Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur Bet Builder Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 21 November 2025

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur at Emirates Stadium on Sunday presents a pivotal Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a tense, tactical home victory, identifying value in Arsenal to Win, Under 2.5 Goals, and a Correct Score of 2-0 at the best betting sites.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This North London Derby is framed by a fascinating statistical paradox: two sides with identical Points Per Game (PPG) records in their respective home/away splits (2.60), yet both decimated by significant injury lists. Arsenal sit top of the table, buoyed by an imperious home defence that has conceded just 0.20 goals per game at the Emirates. Tottenham, despite a surprisingly strong away record (2.60 PPG), face their historical demons at a ground where they have won just once in 19 league visits.

The “Tale of the Tape” suggests a high-quality clash, but the medical room tells a different story. With creative hubs like Ødegaard and Maddison ruled out, and key finishers like Gabriel Jesus and Solanke sidelined, the usual end-to-end chaos of this derby may be replaced by attrition.

Arsenal’s defensive superiority at home (80% clean sheets) gives them the edge over a Spurs side missing their primary playmakers.

Our football betting tips for Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur are:

Best Bet: Arsenal to Win (2/5)

Justification: Despite the injuries, Arsenal’s home dominance is undeniable. They have won 80% of their home matches this season, conceding just one goal in the process. Coupled with Tottenham’s historical psychological block at the Emirates (losing 19 of 41 H2H meetings), the home win remains the most logical outcome.

Value Prop: Under 2.5 Goals (1/1)

Justification: This pick leans heavily into the injury news. With Arsenal missing Jesus, Havertz, and Ødegaard, and Spurs without Maddison, Kulusevski, and Solanke, the attacking prowess of both sides is severely blunted. Arsenal’s home matches average just 2.60 total goals, and their defence concedes a microscopic 0.20 per game.

Longshot: Correct Score: Arsenal 2-0 (6/1) Justification: This scoreline perfectly captures the data: Arsenal’s average of 2.40 goals scored at home versus their 0.20 conceded. It also aligns with Tottenham’s struggle to break down elite defences without their key creative midfielders, while acknowledging Arsenal’s ability to grind out results.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Arsenal to Win (2/5): Justification: Arsenal’s 2.60 Home PPG matches Spurs’ Away PPG, but the Gunners’ defensive record (0.20 conceded per game) provides the decisive advantage in a fixture they historically dominate.

Both Teams to Score – No (11/10): Justification: Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 80% of their home games. With Tottenham missing key attackers like Solanke and Kolo Muani, and Arsenal missing their main creators, a shutout is statistically probable.

Bukayo Saka to Score Anytime (7/4): Justification: In the absence of Jesus, Havertz, and potentially Gyökeres, the goalscoring burden falls on Saka. He has 3 goals this season and is the highest-rated available attacker (7.22 rating), making him the focal point of the forward line.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 15/2. A £10 stake would return £85.00.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Arsenal enter this derby unbeaten in their last 8 Premier League matches, but their squad depth is being severely tested. Despite a recent 2-2 draw against Sunderland, their home form has been flawless in terms of results prior to that, driven by a rock-solid backline. However, manager Mikel Arteta faces a selection headache in attack and central defence.

Arsenal Absences:

• Gabriel Magalhães (Muscle/Knee): Ruled out. A massive loss at the heart of defence; he has been pivotal to their 0.20 conceded average at home.
• Martin Ødegaard (Knee): Ruled out. The captain’s absence strips Arsenal of their primary creative engine in midfield.
• Gabriel Jesus (Knee): Ruled out. Removes a key option for pressing and link-up play up front.
• Kai Havertz (Knee): Ruled out. Further depletes the attacking options and aerial threat.
• Noni Madueke (Unknown): Ruled out. Reduces rotation options on the wing.
• Viktor Gyökeres (Hamstring): Doubtful. If he misses out, Arsenal play without a recognised senior striker.

Tottenham travel to the Emirates with surprising away resilience, boasting four wins from five on the road. However, their momentum was checked by a recent 2-2 draw with Manchester United where they surrendered a lead.

Like their rivals, they are navigating a severe injury crisis that threatens to derail their season, particularly in creative areas.

Tottenham Hotspur Absences:

• James Maddison (ACL): Ruled out. His long-term absence leaves a void in creativity that Spurs have struggled to fill.
• Dejan Kulusevski (Knee): Ruled out. A key carrier of the ball and creative outlet missing from the right side.
• Yves Bissouma (Ankle): Ruled out. A significant blow to their midfield control and defensive screening.
• Dominic Solanke (Ankle): Ruled out. Spurs are missing their focal point in attack.
• Randal Kolo Muani (Jaw): Ruled out. Another attacking option unavailable, leaving Richarlison to lead the line alone.
• Micky van de Ven (Active): Listed as active/fine, which is a rare boost for their high defensive line.
• Mohammed Kudus (Knock): Doubtful. His potential absence would further blunt an already depleted attack.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur, provided for your reference.

This depleted North London Derby favours the side with the stronger defensive foundation, pointing clearly towards an Arsenal victory despite their own injury woes.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.