Match Day 23 Premier League Betting Tips 2022/23

Newcastle v Liverpool

Form Guide DWDWD

Form Guide DLWLW

• Venue: St James’ Park
• Sat 18 Feb 17:30
• Referee: Anthony Taylor
• Quick Glance Odds H: 3/2 D: 5/2 A: 17/10

About the Game:

Newcastle United sit fourth in the Premier League table, navigating in unfamiliar territory but backed up by wealthy owners, a visionary manager, motivated players, and a rejuvenated fanbase. They equalled their longest undefeated streak, which currently stands at seventeen games (nine wins, eight draws). Eddie Howe has built a strong defence that managed ten clean sheets in seventeen matches. The thirteen goals they have conceded this campaign are the lowest in the league. A win will keep them five points from the fifth-placed side; thus, we expect them to go all out and try to defeat the Premier League giants.

They lost 2 – 1 at Anfield in the first match of this fixture. They have won one and drawn five of their last six games and will be contented with a draw to keep their point advantage as both sides are eyeing a Champions League slot. Three consecutive stalemates and just three goals scored in the last five games show a dip in form for St. James.

Alexander Isak could match Alan Shearer’s achievements of 1999-00 of scoring both home and away against Liverpool. Miguel Almiron ended a nine-game run without a goal by scoring his tenth goal of the season in the previous match against Bournemouth.

Newcastle plays sixth place Brighton and Manchester City in the next two league games. They have an EFL Cup final against Manchester United between the two encounters. Emil Kraft has been sidelined for a long time with a knee injury. Javier Manquillo and Matt Targett are the other absentees for Newcastle.

Bet on Newcastle v Liverpool at bet365

Liverpool ended a four-game winless run (three defeats, one draw) with a 2 – 0 win against Everton. The Reds’ faithful are adamant that Jurgen Klopp, who has been brilliant for Liverpool, could turn their season around and qualify for European football. This match is a must-win to reduce the gap to fourth place to six points.

Liverpool will be hoping to avoid defeat at St. James Park for a sixth consecutive game (three wins, two draws). They have lost the previous three games on the road and will be anxious not to make it four. The last they lost four dates back to 2012; it included a 2 – 0 defeat to Newcastle.

The attacking trio of Mohammed Salah, Cody Gakpo, and Darwin Nunez is slowly maturing. Gakpo scored his first goal in a Liverpool shirt and will be motivated to get going, as eight of his last twelve club goals have come after halftime. We anticipate the youngster to brighten up the Reds’ attack in a tight encounter.

Luis Diaz has a knee injury, Arthur has a muscle injury, Ibrahima Konate has a thigh injury, and Thiago has a muscle injury. Virgil Van Dijk has recovered but was not risked in the Everton game but could start against Newcastle. The Reds play Real Madrid in midweek.

Prediction: A draw.

Aston Villa v Arsenal

Form Guide LLDWL

Form Guide WWLDD

• Venue: Villa Park
• Sat 18 Feb 12:30
• Referee: Simon Hooper
• Quick Glance Odds H: 16/5 D: 5/2 A: 4/5

About the Game:

Aston Villa started the Premier League season on a high unbeaten in the first four games (winning three, drawing one). Their form has, however, dipped with two consecutive defeats against Manchester United (3 – 1) and Leicester (4 – 2), which ended a four-game unbeaten run (three wins, one draw). Unai Emery has a lot to improve in their defence which has kept two clean sheets in the previous twelve games and conceded seven goals in two games. The Villa faithful are accustomed to poor starts as they have conceded in matches a league-high seventeen goals in the opening quarter-hour this campaign. Playing at home hasn’t been joyful either, winning just once since the World Cup drawing one and losing three. Emery will be against his former team; Arsenal will hope to use his insights to overturn a three-game losing run against them. Leon Bailey has scored fifteen goals of his previous seventeen goals at home.

Three games have utterly tainted Arsenal’s season and title-winning credentials. Mikel Arteta has to motivate his team that, despite losing 3 – 1 against Manchester City, were bold to express themselves and were the best team in some aspects of the game. The London side is now level on points with the defending Champions but sits second by goal difference, having played a game less. Nevertheless, they have the ammunition to spring back to the top of the table, at least for a while, before Manchester City play. Arsenal has won four of their last six visits to Villa Park (two losses), with Villa Park their second-best stadium (thirteen wins) after West Ham (fourteen wins). Gabriel Martinelli has seen his team win in each of his fourteen goal-scoring appearances. The return of Gabriel Jesus and Thomas Partey will be a colossal boast, especially with their run of form.

