Match Day 16 Premier League Betting Tips 2022/23

Newcastle v Chelsea

Form Guide DWDWD

Form Guide DLWLW

• Venue: St James’ Park
• Sun 12 Nov 17:30
• Referee: Robert Jones
• Quick Glance Odds H: 13/10 D: 12/5 A: 2/1

About the Game:

The best thing that happened to Newcastle was the big-money takeover. They haven’t signed the biggest names in the market, at least not yet, but they have compiled a strong team that clicks well together. Eddie Howe’s magic has worked wonders in the team; seeing them sit third with European aspiration a long-term dream that might just happen sooner rather than later. A game against Chelsea is a perfect litmus of their progress as a team on whether they can play at the highest level against the top teams.

Newcastle is in a nine-game (six wins, three draws) unbeaten run, winning the last four consecutive games. Their performance against the top six was; a 3 – 3 draw against Manchester City, a 2 – 1 defeat against Liverpool, and a 2 – 1 win against Tottenham. They won their midweek EFL Cup encounter against Crystal Palace and will be in high spirits to keep up their winning form (five in all competitions).

Miguel Almiron has scored eight goals this season, netting in the last four games. That makes it seven goals in seven games, with his side winning every time he scores. Kieran Trippier has been magnificent since making the switch back to England. The captain (three assists) has been the key creator of chances, and the team builds up their attack mainly from the right. He has been key to Almiron’s improvement this season.

Paul Dummett is on a long-term injury to his calf. New signing Alexander Isak has been injured since early last month and could miss the World Cup. Emil Krath has a knee injury, and Matt Richie has a calf injury. The break coming up could be beneficial to get some players fit and ready for the second part of the season.

Bet on Newcastle v Chelsea at bet365

Despite losing the last three consecutive games, there is no considerable concern for Chelsea. Chelsea sits seventh, six points behind their hosts. The London side was, however, dreadful in their last league game against Arsenal, utterly dominated, especially in the midfield. Graham Potter didn’t have a tactical response, maybe because he hasn’t had a chance to bring in his signings to play his style. However, the Premier League is very unforgiving. As he saw with his predecessor exit, the Englishman needs to muscle in a result on their travel to St. James Park. It’s a tough place to visit, but it provides just the right avenue for their redemption.

The Blues enjoyed a stellar start to life under Graham Potter, who deserves some protection after losing the last three games against his former side, Brighton, Arsenal and Manchester City, in the Carabao Cup. Chelsea has won the previous four games against Newcastle without conceding a goal. They will hope to keep up this form and gain pace with their opponents, who are looking to distort the traditional top six and add a new challenge to the top four. A win would be a massive relief as we head to the break.

Pierre Emerick Aubameyang has looked dangerous at times but has scored just one goal in as many games this season. He leads the attack with Kai Havertz (three goals) and Raheem Sterling (three goals). The three need to find their rhythm as a unit. As individuals, they are great but have no understanding or chemistry together on the pitch.

Reece James (knee injury) and Ben Chilwell (thigh injury) will miss this game and the World Cup. Ngolo Kante is fighting a hamstring injury to be ready to defend the title with France and is ruled out for this game. Wesley Fofana has a knee injury.

Prediction: A draw.

Manchester City v Brentford

Form Guide LLDWL

Form Guide WWLDD

• Venue: Etihad Stadium
• Sat 12 Nov 12:30
• Referee: Peter Bankes
• Quick Glance Odds H: 3/25 D: 15/5 A: 14/1

About the Game:

The defending Champions are having a real challenge for the title this season and have so far looked on course to retain their crown despite the threat of Arsenal who lead the table. They fought hard to beat newly promoted side Fulham 2 – 1, having to introduce Erling Haaland, who was fresh from injury, to score the winning goal from the penalty spot late on. The injury-time goal was the latest goal they have scored under Pep Guardiola since 2017, having endured over sixty minutes with ten men. They hope to make it twelve consecutive home wins when they play another promoted side, Brentford, at the Etihad. There is no room for error as they are two points behind league leaders Arsenal with the World Cup break here. The Citizen’s home form is excellent, scoring first before the twenty-fifth minute in each of the last five home games. Haaland has matched Luis Suarez’s tally of sixteen goals in ten Premier League games.

Brentford will build confidence from Fulham’s performance at the Etihad and will try to steal a point or even all three against the defending champions. Thomas Frank’s side is in dreadful form, winless in the last five games in all competitions, including a Carabao defeat against League Two side Gillingham in midweek. In the league, they have just one win in seven games (drawing four, losing three), conceding late to draw 2 – 2 against Nottingham Forest. They have lost the head-to-head encounters with their weekend hosts failing to score in both legs last season, losing 2 – 0 here. The Bees have been slow starters conceding the opening goal before the twenty-fifth minute in each of the previous three games, which is ominous against fast-starting Manchester City. Ivan Toney scored in the midweek after missing the weekend action because of suspension has scored eight goals and will be hoping to make a mark as he keeps pushing for a World Cup call-up.

