Match Day 21 Premier League Betting Tips 2022/23

Everton v Arsenal

Form Guide DWDWD

Form Guide DLWLW

• Venue: Goodison Park
• Sat 4 Feb 12:30
• Referee: David Coote
• Quick Glance Odds H: 15/2 D: 7/2 A: 2/5

About the Game:

If a side is banking on the ‘managerial bounce’ superstition, the Toffees need one. Hoping a change in guard could boost the players’ confidence and make the fans again believe in the team. Lampard oversaw the longest winless run for Everton, eight games (six defeats, two draws). They sit nineteenth with a win sending them out of the danger zone.

Dyche has lost just one of his previous five personal games against Arsenal (one win, three draws). The Toffees’ best performance was a 1 – 1 draw against Man City on the last day of the year. For a side that has lost their last five home game in a row and would need a close-to-perfect performance to get a result against the league leaders. A 2 – 1 scoreline has resulted in Everton’s favour in the last two games in this venue against Arsenal. This significant statistic could boost them psychologically ahead of this encounter.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored at least one goal under their previous six permanent managers and would make it seven if he scores under Dyche. Former Arsenal midfielder Alex Iwobi has been their most creative player with six-goal involvements (one goal, five assists) and has the best numbers for the Merseyside club. However, the Nigerian understands his former side well and could be the weapon to hurt them.

The departure of their top scorer Antony Gordon leaves a significant dent in the side’s attack. Andros Townsend, Nathan Patterson, and Micheal Keane are all side-lined with knee injuries. They play their Merseyside neighbours Liverpool in the next match in a tough start to life under Dyche.

Bet on Everton v Arsenal  at bet365

Arsenal is living in a dream world, overperforming in every aspect of their game to see themselves top of the Premier League table with a game in hand. The mental strength and momentum in the Gunners’ side showcase confidence in how they approach games dominating all aspects and attacking intensively in the entirety of the game. Coming from a 3 – 2 win against Manchester United, we anticipate a strong performance from Arsenal to establish an eight-point advantage at the top of the table to intensify their quest for a first title in twenty years.

They have won each of their last three away games, including victories in hostile atmospheres such as in the North London derby by two goals or more. That said, travelling to Goodison Park will not be a scare for the league leaders. Mikel Arteta’s side is unbeaten in thirteen games; we don’t expect them to slip up against relegation-threatened Everton.

Martin Odegaard is captaining his side from the front with eight goals. Bukayo Saka tops the side regarding goal involvement (seven goals, seven assists). Gabriel Martinelli follows suit with seven goals in a diverse attack that tends to share the responsibility of scoring and assisting when one of them is struggling for form.

Gabriel Jesus is set to return this month, but the team has performed exceptionally well without the Brazilian. Reiss Nelson is also side-lined with a thigh injury. However, Arsenal will play every game with all their mindset on the fifth of February when they play title rivals Man City.

Prediction: Arsenal to win.

Chelsea v Fulham

Form Guide LLDWL

Form Guide WWLDD

• Venue: Stamford Bridge
• Fri 3 Feb 20:00
• Referee: Stuart Atterll
• Quick Glance Odds H: 571/1000 D: 16/5 A: 9/2

About the Game:

Chelsea has enjoyed two weeks without a fixture in a mini-preseason as they hope to rekindle their season. The Blues were the busiest in the transfer window, see them reinforce their squad to improve their as they are currently tenth in the Premier League table, ten points away from the top four. Graham Potter has overseen just one win in the last seven games (two draws, three defeats), settling for a goalless draw against Liverpool in their previous game. The English manager has never won against Fulham as a manager (losing two, drawing two) and has lost the two games he managed against Marco Silva. Kai Havertz scored the winning goal against Crystal Palace in their last home game and scored both goals in their 2 – 0 win in their previous match against their visitors at Stamford Bridge.

Fulham has been upsetting the odds and disappointing the top boys in the Premier League this campaign. They triumphed 2 – 1 in their last head-to-head and will be hoping to repeat their heroics. The Cottagers make the short journey across the capital with a two-point advantage as they keep their European qualification hopes alive. They are winless in the last three games (one draw, two defeats) in all competitions on the back of five consecutive wins. The newly promoted side’s greatest strength has been their defence, as they have not conceded more than twice in a league game, which keeps them alive in games. Willian returns to his former home, having scored the opening goal in the meeting at Craven Cottage, could spark a charge to take all six points from their hosts.