Prediction: Arsenal to win.

 Brentford v Crystal Palace

Form Guide LLWDL

Form Guide DLLDW

• Venue: Gtech Community Stadium
• Sat 18 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Paul Tierney
• Quick Glance Odds H: 909/1000 D: 5/2 A:16/5

About the Game:

Lee Mason saved Brentford, awarding them an offside goal against league leaders Arsenal to draw 1 – 1. Thomas Frank’s side is on a ten-game unbeaten run (five wins, five draws) which sees them sit eighth in the Premier League table with a realistic chance of securing a Europa League slot. Only Newcastle United have produced a longer undefeated streak which shows how strong they have been in performance. All three Premier League games between the two sides have been stalemates, but this match provides a chance to win four consecutive home games, a feat they haven’t achieved since 1937. The Bees scored in both halves in their last four home games. Ivan Toney has scored the opening goal in five of his previous seven goal-scoring appearances, including the equalising goal against Arsenal in their last match.

Palace will make the short London trip to the Brentford Community Stadium, hoping to return to winning ways after six games (three draws, three defeats). Patrick Viera’s side has not significantly performed in London derbies this term, with just one win, one draw, and five defeats in the previous seven encounters. The only victory in London came away from home when they defeated West Ham (2 – 1) but lost the subsequent four games on their travels (winning one). Wilfred Zaha is the only Eagles player to score more than one goal on the road this season, and the maestro scored the opening goal in the reverse fixture. They will also have to keep a solid defensive line as they managed this campaign in the opening half of seven of their ten away league games.

Prediction: Brentford to win.

Brighton v Fulham

Form Guide LDWWD

Form Guide LLLDD

• Venue: AMEX Stadium
• Sat 18 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Darren England
• Quick Glance Odds H: 13/20 D: 14/5 A: 9/2

About the Game:

Brighton has been the surprise package of the Premier League this campaign sitting sixth just four points and two games in hand behind Tottenham which could potentially take them to fourth. Therefore, Roberto de Zerbi is on course to lead the Seagulls to Europe for the first time in their history. They are on a five-game unbeaten run (three wins, two draws), with their only defeat since the World Cup break coming against league leaders Arsenal. Brighton will hope to make it four wins in a row at the Amex when they welcome Fulham. They have one of the best attacks in the league that has been outscored by only Spurs, Manchester City and Arsenal with their thirty-nine goals. World Cup winner Alexis Mac Allister is hoping to get on the scoresheet to improve his seven goals.

Fulham is arguably the second-best team outside the top six behind their weekend hosts. The Cottagers sit seventh with the two sides level on points, and a win here could send them ahead of their hosts. Marco Silva will be motivated coming into this game from a 2 – 0 win against Nottingham Forest that ended a three-game winless run in the league. They won the first leg of this encounter 2 – 1 and will be hoping to do a double against Brighton for the first time since 1993. Fulham has outdone themselves in the previous two promoted seasons, where they were relegated in the subsequent season. Their performance on the road has been excellent, winning four, drawing one, and losing one. Andreas Pereira has provided six assists and sits fourth in the assist tally as their goal architect.

Prediction: A draw.

Chelsea v Southampton

Form Guide DWDDL

Form Guide LDLDW

• Venue: Stamford Bridge
• Sat 18 Feb 15:00
• Referee: David Coote
• Quick Glance Odds H: 2/5 D: 15/4 A: 15/2

About the Game:

The transformation for Chelsea is taking a long and rocky road despite massive expenditure in the January transfer window. Graham Potter had led the Blues to their worst position at this stage since 2015-16, with his job security a constant worry as they are in a worse place than when he took over. They are on a four-game unbeaten run (one win, three draws) but lost to Dortmund midweek in the first leg of their Champions League tie. The Blues are ten points behind fourth-placed Newcastle United in their quest to secure European football. Mason Mount has had an average of one goal contribution (four goals, one assist) in the head-to-head against Southampton. Potter has won just five (thirteen draws, six defeats) in his twenty-four Premier League games against teams that started the game week in the red zone.

