Women’s Euro 2025 Italy vs Spain Bet Builder & Predictions
The Italy vs Spain showdown at UEFA Women’s EURO 2025 takes centre stage on Friday night. With Spain already through and Italy seeking to secure their quarter-final place, our Bet Builder features Spain to Win (2/9), Over 2.5 Goals (4/9), and Both Teams to Score – No (5/6). A successful £10 stake returns £32.37.
Spain have been the tournament’s most impressive side so far, sweeping aside Portugal 5-0 before dismantling Belgium 6-2 to secure top spot in Group B with a game to spare. Alexia Putellas has been in majestic form, scoring twice and assisting two more against Belgium, while Mariona Caldentey and Esther González have also shone in a free-flowing attack. Montse Tomé’s side have netted 11 goals in two matches and look every inch the favourites to lift the trophy.
Italy, meanwhile, edged Belgium 1-0 in their opener but were left frustrated by a late Portugal equaliser in a 1-1 draw last time out. Cristiana Girelli’s stunning strike looked to have sent the Azzurre through, but Diana Gomes’ 89th-minute goal means Italy still need a result to guarantee progression. Andrea Soncin’s side have been defensively solid but lack Spain’s attacking firepower, and will need to be at their disciplined best to contain the world champions.
Spain to Win (2/9)
Research: Spain have won all ten of their competitive matches in 2025, including both group games here by a combined 11-2. They have also scored at least twice in every match and boast a 100% win rate in this tournament. Italy, by contrast, have won just one of their last four and have only managed two goals in the group stage.
The last four meetings between these sides are split evenly (one win each, two draws), but Spain’s current form and attacking depth make them overwhelming favourites.
Over 2.5 Goals (4/9)
Research: Spain’s matches are averaging a remarkable 5.7 goals per game in 2025, with 100% finishing over 2.5. They have scored four or more in eight of their last ten, and their last group match finished 6-2. Italy’s games are lower scoring, but Spain’s relentless attack should ensure another high tally.
Three of the last four head-to-heads have seen both teams score, and Spain’s xG (expected goals) is the highest in the tournament.
Both Teams to Score – No (5/6)
Research: While Spain have conceded in both group games, Italy have struggled to create chances, managing just three shots on target against Portugal. The Azzurre have failed to score in three of their last six competitive matches, and Spain’s defensive record (just 1.1 goals conceded per game in 2025) suggests they can keep a clean sheet if they dominate possession.
In their last four meetings, only one has seen both teams fail to score, but the gulf in attacking quality makes “No” a strong selection.
Injuries & Team News
Spain: No major injury concerns. Alexia Putellas is in imperious form, while Mariona Caldentey and Esther González have both scored in the group stage. Cata Coll is yet to feature in goal, but Nanclares has deputised ably.
Italy: No new injuries reported. Cristiana Girelli remains the main attacking threat, but the side has struggled for goals from open play. Arianna Caruso and Giada Greggi provide energy in midfield, but creativity has been an issue.
Conclusion – Italy vs Spain Bet Builder Predictions
To summarise, here are our football betting tips for Italy vs Spain:
Spain to Win (2/9): The world champions are in irresistible form and have too much quality for Italy.
Over 2.5 Goals (4/9): Spain’s high-scoring matches and attacking depth point to another goal-filled contest.
Both Teams to Score – No (5/6): Italy’s lack of firepower and Spain’s defensive control make a clean sheet for the favourites likely.
A £10 stake on this Bet Builder could return £32.37, offering strong value for a fixture that promises drama, technical excellence, and knockout implications in Bern.
For more insights and predictions, explore our football betting tips, check out the latest Premier League Darts predictions, and browse our betting tips section for all upcoming fixtures.