Prediction: Chelsea to win.

Aston Villa v Leicester City

Form Guide LLWDL

Form Guide DLLDW

• Venue: Villa Park
• Sat 4 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Darren England
• Quick Glance Odds H: 19/20 D: 13/5 A:14/5

About the Game:

Aston Villa has flourished under Unai Emery, who won their fifth game 1 – 0 against Southampton (one draw, one defeat). They are the second-best team behind league leader Arsenal in the impressive run of form across seven games; a win here could see them move into the top half ahead of Liverpool and Chelsea. The only worry for the Villa’s supporters is that the two games they have dropped points in this impressive run all came on home soil. They hope to make their fortress more productive in the second phase of the games. Ollie Watkins has contributed forty league goals (twenty-nine goals, eleven assists) to Aston Villa, more than two times any other player since he arrived at the club. 

Leicester City has been on a downward trajectory at a rapid pace. They have lost the most games in the league and picked up fewer points since the return from the World Cup break (one draw, four defeats). Brendan Rodgers got a slight relief with a narrow 1 – 0 victory against Walsall in the FA Cup and will hope to carry the momentum into the league. They had lost a league-high of seven away games and will hope for a bright start as they had not lost just once when they conceded the opening goal (drawing once, losing seven) in a run that stretches back to May 2022. The Foxes’ progress is further dented by an injury to their legend Jamie Vardy who has been their core master in their success over the recent years. They have failed to score in one of the previous sixteen away games and thus need to avoid conceding to get a good result.

Prediction: Aston Villa to win.

Brentford v Southampton

Form Guide LDWWD

Form Guide LLLDD

• Venue: Brentford Community Stadium
• Sat 4 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Darren Bond
• Quick Glance Odds H: 17/20 D: 13/5 A: 16/5

About the Game:

Brentford will be fresh, as they did not feature over the weekend after being knocked out early in the FA Cup. They will have fresh legs and be mentally motivated to pursue their European ambitions when they welcome bottom-of-the-league side Southampton. February has been a bad month for the Bees as they earned just one point from the possible twelve last season, and with two games against the top four (Arsenal and Man United), they need to get maximum points in this game. The Bees are on an eight-game unbeaten run (four wins, four draws). All credit goes to their game management and how they start games on the front foot, as they are yet to concede a goal in the first half since the World Cup break. They have scored the opening goal in five of the previous six games at the Brentford Community Stadium, so football betting fans may fancy backing them to score first.

The Saints sit bottom of the Premier League table after a 1 – 0 defeat at home against Aston Villa and being knocked out of the Carabao semi-final by Newcastle. The previous two consecutive wins on the road have seen Southampton fight from a 1 – 0 deficit, with James Ward-Prowse initiating the comeback on both occasions to win by a 2 – 1 scoreline against Crystal Palace and Everton. They boast a unique status along the seven teams yet to draw an away league match (three wins, seven defeats). Defender Romain Perraud scored a brace in the FA Cup against Blackpool and is one to watch out for, bet365 are offering 18/1 for him to score at any time, and a generous 40/1 to open the scoring. A lot of things are not working for Southampton, but a win could be enough to propel them out of the relegation zone with disregard to the other games.

Prediction: A draw.

Brighton v Bournemouth

Form Guide DWDDL

Form Guide LDLDW

• Venue: AMEX Stadium
• Sat 4 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Craig Pawson
• Quick Glance Odds H: 333/1000 D: 17/4 A: 8/1

About the Game:

Robert de Zerbi is indeed a delighted man after managing to retain the services of midfielder Moises Caicedo, who tried to force a move to Arsenal. The Seagulls can keep soaring high with their overhaul of thirty-one points at the mid-season, the most they have ever managed, sitting pretty at position six, eight points away from fourth place and with a game in hand. You wouldn’t blame the Amex faithful for dreaming of making a first-ever appearance at a European competition. Their performances have been outstanding this campaign, recently coming from a goal down to win 2 – 1 against Liverpool and knock the holders out of the FA Cup. The Brighton attack has been outscored (thirty-one goals) by the five teams above them. Kaoru Mitoma is fast climbing the ranks of the greatest wingers to ever grace the Premier League with five-goal involvements (four goals, one assist) in the last six appearances.