Prediction: Manchester City to win.

Bournemouth v Everton

Form Guide LLWDL

Form Guide DLLDW

• Venue: Vitality Stadium
• Sat 12 Nov 15:00
• Referee: Craig Pawson
• Quick Glance Odds H: 9/25 D: 11/5 A:3/2

About the Game:

Bournemouth welcomes Everton to the Vitality Stadium for the second time this week for their first win in five games (one draw, four defeats). The Cherries triumphed 4 – 1 in midweek in the EFL Cup. They hope to repeat the same performance against the Toffees. Gary O’Neil will be contemplating changes after the disappointing 4 – 3 defeat to Leeds United, throwing away a 3 – 1 lead in the match. They are the first-ever team in the Premier League to lose three consecutive games despite leading by two or more goals (Tottenham and Leeds) and must work on their game management. However, the newly promoted side sits just one point behind the Merseyside Club, and a win will see them leapfrog and move safer from the red zone. Philip Billing has scored four goals from ten shots giving him the best conversion rate in the division for players who have attempted ten or more shots.

Everton lost a 3 – 1 win in both legs in the Premier League the last time the two sides met and have never won at the Vitality Stadium (losing five, drawing two). A record that makes Bournemouth the side Everton has played the most on the road without taking all the spoils. They need a better performance and line-up, having made eleven changes with Frank Lampard calling out individual frailties for their defeat. The former Chelsea manager has led his side to just one win in the last seven consecutive games (one draw, five losses) and is now the bookie’s favourite to be the <a href=”/blog/premier-league-next-manager-leave-post-betting-odds.html”>next manager sacked</a>. They have gathered just sixteen away points since the start of last season, fewer than any other ever-present side in that period (three wins, seven draws, sixteen draws). Jordan Pickford will be busy as his side has conceded more shots (236) than any other side but has conceded fewer goals than all teams except the top three.

Prediction: Everton to win.

Liverpool v Southampton

Form Guide LDWWD

Form Guide LLLDD

• Venue: Anfield
• Sat 12 Nov 15:00
• Referee: Simon Hooper
• Quick Glance Odds H: 1/4 D: 11/2 A: 8/1

About the Game:

Once a pillar of success and a standard of excellence in the Premier League. However, their performance this season shows how Liverpool has drifted far from their best this campaign. Their inconsistency sees them closer to the bottom than the top, which they have been accustomed to. However, Jurgen Klopp’s side has racked up some remarkable wins against Manchester City, West Ham and their recent 2 – 1 triumph against Tottenham Hotspur, which were diluted by defeats against Nottingham Forest and Leeds United. They hope to end this big win-small defeat trend when they host Southampton at Anfield. Their home has been a fortress until Leeds ended their twenty-nine-game unbeaten run in their last match here. Mohammed Salah has been impressive despite his team’s struggles, especially in front of goal, scoring five goals in the previous four games, including two goals in their win against Spurs. He has ten goal contributions (seven goals, three assists) in eight games against the Saints. Not surprisingly, the Egyptian is very short odds to score here, bet365 have him at 5/6 to score anytime.

Southampton has found Anfield a challenging place to travel to, failing to win in the previous eight games and failing to score a goal in the last six (winning five, one draw). A run of just one win in their last nine games (drawing two, losing six) ended the spell of Ralph Hassenhuttl at St. Mary’s, leaving caretaker manager Ruben Selles to take charge. The Saints occupy the last slot in the relegation zone and will have to work out a win in the toughest of grounds. They could be in the red zone during Christmas for the first time since the 2004-05 season, where they suffered their only Premier League relegation. Southampton has conceded the first goal the most time this season (ten). However, Che Adams could come alive, having scored all his five goals this campaign (three in the league) away from home.

Prediction: Liverpool to win. 

Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace

Form Guide DWDDL

Form Guide LDLDW

• Venue: The City Ground
• Sat 12 Nov 15:00
• Referee: John Brooks
• Quick Glance Odds H: 21/10 D: 21/10 A: 137/100

About the Game:

Nottingham Forest gave a convincing performance despite drawing 2 – 2 to Brentford with the big-money acquisition Morgan Gibbs-White feeling they were cheated out of the points. The England international scored a sensational solo goal that could have been enough to lift them off the foot of the table but not out of the relegation zone. They have a final chance to ensure they do not head to the World Cup break bottom and will be motivated by their home form, where they are unbeaten in the last three (winning one, drawing two). They will be hoping to continue their impressive record against Palace as they have never lost against them, winning two and drawing two, and will be meeting for the first time since 1995. Dean Henderson is conceding a goal every forty-two Premier League minute, which could dent his chances of heading to the World Cup. They have conceded a league-high of twelve goals from outside the box.

