Sunderland vs Arsenal Bet Builder Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 6 November 2025

Sunderland vs Arsenal at Stadium of Light on Saturday presents a fascinating Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a tight, low-scoring Arsenal win, identifying value in Under 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score – No, and a Correct Score of 0-1 at the best betting sites.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This match is a classic case of an irresistible force meeting an immovable object.

The statistical gulf in the ‘Tale of the Tape’ is less a gulf and more a high-stakes tactical battle.

Arsenal arrive as league leaders on a ten-match winning streak in all competitions, boasting a historic defence that has kept seven consecutive clean sheets and conceded a league-low three goals all season.

Their away form is imperious, winning 80% of their matches with a 2.40 PPG.

However, Sunderland are no pushovers, especially at the Stadium of Light.

They sit fourth in the table and are unbeaten at home, conceding a miserly 0.60 goals per game.

While their 1-1 draw with Everton last time out showed they can be breached, they also dominated the match, firing off 16 unanswered shots to close the game.

The crucial mismatch is in the goal timings. Sunderland are second-half specialists, scoring 75% of their goals after the break.

Arsenal, however, are masters of control and have the defensive solidity to withstand that late pressure.

The Gunners’ injury list is a major concern, with top scorer Viktor Gyokeres and creative hub Martin Odegaard both likely to miss out. This blunts their attack and strongly points towards a low-scoring affair.

Our football betting tips for Sunderland vs Arsenal are:

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (4/5)

Justification: This is a clash of two elite defences. Arsenal’s league-best backline (0.30 goals conceded pg) is on a 4-game clean sheet streak and concedes just 0.40 goals away. Sunderland are almost as frugal at home, conceding only 0.60. The combined average goals for this specific fixture type (Home/Away) is 2.00, well below the league average of 2.68.

Value Prop: Both Teams to Score – No (13/20)

Justification: This logically follows our main bet. Arsenal have a 60% clean sheet rate in away matches and haven’t conceded in any competition since 28 September. While Sunderland score 1.80 goals per home game, they are facing the best defence in the country.

Longshot: Correct Score 0-1 (9/2)

Justification: This scoreline aligns perfectly with an ‘Under 2.5’ and ‘BTTS – No’ outcome. Arsenal’s attack is blunted by injuries to Gyokeres and Odegaard, but they still possess enough quality. Sunderland’s home defence is elite (0.60 conceded).

A single-goal Arsenal victory, one of their 4 one-goal margin wins this season, offers superb value.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Arsenal to Win (2/5): Justification: This is the foundation of our bet. Arsenal are 1st in the table for a reason, with a dominant 2.40 Away PPG and an 80% win rate on the road.

Under 2.5 Goals (4/5): Justification: This correlates with a tight Arsenal win. We’re combining Arsenal’s league-best defence (0.40 conceded away) with Sunderland’s stout home record (0.60 conceded).

Bukayo Saka to Score Anytime (9/5): Justification: With top scorer Gyokeres injured, the attacking focus will shift to Saka. He already has 2 goals this season and is the Gunners’ most consistent creative and goalscoring threat.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 6/1. A £10 stake would return £70.00.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Sunderland come into this on a three-match unbeaten run, capped by a spirited 1-1 draw with Everton. After going behind, Granit Xhaka’s first goal for the club sparked a comeback, and the Black Cats were unlucky not to win, controlling the final hour of the match. That resilience, combined with their 100% lead-defending rate this season, makes them a tough opponent.

Sunderland Absences:

• Mouhamadou Habib Diarra (Groin/Hip/Pelvic Injury): Ruled Out. A long-term recovery process for the young player.
• Leo Fuhr Hjelde (Calf/Shin/Heel Injury): Ruled Out. The defender is resting after surgery on both Achilles tendons.
• Romaine Mundle (Thigh Injury): Ruled Out. Not expected back until after the international break.
• Dennis Cirkin (Wrist/Hand Injury): Ruled Out. A complicated issue as his wrist injury didn’t heal properly and he now has a knee complaint.
• Ajibola Afolarin Alese (Shoulder Injury): Ruled Out. Nearing a return but still struggling to get back to match fitness.
• Daniel Neil (Head/Face Injury): Doubtful (75%). Faces a late fitness test, and his absence would be a blow to their midfield depth.

Arsenal were “exceptional” in their 2-0 win at Burnley, according to Mikel Arteta. The victory marked their tenth consecutive win in all competitions and their seventh straight clean sheet. Their dominance is built on defensive steel and set-piece prowess, with 12 goals now coming from dead-ball situations. The major concern is a growing injury list that threatens to derail their momentum.

Arsenal Absences:

• Viktor Gyokeres (Other): Major Doubt (25%). Felt “something muscular” after scoring against Burnley. His absence would be critical, as he is the team’s 4-goal top scorer.
• Martin Zubimendi (Other): Major Doubt (25%). Asked to be substituted in the last match. Losing the 2-goal midfielder would disrupt Arsenal’s central control.
• Martin Odegaard (Knee Injury): Ruled Out. A massive creative loss. The captain is not expected back until after the international break.
• Gabriel Fernando de Jesus (Knee Injury): Ruled Out. The striker is a long-term absentee, not expected back until the New Year.
• Kai Havertz (Knee Injury): Ruled Out. Removes a key versatile piece from Arteta’s attacking and midfield structure.
• Gabriel Martinelli (Other): Ruled Out. This game comes “too soon” for the winger, stripping Arsenal of pace and directness.
• Chukwunonso Madueke (Knee Injury): Ruled Out. Another attacking option sidelined until after the international break.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Sunderland vs Arsenal, provided for your reference.

This is a true test of Sunderland’s top-four credentials against a league-leading Arsenal side in imperious defensive form. For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.