Bournemouth is skating on thin ice, winless in the last five games (four defeats, one draw), a run that saw them drop into the red zone. They boast just one win in eleven outings (eight defeats, two draws), yielding a league-low of five away points. The Cherries have the worst defensive record in the league (forty-two), seven more than any other side. The poor run saw the newly promoted side heavily invested in the transfer window with six acquisitions as they worked on improving the team ahead of the survival quest. Gary O’Neil’s side is three points worse than their tally at this stage in the 2019-20 season, where they were relegated. Dango Ouattara registered an assist in his first game and has five of his six goals for his former side (Lorient), which was the game’s first goal. Therefore he might be a good option in the first goalscorer market.

Prediction: Brighton to win.

Manchester United v Crystal Palace

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Form Guide WDWLD

• Venue: Old Trafford
• Sat 4 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Andre Marriner
• Quick Glance Odds H: 2/5 D: 15/4 A: 7/1

About the Game:

Manchester United secured a place in the EFL Cup final to be held at Wembley later in the month, beating Nottingham Forest by a 5 – 0 aggregate. They are in contention for the top four in the Premier League, hoping to bounce back to winning ways after losing it late against Arsenal (3 – 2), conceding in additional time. It was their only defeat in seven games (five wins, one draw) in a run that has rejuvenated the team. The Theatre of Dreams has been their fortress, where they have avoided defeat in eight consecutive games (seven wins, one draw) since losing the first game. They have not conceded a first-half goal here since the opening day. The Brazilian duo of Casemiro and Fred have been the pillar of the team’s success, solidly covering for the defence and being productive in the attack. Mason Greenwood has had charges against him dropped, but it seems unlikely he will play for the club again. Jadon Sancho featured for United midweek after three months out and could make another appearance from the bench.

In the last match, Crystal Palace stole a point from Manchester United to end their five-game winning run and dent their title credentials. The Eagles have no relegation worries but are still looking for their first win of 2023 (drawing two, losing two). Old Trafford is not the preferable ground to head to and take all the spoils but having lost just one of the previous four games against them (two wins, one draw), they could fancy their chances. Patrick Viera’s side averages just 0.78 goals per away game and scored an opening goal in one of their seven games (two wins, two draws, three defeats). Former Man United winger Wilfred Zaha is injured to face his former side, but with Michael Ollise in their ranks, who scored the last-minute equaliser, anything is possible.

Prediction: Manchester United to win.

Wolves v Liverpool

Form Guide LLLLL

Form Guide DWDWW

• Venue: Molineux Stadium
• Sat 4 Feb 15:00
• Referee: Paul Tierney
• Quick Glance Odds H: 3/1 D: 11/4 A: 17/20

About the Game:

Wolves have won just once in the last seven games (two draws, four defeats) and have to play seven games in twenty-three days. Julen Lopetegui saw his side thumped 3 – 0 by Man City after being eliminated from the EFL and FA Cup. Goals have been scarce for Wolves as the league’s poorest attackers with just twelve goals; they must turn around their fortunes to escape the relegation threat. Nevertheless, they should be glad to play at the Molineux as they won their last home match (1 – 0 against West Ham). Daniel Podence is their top goalscorer, with all his five goals this season being the game’s opening goal. However, Wolves will be out for revenge playing the side that knocked them out of the FA Cup, with the thought of their goal that was controversially ruled out in the 2 – 2 draw still fresh in their minds.

Liverpool failed to defend their FA Cup trophy over the weekend, losing 2 – 1 late against Brighton despite scoring the opening goal. The Reds are desperate for a win, and a game against a team they have won the previous eleven head-to-head matches provides the perfect avenue to get back on the winning trail. Liverpool is ten points off the top four with a game in hand. The Reds are winless in the last three games (two losses, one draw) and have scored just one goal in this run. Both defeats came on the road and saw them concede three goals on both occasions, and they will be battling not to make it three defeats on the bounce for the first time since March 2012. Mohammed Salah will be making a 200th appearance for Liverpool and has a good record against Wolves with four-goal involvements (two goals, two assists) in four games.

Prediction: Liverpool to win.

Newcastle United v West Ham United

Form Guide WDLDD

Form Guide WWWLW

• Venue: St James’ Park
• Sat 4 Feb 17:30
• Referee: Peter Bankes
• Quick Glance Odds H: 123/200 D: 11/4 A: 5/1

About the Game:

Newcastle United are one step closer to a first major trophy in twenty-four years under Saudi Arabian ownership and the guidance of Eddie Howe. They triumphed 3 – 1 on aggregate against Southampton to book a slot in the Wembley final against Manchester United. They sit third in the Premier League table, eleven points off the top of the table, but they will be contented with a top-four finish for the first time in twenty years. They have the best defence in the league and kept their sixth consecutive shutout in their goalless draw against Crystal Palace over the weekend. The Magpies have not conceded in five home games (four wins, one draw) and are one of six teams yet to drop points when they score first while playing at home (winning five). Antony Gordon makes his debut and could be number ten playing through the centre. The 21-year-old signed for £45m from Everton, could be the signing the Magpies have been yearning for to crack defences through the middle.