Crystal Palace has not had much joy in their travels this season, with their recent 2 – 1 win against West Ham ending a run of seven winless games (four draws, three defeats) on the road. They will be hoping to earn consecutive away games for the second time under Patrick Viera’s reign. They have a good record against newly promoted sides, unbeaten in the last eight games (winning four, drawing four). The Eagles are the last team in the top half of the table and will be hoping for a solid end to the break as they could be ambitious and challenge for Europa League Football when the season resumes. Wilfred Zaha (six goals) has the most goals between both sides combined with the best goal provider, Eberechi Eze (three assists), in the last match is a partnership that could lead Palace to great heights.

Prediction: Crystal Palace to win.

Tottenham v Leeds

Form Guide WLWWD

Form Guide WDWLD

• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
• Sat 12 Nov 15:00
• Referee: Michael Salisbury
• Quick Glance Odds H: 4/7 D: 333/100 A: 4/1

About the Game:

Antonio Conte is among the highest-booked Tottenham team members despite not being on the pitch after receiving two cards in three games in all competitions. The Italian’s meltdowns aren’t helping the team build positive energy in the dressing room, and Tottenham seems to be experiencing a mid-season crisis. They have dropped to fourth after a costly September that saw them lose three and win one of their last four games. They lost 2 – 1 to Liverpool in the previous game, and if we consider the Merseyside club as a litmus test for their European ambitions, it doesn’t bode well. Spurs have won all five home games against teams placed below them by an average of 2.2 goals. Matt Doherty has won his last five games against Leeds United and opened the scoring in the 4 – 0 win against the Whites in February. They begin this round with the best second-half goal difference in home fixtures scoring twelve and conceding just one (+11).

Leeds United produced one of the best games of the season against Bournemouth, full of twists of turns that saw Jesse Marsch’s side come from a 3 – 1 scoreline to win 4 – 3. They will now likely feel invincible after their weekend heroics and ending Liverpool’s twenty-nine unbeaten streak at Anfield will have the momentum to win in London against a troubled Spurs. They have, however, not found joy against Spurs since being promoted, losing both games. They need to have a fast start as their opponents are unbeaten if they score the first goal winning five and drawing one. The Whites survived last season’s relegation by a whisker and need a win to not head to Christmas in the relegation zone as they did last season. Crysencio Summerville has hit all three goals after the eightieth minute, scoring the winning goal in the previous two games. He is a healthy 20/1 to grab the last goal in the game.

Prediction: Tottenham to win.

West Ham v Leicester

Form Guide LLLLL

Form Guide DWDWW

• Venue: London Stadium
• Sat 12 Nov 15:00
• Referee: Jarred Gillett
• Quick Glance Odds H: 19/20 D: 12/5 A: 14/5

About the Game:

Despite being two points off the relegation zone in position fifteen, the pressure isn’t as much on David Moyes as you would expect due to West Ham’s European adventures. The former Everton and Manchester United manager have given their European quest priority as they are favourites to win the second Europa Conference League. David Sullivan’s assurances of a paycheck will cool the Hammers’ nerves as they welcome Leicester City, who are in a poor run of form themselves with three defeats and one win in their last four games. Their defeat against Crystal Palace was a surprise as they had won six previous home games in all competitions and will be hoping to return to winning ways at the London stadium. They are unbeaten against the Foxes in the last four (winning three, drawing one). They will hope they keep their impressive form to finish firmly ahead of their opponents before the break. Jarrod Bowen is unbeaten in his four appearances (three wins, one draw) against the Foxes scoring three and assisting two.

Brendan Rodgers has seen his job advertised by the fans but could have rescued his career after a run of three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five. They have now moved from the relegation zone to fourteenth place, hoping to move further from the red zone into European football territory, which is their primary objective after missing out closely last season. The Foxes kept a clean sheet in all their victories; having improved in that part of the pitch, they struggled for a better half of the first half that saw them dwell at the bottom of the table, conceding twenty-four in the first ten games. Harvey Barnes has five goals in twelve Premier League games and has netted twice in six clashes against the Hammers (winning two, drawing two, losing two). We anticipate a high-scoring encounter as the last seven head-to-head meetings between the two has contained at least three goals.

Prediction: A draw.