Southampton, sit the bottom of the Premier League table, parted ways with Nathan Jones after less than one hundred days in charge. The standards he left are easy to outdo with just one win (seven defeats) in the eight-game spell. Saints travel to the capital without a manager having missed out on acquiring former Leeds United manager Jesse Marsch need four points to move out of the relegation zone. The Saints hierarchy needs to get the managerial decision right as it could be the all-important decision to secure their survival. In addition, they need to work on their defence, which has managed just one clean sheet in twenty-eight games, conceding ten goals across their last five away games. Romeo Lavia scored his first goal against Chelsea in the reverse win, football betting fans can get a decent return if he repeats the feat, bet365 have him at 40/1 to open the scoring and 16/1 to score anytime.

Prediction: Chelsea to win.

Everton v Leeds

Form Guide WLWWD

Form Guide WDWLD

• Venue: Goodison Park
• Sat 18 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Andrew Madley
• Quick Glance Odds H: 7/5 D: 23/10 A: 2/1

About the Game:

From the height of beating league leaders Arsenal, Everton was humbled by Liverpool, losing 2 – 0 at Anfield on Monday night. They will hope to make it two home wins in a row when they welcome relegation rivals Leeds United to Goodison Park with just one place and one point the difference between the two sides in the table. Sean Dyche’s influence on the Toffees is evident in a change in their attitude, mentality, and physical approach to games. Playing at home has a good feeling with the fans rejuvenated and believing in their progress responsible for creating one of the most hostile environments in the Premier League. They will be full of confidence, reckoning just one defeat (seven draws, seven wins) in fifteen home games against Leeds. Everton scored just one goal from open play since October last year, giving James Tarkowski the edge to score from a corner kick.

Leeds United are in a managerial hunt to find a superhero to guide them to survival in this campaign. Micheal Skubala will remain in charge when they travel to Goodison Park, but his name will be tainted if he fails to win here as he would be in the records for guiding his side to the fewest goals across twenty games. The Whites are nine games without a win, coming so close to winning in their previous game on the road, where they lost a two-goal lead to draw 2 – 2 against Manchester United. Their performances have not been as bad as their league position suggests, ranking ninth in shots (270) and tenth for shots conceded (292). They have not performed well against teams that started the match week in the relegation zone (drawing two, losing one). However, Patrick Bamford has found his fitness back and become an integral part of the team linking up play, managing three assists in the last four games and two assists in the previous three games against Everton.

Prediction: A draw.

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City

Form Guide LLLLL

Form Guide DWDWW

• Venue: The City Ground
• Sat 18 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Graham Scott
• Quick Glance Odds H: 15/2 D: 9/2 A: 3/10

About the Game:

Nottingham Forest is starting to feel the pressure of the intensity of playing in the Premier League, having to make two substitutions in the opening ten minutes of the previous game. As a result, they lost 2 – 0 against Fulham to end a five-game unbeaten run (three wins, two draws). The Forester still sits six points within the relegation zone heading to the home game against the in-form Manchester City. Steve Cooper will hope his side keeps their impressive form that has been unbeaten here since mid-September (winning four, drawing three). They have, however, not won against a side that started the match week in the top eight (drawing one, losing two), which will be a huge worry, especially with the injuries. Brennan Johnson scored in their last three home games, opening the scoring in two.

Manchester City are back at the summit of the Premier League table, and in the words of Pep Guardiola, ‘if anyone wants to win the title, they have to take it from us.’ The defending Champions showed their experience managing their match against Arsenal, winning 3 – 1. They easily breezed past their opponents, winning 6 – 0 against them in August, scoring three goals in each half. With their eyes on the title, we anticipate another high-scoring encounter with goal difference an integral part of the race. The win at Emirates ended a run of two straight defeats in the travel with the 1 – 0 defeat against Tottenham Hotspur was the match they didn’t score first in the previous six away games. Kevin de Bruyne scored and provided an assist against Arsenal has not had the best season, but his experience makes him come alive in significant moments of the match.

Prediction: Manchester City to win.

