Sunderland vs Everton 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 31 October 2025

Sunderland vs Everton at Stadium of Light on Monday presents a fascinating Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees the high-flying hosts to exploit the visitors’ poor away form, identifying value in a Sunderland to Win, Both Teams to Score – No, and Correct Score 2-0.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Sunderland are in superb form, sitting 4th in the table and buzzing from a dramatic 2-1 victory at Chelsea. That win, secured by a Chemsdine Talbi goal in the 94th minute, was a testament to their ambition, as they snatched all three points on a late counter-attack rather than settling for a draw. Their strength is built on an outstanding home record, where they have been dominant. However, their defensive unit faces a significant test this week.

Sunderland Absences:

• Omar Alderete (Head/Face): The key concern. Alderete is under concussion protocols and is a major doubt for this fixture. His absence would be a significant blow to their defensive solidity and aerial strength.
• Mouhamadou Habib Diarra (Groin/Hip/Pelvic): Ruled out. The Black Cats will miss his midfield energy and ball-winning ability.
• Leo Fuhr Hjelde (Calf/Shin/Heel): Ruled out. Tests the team’s defensive depth, especially at full-back.
• Romaine Mundle (Thigh Injury): Ruled out. Removes a pacey option from the bench.
• Dennis Cirkin (Wrist/Hand): Ruled out. Another defender unavailable, stretching the squad thin.
• Ajibola Afolarin Alese (Shoulder): Ruled out. The long-term absentee remains unavailable.

Everton, by contrast, are in a worrying slump. They sit 14th and were thoroughly beaten 0-3 by Tottenham last time out, a match that marked their first defeat at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium. The analysis from that game was bleak: they were undone by set-pieces for Micky van de Ven’s two goals and were described as “missing a striker’s instinct.” With forwards Beto and Thierno Barry having just one league goal between them all season, their attack looks toothless, especially on the road.

Everton Absences:

• Jarrad Branthwaite (Thigh Injury): A huge blow for the Toffees. The talented centre-back is ruled out long-term, and his absence was keenly felt in the 0-3 loss to Spurs.
• Nathan Patterson (Ankle/Foot): Also ruled out. This robs Everton of their primary right-back, forcing a reshuffle and further weakening a defence that is already shipping 1.75 goals per game away from home.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This match is a classic case of an elite home side facing a team that cannot perform on the road. The statistical gulf in the ‘Tale of the Tape’ is stark. Sunderland’s 2.50 Points Per Game at the Stadium of Light is built on a formidable defence that concedes just 0.50 goals per game. Everton, meanwhile, are dreadful on their travels, earning just 0.75 PPG. Their attack is blunt, failing to score in 50% of their away games and generating a paltry 7.75 shots per match. While Everton’s historical H2H record is strong, all current form and data points to a confident home victory, especially with Everton’s defence crippled by the loss of Branthwaite.

Our football betting tips for Sunderland vs Everton are:

Best Bet: Sunderland to Win (15/8)

Justification: The disparity in Home/Away PPG (2.50 vs 0.75) is too large to ignore. Sunderland win 75% of their home fixtures, while Everton have lost their last two league games and are in poor form. The 15/8 on a home win is exceptional value.

Value Prop: Both Teams to Score – No (17/20)

Justification: This logically follows our main bet. Sunderland keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games, while Everton’s impotent attack fails to score in 50% of their away fixtures. With Everton’s main strikers struggling, a home win to nil is very likely.

Longshot: Correct Score 2-0 (12/1)

Justification: A 2-0 final scoreline offers great value at 12/1. It aligns perfectly with Sunderland’s average of 2.00 goals scored at home and Everton’s well-documented offensive struggles on the road, combined with their key defensive injuries.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Sunderland vs Everton, provided for your reference.

A win for Sunderland could solidify their top-four ambitions, while Everton are desperate to halt their slide and find some form away from home.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.