Manchester United vs Everton Bet Builder Predictions

Manchester United vs Everton at Old Trafford on Monday presents a lopsided Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a comfortable home victory, identifying value in the goal markets and a Correct Score longshot. at the best betting sites.

The image highlights the clash between two football clubs in a Premier League game. On the left is the logo of Manchester United, featuring a red devil with a trident set against a red and gold shield. On the right is the logo of Everton, displaying a blue shield with a prominent tower, laurel wreaths, and the club's motto "Nil Satis Nisi Optimum" along with the year 1878. Above the two logos, the Premier League emblem is prominently placed, showcasing a crowned lion's head along with the text "Premier League." The background captures the intensity of the match with a close-up of a football in play on the pitch, accompanied by players' legs in action, and an electrifying stadium atmosphere filled with excited fans.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This Monday Night Football clash features two sides with drastically opposing fortunes depending on the venue.

Manchester United under Ruben Amorim have turned Old Trafford into a fortress, boasting a formidable 2.40 Points Per Game (PPG) at home.

In sharp contrast, Everton are enduring a torrid time on their travels, managing just 0.80 PPG away from Goodison Park.

The stats suggest this will not be a low-scoring affair. Everton have conceded in 100% of their away matches this season, yet they also manage to score in 83% of them. United’s defence is far from watertight, keeping clean sheets in only 20% of home games.

With Jarrad Branthwaite ruled out for the visitors until 2026, Everton’s defensive solidity takes a massive hit.

While the Toffees ended a winless run against Fulham last time out, their record at Old Trafford is desperate (no wins in their last 12 visits), and United’s attack, led by top-scorer Bryan Mbeumo, should have too much quality.

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Our football betting tips for Manchester United vs Everton are:

Best Bet: Manchester United to Win (3/4) Justification: The statistical gulf is undeniable. United average 2.40 points per game at home compared to Everton’s dismal 0.80 away. Furthermore, United have scored at least two goals in their last five Premier League matches, while Everton concede an average of 1.60 goals per game on the road.

Value Prop: Manchester United to Win & Both Teams To Score (2/1) Justification: While United are favourites, their defence is leaky, conceding 1.20 goals per game at home. Crucially, Everton’s ‘Failed to Score’ rate away is incredibly low at just 17%, meaning they almost always find the net. With Everton’s Away BTTS rate standing at a league-high 83%, backing a home win with a consolation goal for the visitors offers immense value.

Longshot: Correct Score 2-1 (8/1) Justification: This scoreline aligns perfectly with the statistical averages. United score 2.20 goals per game at home, and Everton score 1.00 goal per game away. Additionally, a majority of United’s wins this season have been by a single-goal margin.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager.

We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Manchester United to Win (3/4): Justification: The foundation of the bet is based on United’s 80% home win rate this season versus Everton’s 60% away loss rate.

Over 2.5 Goals (4/5): Justification: This trend is overwhelming. There have been Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Manchester United’s last 9 Premier League games. Combined with Everton’s 100% away conceding record, goals are expected.

Bryan Mbeumo to Score Anytime (6/4): Justification: Mbeumo is United’s top scorer with 5 goals this season. With Benjamin Sesko ruled out due to a knee injury, Mbeumo will likely shoulder the scoring burden against a depleted Everton defence missing Jarrad Branthwaite.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 11/2. A ÂŁ10 stake would return ÂŁ65.00.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

Match Manchester United vs Everton
Competition Premier League
Venue Old Trafford
Date & Time Monday, 24th November (8:00pm GMT)
Expert’s Best Bet Manchester United to Win (3/4)
Value Prop Pick Man Utd Win & BTTS (2/1)
Longshot Pick Correct Score 2-1 (8/1)

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics.

This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches, particularly regarding home advantage.

Metric Manchester United (7th) Everton (13th)
Current Form (Last 5) L-W-W-W-D D-W-L-L-D
PPG (Home vs. Away) 2.40 0.80
Avg. Goals Scored (Home vs. Away) 2.20 1.00
Avg. Goals Conceded (Home vs. Away) 1.20 1.60
Clean Sheets (Home vs. Away) 20% 0%
Failed to Score (Home vs. Away) 20% 17%
Both Teams To Score (Home vs. Away) 60% 83%
Shots Per Game 17.4 7.8
H2H Record (Recent 40) 22 Wins 7 Wins (11 Draws)

Team News & Strategic Impact

Manchester United come into this game following a dramatic 2-2 draw against Tottenham, where Matthijs de Ligt scored a stoppage-time equaliser. While the result showed resilience, it highlighted defensive frailties, with United conceding two goals for the third consecutive league match. Ruben Amorim will be concerned by the injury list, particularly in attacking areas.

Manchester United Absences:

  • Benjamin Sesko (Knee Injury): Ruled out. This is a significant blow as Sesko is a key attacking outlet. His absence forces a reshuffle, likely placing more pressure on Bryan Mbeumo and Amad Diallo to provide the goals.
  • Lisandro Martinez (Knee Injury): Ruled out. United lose their best ball-playing defender, which impacts their ability to build from the back and protect the clean sheet.
  • Harry Maguire (Thigh Injury): Currently at 25% fitness. Unlikely to start, further stretching the defensive depth.
  • Kobbie Mainoo (Knock): Currently at 50% fitness. A late fitness test will determine if he can anchor the midfield.

Everton arrive off the back of a morale-boosting 2-0 win over Fulham, ending a three-match winless run. Idrissa Gueye and Michael Keane were the unlikely heroes. However, their away form remains a major concern, and they are winless in their last 12 visits to Old Trafford.

Everton Absences:

  • Jarrad Branthwaite (Thigh Injury): Ruled out until 2026. This is a critical loss. Branthwaite is Everton’s best defender, and without him, their ability to withstand United’s aerial threat and set-pieces is severely compromised.

  • Nathan Patterson (Ankle Injury): Ruled out. Reduces full-back options, limiting Everton’s ability to counter-attack down the flanks.
  • Tim Iroegbunam (Foot Injury): Ruled out. Reduces midfield rotation options.
  • Youssef Chermiti (Foot Injury): Ruled out. Limits attacking options off the bench.
  • Armando Broja (Foot Injury): Ruled out. Further depletes the striker options.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Manchester United vs Everton, provided for your reference.

Market Selection Odds
Match Winner (90 Mins) Manchester United 3/4
Draw 3/1
Everton 7/2
Total Goals Over 2.5 4/5
Under 2.5 1/1
Both Teams to Score Yes 3/5
No 6/5
Player to Score Anytime Bryan Mbeumo 6/4
Player to Score Anytime Bruno Fernandes 2/1

With Everton conceding in every away game and United unbeaten at home under Amorim, the hosts should have enough firepower to secure the three points despite their injury concerns.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.

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