 11/20 75.15

Place a  bet on this 5-fold accumulator at bet365

Bookie of the week: Our Pick

Bet365 are our bookie of the week. To find out everything you could want about bet365, you can read our bet365 review.

* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.

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