Wolves v Arsenal

Form Guide WDLDD

Form Guide WWWLW

• Venue: Molineux Stadium
• Sat 12 Nov 19:45
• Referee: Stuart Attwell
• Quick Glance Odds H: 9/2 D: 16/5 A: 11/10

About the Game:

Wolves are winless in the last four games (three defeats, one draw) in the previous four games. New manager Julen Lopetegui has a lot to work on, especially in the goal-scoring department, as they are the lowest scorers with just eight goals. The poor form in attack means they will go to the break in the relegation zone, and if they don’t turn around their fortunes in front of the goal, a severe threat of being relegated is a real one. Wolves have scored in each of their last two games, which is a convincing performance to build on scoring twice in their 3 – 2 defeat against Brighton in the previous match. They have won two in the last four games against Arsenal and will need to be at their best to challenge the on-form league leaders. Goncalo Guedes scored the opening goal in the previous match and will be their inspiration against Arsenal.

In their wildest dream, Arsenal would not have believed they would be at the top of the table and be an equal challenge to the defending Champions, Manchester City. Mikel Arteta has built a formidable army that has conquered all their games (except Leeds United) in all aspects of possession, chance creation, and shots on goal. The Gunners outplayed Chelsea to win 1 – 0 to maintain a two-point lead at the top of the table against title favourites Manchester City. The London side’s form is excellent, dropping points just twice this season, losing to Manchester United and drawing to Southampton, and winning a league-high of eleven games. Gabriel Jesus (five goals) has been inspirational despite not scoring in ten appearances in all competitions. His movements and work rate creates space for Gabriel Martinelli (five goals) and Bakayo Saka (four goals) to shine. The World Cup break will be an unwanted distraction for the in-form side, but they will be motivated to enjoy the extended vacation at the top of the table.

Prediction: Arsenal to win.

Brighton v Aston Villa

Form Guide LDDDW

Form Guide WWLWD

• Venue: AMEX Stadium
• Sun 13 Nov 14:00
• Referee: Chris Kavanagh
• Quick Glance Odds H: 4/5 D: 14/5 A: 3/1

About the Game:

Brighton has risen from their ruins and has been high flying winning their last two games that started with a 4 – 1 demolition of their former manager, Graham Potter’s Chelsea. They fought hard for the recent 3 – 2 win against Wolves at the Molineux and will be hoping to keep up the excellent form that sees them sit pretty at sixth, five points behind fourth-placed Tottenham and with a game in hand. Roberto De Zerbi has found a winning formula for his side that has scored seven goals in the last two games but has conceded six in the previous three and kept just one clean sheet in five games. However, they must improve their defence as they are exceptional in the attack. Leandro Trossard is their star player with seven goals. Adam Lallana produced a man-of-the-match performance in the last match, scoring and providing an assist.

Aston Villa recovered from their shocking 4 – 0 defeat to Newcastle United to beat Manchester United 3 – 1. This result marks two wins and one loss since the departure of Steven Gerrard, with their recent performance giving Unai Emery a lot of good pointers to work on and improve his side. They sit just three points from the relegation zone, far from their league objectives as they were hoping to challenge for a Europa League slot, especially after the investments they made in the transfer window. However, their manager is a Europa League specialist and will be motivated to play in the competition. Jacob Ramsey, slotted in by Emery after being sidelined, rewarded his manager by creating the opening goal, scoring an own goal and the final goal to keep the match away from United. Leon Bailey scored the opening goal in their last two wins and has discovered his Premier League form and could be a menace for the opposition defence once again.

Prediction: Brighton to win.

Fulham v Manchester United

Form Guide DDWLL

Form Guide LWDLL

• Venue: Craven Cottage
• Sun 13 Nov 16:30
• Referee: Paul Tierney
• Quick Glance Odds H: 3/1 D: 11/4 A: 83/100

About the Game:

Marco Silva would have been gutted by his side’s performance in the last game, failing to take advantage against a ten men Manchester City side. The Cottagers gave away a late penalty to lose the game 2 – 1 to end a four-game unbeaten run (winning two, drawing two). Fulham is beyond their wildest dream sitting comfortably at the top half of the table and confident they can avoid relegation for the first time after shuffling between promotion and relegation. Aleksandar Mitrovic’s availability will be critical as they looked shady in attack without the maestro, who has scored nine goals. Andreas Pereira is their assist master, having created four goals and scored from the penalty spot in the last game and could be a thorn in the side of his previous club.

Manchester United have a dominant record against their weekend hosts, losing just three games in the thirty they have played against each other. However, the Red Devils need to get back to winning ways after losing 3 – 1 to Aston Villa in their last game. The defeat ended a nine-game unbeaten run in all competitions, and they conceded three or more goals for the third time this season which is a worrying statistic. However, there is no need for panic, but United often take two steps forward before taking a giant stride back. Goals have been lacking as they are the lowest scorers (eighteen goals) in the top six. Marcus Rashford tops their scoring charts with just four goals, and Cristiano Ronaldo, their leading scorer (seventeen goals) last season, has been struggling in front of goals with just one goal in ten games. So, the break comes at a perfect time for the Red Devils, who you feel could bring in another striker in the transfer window.

Prediction: Manchester United to win.