Arsenal vs Brentford Bet Builder Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 1 December 2025

Arsenal vs Brentford at Emirates Stadium on Wednesday presents a fascinating Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a high-scoring home victory, identifying value in Over 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score, and a Correct Score play at the best betting sites.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This midweek London derby features a stark contrast in venue-specific form. Arsenal have turned the Emirates into a fortress, sitting top of the table with a formidable 2.67 Points Per Game (PPG) at home. Conversely, Brentford have struggled immensely on their travels, collecting just 0.50 PPG on the road and losing five of their six away fixtures.

However, the statistical gulf in the ‘Tale of the Tape’ is complicated by a defensive crisis for the Gunners. With key centre-backs Gabriel Magalhães and potentially William Saliba sidelined, Arsenal’s usually watertight defence (0.33 goals conceded per home game) showed cracks in their recent 1-1 draw against Chelsea.

Brentford, buoyed by Igor Thiago’s prolific form (11 goals in 13 games), have the firepower to exploit this makeshift backline, having scored in five of their six away matches this season.

While Arsenal’s attacking metrics—averaging 2.67 goals scored at home—suggest they should outgun the Bees, a clean sheet seems far less guaranteed than usual.

Our football betting tips for Arsenal vs Brentford are:

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (4/6) Justification: This fixture screams goals. Arsenal average 2.67 goals scored per game at home, while Brentford concede an average of 2.00 goals per game on their travels. With Brentford’s attack in form (scoring 3 vs Burnley) and Arsenal’s defence depleted, the data strongly supports a match with at least three goals.

Value Prop: Both Teams to Score – Yes (21/20) Justification: The odds of 21/20 offer tremendous value given the context. Brentford have failed to score in only 17% of their away games, and their top scorer Igor Thiago is in red-hot form. Arsenal are fielding a makeshift central defence (likely Hincapié and Mosquera), which looked nervous against Chelsea. Arsenal scoring is a near-certainty (0% Failed to Score at home), making a goal at both ends highly probable.

Longshot: Correct Score 2-1 (13/2) Justification: A 2-1 home win aligns perfectly with the data. It respects Arsenal’s home dominance (83% win rate) and scoring average (2.67), while accounting for Brentford’s ability to grab a goal on the counter-attack against a weakened defence. This exact scoreline has occurred in recent H2H meetings and represents logical value.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Arsenal to Win (3/10): Justification: This is the foundation of our bet. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League matches and have won 83% of their home games this season. Brentford have lost 83% of their away matches.

Bukayo Saka to Score Anytime (9/5): Justification: Saka remains Arsenal’s most consistent threat, having already netted 3 goals this campaign. With Brentford’s defence conceding 2.00 goals per away game and struggling to defend wings (a noted weakness), Saka should find plenty of space.

Igor Thiago Over 0.5 Shots on Target: Justification: The Brazilian has 11 goals in 13 appearances and is the second-highest scorer in the league. Facing a second-choice Arsenal defence, he is virtually guaranteed to test the goalkeeper.

Combining the available markets of Arsenal to Win, Both Teams to Score, and Over 2.5 Goals creates a compelling narrative of a dominant but open game.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Arsenal come into this game following a 1-1 draw against Chelsea, where a 10-man Blues side held them to a point. While Mikel Merino’s equaliser was a positive, the match highlighted the fragility of Arsenal’s defence without their first-choice centre-back pairing. The reliance on Piero Hincapié and Cristhian Mosquera led to nervy moments, a vulnerability Brentford will look to target.

Arsenal Absences:

• Gabriel Magalhães (Ankle): A massive loss. Gabriel is sidelined for weeks, removing Arsenal’s primary aerial threat and defensive organiser.
• Kai Havertz (Out): The forward is listed as out, reducing Arteta’s options upfront, though Gabriel Jesus has recently returned to the squad.
• William Saliba (Doubtful): Missed the Chelsea draw with a knock and remains a major doubt. His absence alongside Gabriel leaves the central defence significantly weakened.
• Leandro Trossard (Doubtful): His creativity will be missed if he fails to recover in time.

Brentford arrive in high spirits after a 3-1 home victory over Burnley, where Igor Thiago scored twice to take his tally to 11 for the season. Despite their poor away form (losing 5 of 6), their attack is potent. However, injuries continue to plague their midfield options.

Brentford Absences:

• Frank Onyeka (Out): A key midfield absence that reduces their defensive solidity in the middle of the park.
• Paris Maghoma (Out): Another midfield option unavailable, limiting rotation.
• Antoni Milambo (Out): ruled out, further depleting squad depth.
• Aaron Hickey (Out): The full-back remains long-term absentee, which is a blow given Arsenal’s strength on the wings with Saka.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Arsenal vs Brentford, provided for your reference.

Arsenal’s defensive injuries level the playing field slightly, but their overwhelming home dominance makes them clear favourites, albeit in a game likely to see goals at both ends.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.