Wolves v Bournemouth

Form Guide WDLDD

Form Guide WWWLW

• Venue: Molineux Stadium
• Sat 12 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Michael Salisbury
• Quick Glance Odds H: 333/500 D: 13/5 A: 5/1

About the Game:

The mood in the Wolves camp would have been great all week, coming from a goal down to win 2 – 1 against Southampton with ten men. Julen Lopentangui has produced impulsive performances since becoming the manager, losing twice, winning four and drawing once, taking more points from just eight games than they did in the previous fourteen. Wolves could be the first Premier League club to finish in the top half of the table after sitting bottom of the table at Christmas. They currently sit fifteenth, eight points from the relegation phase will be glad to play at the Molineux, hoping to make it three consecutive wins in a calendar year. Joao Gomes came off the bench to score the winning goal and complete the comeback against Southampton on his debut, making an impact in less than twenty minutes of game time. For a side struggling for goals, the maestro could be of enormous significance to the side.

Bournemouth has not won against Wolves in the previous five games (two draws, three defeats), with two losses coming at the Molineux, losing to nil. Nathan Jones is a man hoping for redemption with his job hanging on the edge despite taking a point from Newcastle over the weekend. The Cherries have travelling sickness, losing six straight games and failing to score in three since the start of the year. They are yet to keep a shutout on the road as one of just three sides in England’s top four divisions yet to achieve this fate. Dango Ouattara provided an assist and is yet to score for his new side. Only one of the Cherries’ twenty league strikes has come from outside the area, making Dominic Solanke a real target to score.

Prediction: Wolves to win.

Manchester United v Leicester

Form Guide LDDDW

Form Guide WWLWD

• Venue: Old Trafford
• Sun 19 Feb 14:00
• Referee: Stuart Attwell
• Quick Glance Odds H: 123/200 D: 16/5 A: 4/1

About the Game:

Manchester United have been in impressive form to move briefly into second place in the Premier League table and is five points within reach of the summit. They recovered from the defeat to Arsenal with three unbeaten games (winning two and drawing one). They took four points from Leeds United, coming from two goals down to draw 2 – 2 at Old Trafford and taking all three points, thumping them 2 – 0. A very committed week after a midweek trip to Barcelona in which they will feel aggrieved not to have won the game, more than holding their own in a 2-2 against the La Liga leaders in the Europa League. This increased workload will be a test for Eric ten Hag, who rarely rotates his side. Marcus Rashford has been in the form of his life since returning from Qatar and has now scored thirteen goals and made three assists. The Three Lions attacker is arguably the best player in the Premier League right now and could be on the score sheet again here.

The Foxes have risen from the slumber that saw them entangled in the relegation battle for an extended period. A three-game unbeaten run (winning two, drawing one), including winning the previous two games, sees them move up to the thirteenth, six points off the red zone. They impressively came from a goal down to thump Tottenham Hotspurs 4 – 1, which is their second game they scored four goals after conceding first after their 4 – 2 triumph against Aston Villa. Brendan Rodgers is a relieved man with the current form likely to save his job and will hope his side repeats their heroics of a win (2 – 1) and a draw (1 – 1) in their last two visits to Old Trafford. James Maddison has nine goals and five assists and has been part of everything the team does going forward will be a nuisance for the United defence.

Prediction: A draw.

Tottenham v West Ham United

Form Guide DDWLL

Form Guide LWDLL

• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
• Sun 19 Feb 16:30
• Referee: Michael Oliver
• Quick Glance Odds H: 1/2 D: 333/100 A: 11/2

About the Game:

Tottenham Hotspur were thumped 4 – 1 against Leicester City at the King Power stadium and thus would be glad to play in London. They won 1 – 0 in their previous home game against Manchester City and will be motivated to keep up their home form. The absence of animated manager Antonio Conte on the sidelines is greatly missed as they lost their way after scoring first against Leicester and didn’t recover once the goals started going in. They are embroiled in the top-four race with just two points between them and fourth-placed Newcastle United. Harry Kane has been their guy, and he was on target with the only game that won them all three points when they played at home. The maestro is on seventeen goals, and we fancy him adding one more against West Ham.

The Hammers have lost one, won one and drawn three of their last five games. Not an exciting fact when you realise the London side are just two points off the relegation zone. For a side that has enjoyed long chunks on the top half over the previous seasons, they are foraging in unfamiliar territory, and you would feel if things escalate in this trajectory, David Moyes doesn’t have the know-how to guide them to safety. The Londoners need to start winning games by getting over the line and taking all three points. They have an excellent record against Spurs, winning two, drawing two, and losing just one in their last five games. Jarrod Bowen (four goals) is their go-to guy for goals.

Prediction: Tottenham to win.