West Ham is currently the opposite of Newcastle despite enjoying better times in recent years. David Moyes is surviving dismissal on a day-by-day basis, with their 2 – 0 win against his former employers; Everton saved his job for at least another week. The Hammers now sit sixteenth on the Premier League table, just one point from the relegation zone, meaning there is no room for error to work on their survival. Games against Chelsea, Spurs, Man United (FA Cup) and Brighton are lined up; thus, this will be an essential match to set the pace ahead of the demanding schedule. They have had a good record at St. James Park, losing just once, winning three, and drawing one. Jarrod Bowen scored the opening goal in their recent 2 – 0 FA Cup win at Derby. We expect the London side to bring their best game, and they could spring a surprise and steal a point here.

Prediction: Newcastle United to win.

Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Form Guide LDDDW

Form Guide WWLWD

• Venue: The City Ground
• Sun 5 Feb 14:00
• Referee: Robert Jones
• Quick Glance Odds H: 8/5 D: 12/5 A: 17/10

About the Game:

Nottingham Forest is in the form of their life, unbeaten in the last four games (winning two, drawing two) since their 3 – 0 defeat to Manchester United. The Foresters, who endured a lengthy spell at the bottom of the Premier League, currently sit thirteenth four points clear of the relegation zone. Their solid defence has attributed to their recent success as they conceded just two goals from four, coming in a 1 – 1 draw against Chelsea and away against Bournemouth. More impressive is that they came from behind to secure a point on both occasions, which shows how they have improved mentally in their approach to games. You would fancy getting a good result at home against Leeds United. Brennan Johnson (four goals) has been in fine form in recent games scoring twice in their 2 – 0 win against Leicester City the last time they played here.

Leeds United is having an eventful season with many highlights but now have to be resourceful to improve their position on the table. The Whites are winless in the six games (three draws, three defeats), settling for a goalless draw against Brentford in the last match. However, Jesse Marsch’s side will go level on points with their host if they win, with both sides not safe from the relegation battle that is set to intensify in the second round of games. They boast a good record in the Premier League against the hosts and are unbeaten in the last four games (two wins, two draws), drawing 1 – 1 in the previous two games they played here. Rodrigo has ten goals and has occasionally produced magic for the Whites, and if they are to get a good result here, he will surely be an integral part of it.

Prediction: Leeds United to win.

Tottenham v Manchester City

Form Guide DDWLL

Form Guide LWDLL

• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
• Sun 5 Feb 16:30
• Referee: Andrew Madley
• Quick Glance Odds H: 7/2 D: 16/5 A: 7/10

About the Game:

A top-six clash will be the weekend’s final event as title-chasing Manchester City head to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The London side has had joy against the defending Champions, winning three of their last five games against them, including the two consecutive games in this stadium. They recovered from two successive defeats against top-six opposition, 4 – 2 against Man City and 2 – 0 against Arsenal, with a 1 – 0 win against Fulham. Spurs will be without Antonio Conte in the touchline, who had surgery to remove his gallbladder and will be off the touchlines for a while. However, Harry Kane is steadily chasing the golden boot race with sixteen goals, nine goals behind Erling Haaland (twenty-five). A good result keeps them on pace with the top four as they hope to qualify for Europe in consecutive seasons.

Man City have their eyes set on the title but is being outclassed by Arsenal, who top the table with their two head-to-head games that could decide the fate of the Premier League title. The defending Champions are five points behind the league leaders, who could go eight points clear by the time they feature on Sunday. However, there is no room for error, as dropping points here could hinder their quest from overtaking Arsenal. Pep Guardiola and his squad have the advantage, with many still regarded as favourites to win, especially with their success of four league titles in five years. They head to Tottenham having triumphed 4 – 2 against Spurs early in the year and will be hoping to make it three wins in a row after beating Wolves 3 – 0 in their recent game. Erling Haaland is the man to watch, with twenty-five goals on course to smash the record for the highest number of goals scored in a single season.

Prediction: Manchester City to win.