Match Day 24 Premier League Betting Tips 2022/23

Tottenham v Chelsea

Form Guide DWDWD

Form Guide DLWLW

• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
• Sun 26 Feb 13:30
• Referee: Stuart Attwell
• Quick Glance Odds H: 31/20 D: 9/4 A: 19/10

About the Game:

Due to Newcastle’s loss to Liverpool, Tottenham has managed to sneak into fourth and the last of the Champions League spots. They will have the opportunity to cement this position, for the time being at least, as Newcastle will be occupied with the Carabao Cup final against Manchester United on Sunday. A win against their local rivals will give them a substantial phycological boost for the weeks ahead.

Tottenham is famous for being inconsistent, and this current season is no different. They started the season in fine fashion, unbeaten in their first seven, but then lost four in the next seven. In the last six games in the league, they have won three and lost three.

As usual, Harry Kane is the Tottenham man to watch and leads the Spurs performance table and is the leading scorer. His 17 goals are heads and shoulders above everyone else in the team, with Rodrigo Bentancur a distant second with five. Son Heung-Min is usually a reliable source of goals, but the 30-year-old is having an off-season with just five in the league. However, he scored in Tottenham’s win over West Ham at the weekend.

Tottenham’s physio room is not exactly bursting, but they have a few long-term absentees. Yves Bissouma has a stress fracture on his left ankle and has undergone surgery which will keep him out till April. Hugo Lloris is a big loss and will be out for the next six weeks. Ryan Sessegnon (thigh) and Rodrigo Bentancur (knee) are also out of action. After Chelsea, Tottenham plays in the FA Cup against Sheffield United, Wolves in the Premier League and then a home fixture against AC Milan in the Champions League.

Bet on Tottenham v Chelsea at bet365

While Tottenham fans will be satisfied with their club’s league position, the same cannot be said of Chelsea fans, who are becoming increasingly frustrated with their team. Not only is there a big gap between themselves and the visitors, but there is also a 23-point gap between the Blues and the league leaders, Arsenal. Moreover, last week’s defeat to Southampton, the bottom team in the division, was a low point in a season full of negatives.

Chelsea’s season started erratically with two wins, two defeats and a draw in the first five games. They then went on a four-game winning run, which was their best sequence of the season. However, they were then winless in the following five (three defeats and two draws). Chelsea has won just once (Crystal Palace) in their last eight (three losses, three ties).

Lack of goals has been Chelsea’s biggest downfall, with their top scorer in the league being Kai Havertz on just five, a ridiculously small number. Harry Kane for the opposition has scored five fewer goals than the entire Chelsea squad combined. Only Raheem Sterling (4) and Mason Mount (3) have three or more goals. On a positive note, Enzo Fernández has performed excellently since signing and is one player who could make a difference in this match.

Chelsea has five players ruled out of this clash. Cesar Azpilicueta (Head/Face Injury), Christian Pulisic (Knee Injury) and N’Golo Kante (Thigh Injury) should all be fit in a couple of weeks. However, the injuries to Armando Broja and Edouard Mendy are more severe and will keep them out longer. Chelsea has some potentially challenging games on the horizon. After Spurs, they face Leeds, Leicester and Everton, all teams that desperately need wins.

Prediction: Chelsea to win. 

Fulham v Wolves

Form Guide LLDWL

Form Guide WWLDD

• Venue: Craven Cottage
• Fri 23 Feb 20:00
• Referee: Michael Oliver
• Quick Glance Odds H: 11/8 D: 9/4 A: 21/10

About the Game:

Fulham is enjoying an incredible season and goes into this game against Wolves in sixth place and could go level with Newcastle in fifth with a win here. More exciting for Fulham fans is they would only be a point away from the last Champions League spot if they overcome Wolves, who are not in the best of form. At Craven Cottage, they are averaging 1.75 points per game and have won six, drawn three and lost three. They are on a three-game unbeaten run, having beaten Brighton (1-0), won against Notting Forest (2-0) and drew against Chelsea (0-0). The defence is performing well. In the last eight games, they are letting in 0.5 goals per game which is 60% lower than their season average.

Wolves must play well to take anything from Fulham, who are in great form, especially at home. Wolves are not the best travellers; only five teams have a worse record (Bournemouth, Everton, West Ham, Leeds & Nottingham Forest). In the last eight games, Wolves have won four, drawn one and lost three, including their previous game (Bournemouth 0-1). Wolves have conceded at least one goal in 10 of their 11 away matches, and when they do win, it’s usually by a one-goal margin (five wins). Despite the contrasting fortunes of the two clubs, Wolves have traditionally done well against Fulham, as they have lost just once in the last fifteen meetings between the two. Football betting fans might fancy a 0-0 draw here, available at 8/1 with bet365.

