Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur Bet Builder Predictions

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur at St James’ Park on Tuesday presents a pivotal Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a high-scoring home victory, identifying value in the match winner market, a goalscorer prop, and a correct score longshot at the best betting sites.

A vibrant illustration displaying the crests of two English Premier League football clubs, Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur. Newcastle United's logo, featuring two seahorses flanking a shield with a castle and a lion above a banner that reads "Newcastle United," is positioned on the left. On the right, Tottenham Hotspur's emblem showcases a stylised navy blue cockerel standing on a football, with the club's name "Tottenham Hotspur" written in an arc below. Between the logos, a large football is placed on the ground with players' legs from both teams visible, ready to kick off. This scene is set against the backdrop of a floodlit football stadium, with the Premier League logo and text prominently displayed at the top centre.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This midweek clash features two sides moving in opposite directions. Newcastle United have turned a corner, securing back-to-back league victories and turning St James’ Park into a fortress with three consecutive home wins.

Their attack is firing, averaging 1.67 goals per game at home, and they have scored in 100% of their matches on Tyneside this season.

In stark contrast, Tottenham arrive in the North East winless in their last four Premier League outings. While their away record (four wins from six) appears strong on paper, their historical performance at this venue is dismal—Spurs have lost their last four trips to Newcastle, conceding a staggering 16 goals in the process.

The “Tale of the Tape” reveals a critical mismatch in defensive stability. Tottenham have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half, highlighting a fragility that Newcastle’s aggressive start is perfectly primed to exploit.

With key Spurs attackers Dominic Solanke and James Maddison ruled out, and Newcastle’s top scorer Nick Woltemade in fine form, the data points firmly towards a home win with plenty of goalmouth action.

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Our football betting tips for Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur are:

Best Bet: Newcastle to Win (3/4) Justification: The momentum gap is undeniable. Newcastle have won three straight home league games, while Tottenham are winless in four. Furthermore, history is heavily on the Magpies’ side; they have beaten Spurs in their last four meetings at St James’ Park, scoring an average of four goals per game in those fixtures.

Value Prop: Nick Woltemade To Score Anytime (21/20) Justification: Woltemade is Newcastle’s top scorer with 5 league goals and enters this match fresh off a goal in the 4-1 rout of Everton. With Spurs conceding an average of 1.63 goals per game in their last eight matches, the forward represents excellent value to find the net again.

Longshot: Correct Score 3-1 (11/1) Justification: This scoreline aligns perfectly with the statistical trends. Newcastle average nearly 3 goals per game in recent H2H home meetings, while Spurs have scored in 100% of their away matches this season despite their poor results. A dominant but not clean sheet-keeping performance from the hosts makes 11/1 a compelling price.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Newcastle to Win (3/4): Justification: This is the foundation of our bet, based on Newcastle’s 100% scoring record at home and Spurs’ current four-match winless streak in the league.

Both Teams to Score – Yes (8/13): Justification: Despite their struggles, Tottenham have scored in every single away game this season. Newcastle’s aggressive style often leaves them open, evidenced by a home clean sheet rate of just 33%.

Over 2.5 Goals (4/6): Justification: This fixture historically guarantees goals. 83% of the last six meetings between these sides have seen Over 2.5 goals, and the league average for both teams suggests a high-scoring affair.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 5/2. A ÂŁ10 stake would return ÂŁ35.00.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

Match Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Competition Premier League
Venue St James’ Park
Date & Time Tuesday, 2 December (20:15 GMT)
Expert’s Best Bet Newcastle to Win (3/4)
Value Prop Pick Nick Woltemade To Score Anytime (21/20)
Longshot Pick Correct Score 3-1 (11/1)

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Metric Newcastle United (13th) Tottenham Hotspur (12th)
Current Form (Last 5) W-L-W-L-L L-L-D-L-W
PPG (Home vs. Away) 2.00 2.17
Avg. Goals Scored (Home vs. Away) 1.67 2.17
Avg. Goals Conceded (Home vs. Away) 1.17 1.17
Clean Sheets (Home vs. Away) 33% 50%
Failed to Score (Home vs. Away) 0% 0%
xG (Expected Goals) pg 1.58 1.12
Shots Per Game 13.17 9.33
H2H Record (Recent 6) 5 Wins 0 Wins (1 Draw)

Team News & Strategic Impact

Newcastle enter this fixture buoyed by a convincing 4-1 victory away at Everton. The return of key attacking personnel has revitalised their front line, with youngster Nick Woltemade netting his fifth of the season and Malick Thiaw providing a goalscoring threat from defence. Manager Eddie Howe will be forced into a midfield reshuffle with Lewis Miley expected to drop to the bench despite his recent assist, but the likely return of Sandro Tonali adds steel to the midfield.

Newcastle United Absences:

  • Nick Pope (Injured): Aaron Ramsdale will continue in goal. While Ramsdale is a capable deputy, Pope’s shot-stopping has been missed, contributing to the lack of clean sheets.
  • Kieran Trippier (Thigh): Ruled out until the New Year. His absence removes a key creative outlet from set-pieces, though Tino Livramento offers pace down the flank.
  • Sven Botman (Doubtful): Currently carrying a back problem; his absence would leave the central defence slightly vulnerable, though Thiaw has stepped up admirably.

Tottenham, conversely, are reeling from a 1-2 home defeat to Fulham where defensive errors again proved costly. Manager Thomas Frank is under increasing pressure as his side remains winless in four league matches. While they welcome back Cristian Romero from suspension to shore up the defence, their attack has been decimated by injuries to key creators.

Tottenham Hotspur Absences:

  • Dominic Solanke (Ankle): The striker is not fit to return. His hold-up play and finishing will be sorely missed against a physical Newcastle backline.
  • James Maddison (Long-term): Out with a significant injury. Without his creativity, Spurs struggle to break down organised defences, placing a heavy burden on the wingers.
  • Dejan Kulusevski (Long-term): Another major blow to the attack, limiting Spurs’ ability to create from wide areas or cut inside.
  • Yves Bissouma (Injured): His absence in midfield exposes the back four, a critical weakness against Newcastle’s rapid transitions.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur, provided for your reference.

Market Selection Odds
Match Winner (90 Mins) Newcastle 3/4
Draw 11/4
Tottenham 16/5
Total Goals Over 2.5 4/6
Under 2.5 11/10
Both Teams to Score Yes 8/13
No 6/5
Player to Score Anytime Nick Woltemade 21/20
Player to Score Anytime Anthony Gordon 2/1

With Newcastle’s dominant home form colliding with an injury-ravaged Tottenham side, all signs point to a decisive night at St James’ Park.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.

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