Women’s Euro 2025 England vs Italy Semi-Final Bet Builder & Predictions
England Women face Italy Women in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 semi-final on Tuesday night in Geneva, with the defending champions aiming to reach consecutive finals. Our Bet Builder features England to Win (1/2), Over 2.5 Goals (8/13), and Both Teams to Score – Yes (7/10). A winning £10 stake returns £41.19.
England reached the semi-finals via an extraordinary comeback against Sweden, recovering from 2-0 down with just 11 minutes remaining before winning a dramatic penalty shootout. The Lionesses showed remarkable resilience with Lucy Bronze and teenage substitute Michelle Agyemang scoring late goals before Hannah Hampton’s heroics in the shootout secured their progression.
Italy secured their place with a thrilling 2-1 victory over Norway in their quarter-final, with 35-year-old captain Cristiana Girelli scoring both goals including a dramatic 90th-minute winner. The Azzurre have reached their first Euros semi-final since 1997, demonstrating clinical efficiency and defensive solidity throughout their campaign.
England to Win (1/2)
Research: England enter as defending champions with excellent home form, winning all five home matches with an impressive average of 5.8 goals per game. Their performance against Sweden showcased their remarkable resilience and mental strength, qualities that have defined Sarina Wiegman’s tenure. The Lionesses’ attacking prowess is evident in their xG of 2.07 across all matches. Despite struggling away from home, England’s tournament experience and championship pedigree make them formidable opponents in knockout football.
Their previous encounter with Italy resulted in a commanding 5-1 victory, highlighting their superiority when these teams meet. Lauren James has been their standout creative force with a 7.18 rating, while Lucy Bronze’s experience proved crucial in the quarter-final.
Over 2.5 Goals (8/13)
Research: Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking capabilities throughout the tournament. England average 3.6 goals per match overall, rising to 5.8 goals in home fixtures. Their matches consistently produce high goal tallies, with their previous encounter against Italy delivering six goals. The Lionesses’ ability to turn games around was showcased against Sweden with two goals in just 103 seconds. Italy’s away form is particularly potent, scoring 2.57 goals per match on the road.
Historical data strongly supports this selection – the only previous meeting between these teams produced six goals with a 100% record for Over 2.5 goals. With England’s occasionally vulnerable defense exposed by Sweden and Italy’s clinical finishing demonstrated against Norway, we can expect goals at both ends.
Both Teams to Score – Yes (7/10)
Research: England have found the net in 100% of their matches but have also conceded in 60% of their games. Their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed by Sweden, with Jess Carter and Alex Greenwood struggling against pace.
Italy have scored in 80% of their matches and have demonstrated clinical finishing through Cristiana Girelli, who has three goals in the tournament including both goals in their quarter-final victory. The Azzurre have been particularly effective away from home, scoring in 86% of away matches. The head-to-head record strongly supports this selection, with both teams finding the net in their only previous meeting. With England’s attacking strength and occasional defensive lapses combined with Italy’s clinical efficiency, goals at both ends appears highly likely.
Injuries & Team News
England: There has been doubt over defender Leah Williamson after she suffered an ankle injury in the quarter-final, though England are optimistic she will feature. Sarina Wiegman’s substitutions proved decisive against Sweden, with Chloe Kelly providing two crucial assists and Michelle Agyemang scoring the equalizer. These impact players could again be vital if called upon from the bench.
Italy: No reported injuries for Andrea Soncin’s side, who are likely to field an unchanged lineup from their quarter-final victory. Captain Cristiana Girelli will lead the attack after her match-winning performance against Norway, while Sofia Cantore’s creativity (providing both assists in the quarter-final) will be crucial to their chances.
Conclusion – England vs Italy Bet Builder Predictions
In summary, here are our football betting tips for England vs Italy:
England to Win (1/2): Their championship pedigree, attacking talent, and superior head-to-head record make them strong favorites despite Italy’s resilience.
Over 2.5 Goals (8/13): Both teams’ attacking capabilities and England’s occasional defensive frailties point to a goal-heavy encounter.
Both Teams to Score – Yes (7/10): Historical trends and current form suggest both sides will find the net in what should be an open and entertaining semi-final.
A £10 Bet Builder on these selections returns £41.19 at just over 3/1, offering solid value for what promises to be a captivating semi-final between the defending champions and a resurgent Italy side at Stade de Genève.
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