Prediction: Fulham to win.

Everton v Aston Villa

Form Guide LLWDL

Form Guide DLLDW

• Venue: Goodison Park
• Sat 25 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Anthony Taylor
• Quick Glance Odds H: 3/2 D: 11/5 A:2/1

About the Game:

With Everton at the moment, it seems a case of one step forward followed by a step back. Sean Dyche is the new man in charge, and in his first game, he pulled off a miracle and beat Arsenal at the beginning of the month. However, in his second game, a fixture the fans were desperate to see a win in, Everton lost 2-0 against Liverpool with barely a whimper. They did, however, win the vital relegation six-pointer against Leeds last weekend (1-0). A win for Everton would put pressure on teams around them as they are currently in 15th, just a point away from the drop zone. However, the Toffee’s home form isn’t great, with 14 points from the 12 games played at Goodison but these account for 67% of their points total. Goals have been a big problem with Dominic Calvert-Lewin out injured. With so much at stake, a draw wouldn’t be a surprise.

Aston Villa fans haven’t had much to cheer about recently, being dumped out of the FA Cup by lowly Stevenage and are currently on a three-match losing run after defeats by Leicester (2-4), Manchester City (3-1) and Arsenal (2-4). The eleven goals conceded in the last three highlights how weak they are defensively. Nevertheless, Villa will be hoping that Ollie Watkins keeps up his excellent scoring run, as the 27-year-old has scored in the last four games and at 13/2 to open the scoring; we imagine he will be well-backed. Villa starts the weekend in the relative safety of 11th but will anxiously look over their shoulder as they are only eight points away from the relegation zone.

Prediction: A draw.

Leeds v Southampton

Form Guide LDWWD

Form Guide LLLDD

• Venue: Elland Road
• Sat 25 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Peter Bankes
• Quick Glance Odds H: 1/1 D: 5/2 A: 14/5

About the Game:

Leeds are in serious trouble, and unless there is a radical change in form, they will likely be one of the three teams dropping down to the Championship. The Yorkshire club’s recent record (over the last eight games) is the worst in the division, and they currently sit in 19th, just a point ahead of their opponents. However, being at Elland Road isn’t a huge advantage; they have picked up an average of 1.18 points per game in the eleven games. They have kept a clean sheet in just a quarter of games (27%) but failed to score in 36% of their home games. Leeds have only won once in their last six, a 1-3 win against Accrington Stanley in the FA Cup. After Southampton, they have a tough run, playing high-flying Fulham in the FA Cup before a trip to Stamford Bridge to play Chelsea, who are also desperate for points.

If Southampton could pick any team to play at the moment, it would be Leeds, and this game gives them the opportunity to leapfrog them, and if results go their way, they could move up above Bournemouth in 17th. This game is a true six-pointer, and Southampton are likely to be in high spirits and confident after their remarkable 0-1 win at Stamford Bridge last weekend. Another reason Southampton will feel they can win this is their away form is much better than at St Mary’s. In 12 games on the road, they have 12 points, double the six points from home games. Their form away is 11th in the league, just ahead of Liverpool’s. James Ward-Prowse is likely to be the Saint’s main goal threat; the free-kick specialist scored the winner in the Chelsea win.

Prediction: Southampton to win.

Leicester v Arsenal

Form Guide DWDDL

Form Guide LDLDW

• Venue: King Power Stadium
• Sat 25 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Craig Pawson
• Quick Glance Odds H: 15/4 D: 3/1 A: 7/10

About the Game:

Just as it looked like Leicester had turned the corner with great wins against Aston Villa (2-4) and Tottenham (4-1), they came crashing back to earth, losing 3-0 to Manchester United at Old Trafford. However, it must be said that the scoreline flattered United as Leicester had some great chances and was only denied by the excellence of David de Gea. They also were facing Marcus Rashford, who is the in-form player in the Premier League right now. The Foxes also felt they should have been playing against ten men after Marcel Sabitzer caught defender Wout Faes with a high tackle. A bad omen for Leicester is their terrible home form. The 12 points from 11 games at the King Power is the second worst in the league, with only Southampton gaining fewer points (six).

After looking almost unbeatable for most of the season, Arsenal are wobbling at the moment after losing to Everton and drawing 1-1 with Brentford before a home loss against Manchester City which knocked them off the top of the table. They did, however, bounce back against Aston Villa (2-4) and with City only drawing with Nottingham Forest, they reclaimed the top spot. A reason for Arsenal to be highly confident is their remarkable away form, the 28 points from 12 games are the best in the league, seven points more than the second-best team (Manchester City on 21). 

