Manchester City vs Liverpool Bet Builder Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 7 November 2025

Manchester City vs Liverpool at Etihad Stadium on Sunday promises a titanic Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a decisive home win, identifying value in a high-scoring Man City victory, and a 3-1 Correct Score at the best betting sites.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This is a classic ‘Big Six’ showdown where home-ground advantage and current form look set to trump historical head-to-heads.

The statistical gulf in the ‘Tale of the Tape’ is stark:

Manchester City are a juggernaut at the Etihad, boasting a 2.40 Home PPG and scoring an average of 2.60 goals while conceding just 0.80.

Liverpool’s recent revival, with crucial 1-0 and 2-0 wins over Real Madrid and Aston Villa, has been exclusively at Anfield. Their away-day defensive frailties (1.80 goals conceded per game, 20% clean sheet rate) will be ruthlessly exposed by a City attack led by Erling Haaland, who has 13 league goals and is coming off two-goal hauls in his last two matches.

While the recent H2H record favours Liverpool (3 wins to 1 in the last 6), that form seems a distant memory. Liverpool’s four-game league losing streak was only just snapped, and their injury list is far more damaging. The absence of Alisson in goal is a seismic blow for a match of this magnitude, and City, now with Rodri back and an almost clean bill of health, look poised to make a statement.

Our football betting tips for Manchester City vs Liverpool are:

Best Bet: Manchester City to Win (10/11) Justification: The 2.40 Home PPG (Points Per Game) for City versus Liverpool’s 1.20 Away PPG is the central pillar of this bet. City have won their last 4 home league games, scoring 13 goals in the process. Liverpool are missing their world-class keeper and have been defensively vulnerable on their travels, conceding 1.80 goals per game.

Value Prop: Over 3.5 Goals (23/20) Justification: This fixture is a powder keg for goals. City’s home matches average 3.40 total goals, and Liverpool’s away matches also average 3.40 total goals. The recent H2H average is 3.07 goals, and with City’s attack firing and Liverpool’s defence leaking, this match is primed to go over.

Longshot: Correct Score: Man City 3-1 (12/1) Justification: This pick perfectly aligns with our other two bets. A 3-1 scoreline fits City’s home scoring rate (2.60 avg) and Liverpool’s leaky-but-potent away profile (1.60 scored, 1.80 conceded). Liverpool have scored in 100% of their away games, so a consolation goal is likely, but City’s firepower should secure a multi-goal win.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Manchester City to Win (10/11): Justification: This is the foundation of our bet, based on the clear statistical dominance outlined in the ‘Tale of the Tape’ (2.40 Home PPG vs 1.20 Away PPG).

Erling Haaland to Score Anytime (4/7): Justification: The Norwegian is the focal point of the attack, has 13 league goals, and averages 4.3 shots per game. He is in red-hot form and is the most likely goalscorer on the pitch.

Liverpool Over 0.5 Goals (1/4): Justification: This adds great value. Liverpool have a 0% ‘Failed to Score’ rate in their away matches this season and have found the net in all 10 of their league games. They have the quality to grab a goal, even in defeat.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 11/4. A £10 stake would return £37.50.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Manchester City are flying. After a blip against Aston Villa, they responded by dispatching Bournemouth 3-1 in the league and cruising to a 4-1 victory over Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League. Phil Foden was electric in that midweek clash, scoring twice, while Erling Haaland also scored. Crucially, Rodri returned from his hamstring injury in the Bournemouth match, meaning Pep Guardiola has almost a full-strength squad to choose from.

Manchester City Absences:

• Mateo Kovacic (Ankle)‘He will be out for a while… He still has a problem with the ankle; a little calcification [is] still there. We’ll wait on him for the last part of the season.’

Liverpool have steadied the ship after a disastrous run of form. Back-to-back home wins against Aston Villa (2-0) and Real Madrid (1-0) have restored confidence, with the team ending a four-game league losing streak. However, their injury list remains a significant concern, especially at the top and bottom of the pitch.

Liverpool Absences:

• Alisson Becker (Thigh): A seismic blow. The latest report states he is “99.99% for sure, not in the squad.” Giorgi Mamardashvili has filled in, but facing City’s clinical attack without a world-class shot-stopper is a major disadvantage.
• Alexander Isak (Groin/Hip/Pelvic): Also “99.99% for sure, not in the squad.” This robs Arne Slot of a key attacking option from the bench, limiting his ability to change the game.
• Jeremie Frimpong (Thigh): Ruled out with a hamstring injury that will “take a while.” His absence removes a dynamic, pacey option from the squad.
• Curtis Jones (Groin/Hip/Pelvic): Remains a doubt with a potential return date of 22/11. His control and press-resistance will be missed in midfield.
• Giovanni Leoni (Knee): Out for the long term with a torn ACL, ruling him out for “around a year.”

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Manchester City vs Liverpool, provided for your reference.

This clash at the Etihad will be a true test of Liverpool’s revival and a major indicator in the Premier League title race.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.