Prediction: Arsenal to win.

West Ham v Nottingham Forest

Form Guide WLWWD

Form Guide WDWLD

• Venue: London Stadium
• Sat 25 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Jarred Gillett
• Quick Glance Odds H: 3/4 D: 13/5 A: 4/1

About the Game:

West Ham’s manager David Moyes is skating on thin ice, and if the Hammers lose this game against Nottingham Forest, it wouldn’t be a massive surprise if the owners look elsewhere. West Ham are in a terrible run of form with just one win (2-0 Everton) in eleven games. However, supporters of Moyes will point to the draws against Newcastle (1-1) and Chelsea (1-1) before last weekend’s 2-0 defeat away to Tottenham. A reason for West Ham fans to be reasonably confident is that they have 14 points from 11 games, a far better return than Nottingham Forest’s away form. Their opponents are the joint worst travellers in the league with just six points in 11 games. Goals win games, and that’s where the Hammers are struggling. The 19 goals in 12 home games is an average of 1.09. Jarrod Bowen is West Ham’s top scorer with just four goals.

Nottingham Forest looked certainties to being relegated early in the season, picking up just one win in their first eleven league games. However, the turning point was a 1-0 win against Liverpool in October, and since then, they have won four more and picked up essential draws and are now relatively safe in 13th, although they are only five points clear of the drop zone. However, Forest has only won one of the last four games on the road (0-1 v Southampton), drawing against Bournemouth and losing against Manchester United (3-0) and Fulham (2-0) in their last away game. As mentioned, they are the worst team in the division in away games. Forest has some challenging games coming up. After West Ham, they play Everton, Tottenham, Newcastle, and high-flying Wolves.

Prediction: A draw.

Bournemouth v Manchester City

Form Guide LLLLL

Form Guide DWDWW

• Venue: Vitality Stadium
• Sat 25 Feb 17:30
• Referee: Paul Tierney
• Quick Glance Odds H: 9/1 D: 19/4 A: 57/200

About the Game:

Bournemouth did their survival hopes a world of good by beating fellow strugglers Wolves last weekend (1-0). The win stopped Wolves resurgence after recent victories over Liverpool and Southampton. In addition, the victory stopped a winless run of seven games that included four losses back to back. However, Bournemouth has a nightmare set of fixtures coming up, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them drop into the relegation zone. After playing the defending champions, they face Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa and Fulham. 

Surprisingly City seems to be struggling, failing to win in three of the last five in all competitions. The Citizens went top of the Premier League by beating Arsenal (1-3) but have since dropped to second after failing to beat Nottingham Forest (1-1). In the Champions League, they were held to a 1-1 draw by Leipzig. However, in fairness to City, they did better than we expected as we predicted a narrow win for the Germans. Furthermore, City’s away form is decent, with only Arsenal taking more points than City’s 21 (28). Therefore, we expect a decent showing from Pep’s men with scrutiny building on City.

Prediction: Manchester City to win.

Crystal Palace v Liverpool

Form Guide WDLDD

Form Guide WWWLW

• Venue: Selhurst Park
• Sat 25 Feb 19:45
• Referee: Darren England
• Quick Glance Odds H: 333/500 D: 13/5 A: 5/1

About the Game:

The Eagles have lost just one game in the last five (2-1 Manchester United) but have failed to win any with four draws (1-1 Manchester United, 0-0 Newcastle, 1-1 Brighton and 1-1 Brentford). Nevertheless, it shows improvement after they suffered four defeats in their previous five. Liverpool has been a formidable opponent for Palace. In the last six meetings, Liverpool has won five, and there was one draw the last time the teams met. Fresh in their minds will be the 7-0 hammering they took at Selhurst Park in December 2020. Palace tends to come to life in the second half of games, scoring in 50% of games after halftime compared to 33% in the first half. Worryingly they concede in 83% of fixtures at home, with most conceded in the first 45 minutes.

The Eagles have lost just one game in the last five (2-1 Manchester United) but have failed to win any with four draws (1-1 Manchester United, 0-0 Newcastle, 1-1 Brighton and 1-1 Brentford). Nevertheless, it shows improvement after they suffered four defeats in their previous five. Liverpool has been a formidable opponent for Palace. In the last six meetings, Liverpool has won five, and there was one draw the last time the teams met. Fresh in their minds will be the 7-0 hammering they took at Selhurst Park in December 2020. Palace tends to come to life in the second half of games, scoring in 50% of games after halftime compared to 33% in the first half. Worryingly they concede in 83% of fixtures at home, with most conceded in the first 45 minutes.

Prediction: Liverpool to win.