Tottenham vs Chelsea 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions
Tottenham vs Chelsea on Saturday presents an intriguing Premier League encounter between two London rivals in contrasting form. Our football betting expert foresees the visitors’ strong away record trumping a catastrophic injury list for the hosts, predicting a Chelsea Win, Both Teams to Score, and a goal for João Pedro.
Team News and Context
Tottenham come into this derby facing a devastating injury crisis that targets the core of their team. The creative hub that propelled them to 3rd in the table is gone: James Maddison is out long-term with a ruptured ACL, and chief winger Dejan Kulusevski is also sidelined for weeks with a knee injury. The problems mount in midfield, where stalwart Yves Bissouma is also out for weeks with an ankle ligament injury.
The defence is arguably in worse shape. Ben Davies (thigh), Radu Dragusin (ACL), and first-choice left-back Destiny Udogie (knee) are all confirmed absentees. Compounding this, key centre-back Cristian Romero is a major doubt, with only a 25% chance of playing due to a groin issue.
Chelsea has significant issues of their own, primarily in defence.
They are missing two key centre-backs, with Levi Colwill (ACL) and Benoit Badiashile (muscle) both unavailable. Their attack is also blunted by the absence of star man Cole Palmer, who remains out for another six weeks with a groin injury, whilst Mykhailo Mudryk is suspended. Striker Liam Delap is fit to return to the squad after two months out, but the club has stated it is “unlikely he will play 90 minutes”.
Recent Form and Previous Weekend Recap
Tottenham sit 3rd in the league and enjoyed an excellent 3-0 away win at Everton last weekend, with Micky van de Ven scoring a surprising brace. However, that result masks their “very poor” home form.
Spurs have managed just 1.00 Points Per Game (PPG) at home this season and lost their last league fixture on home soil 1-2 to Aston Villa.
Chelsea, 9th in the table, has wildly contrasting form. They are coming off a “lacklustre” 1-2 home defeat to Sunderland, which killed the momentum from a 5-1 midweek Champions League thrashing of Ajax.
However, their away form is described as “very good”. They have earned 1.75 PPG on their travels and have scored in 100% of their away matches, averaging a potent 2.75 goals per game.
Head to Head and Current Standings
Recent and long-term history is firmly on the side of the visitors.
In 44 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 24 (55%) compared to Tottenham’s 8 (18%). This dominance has continued in recent years, with Chelsea winning four of the last six encounters, whilst Spurs have won just one.
Despite this H2H record, Spurs are flying high in 3rd place with 17 points, three points ahead of 9th-placed Chelsea on 14.
Key Players to Watch
With Maddison and Kulusevski out, Tottenham’s attacking burden will fall squarely on Richarlison. He is the club’s joint-top scorer in the league with three goals and will lead the line. Defensively, Micky van de Ven (also with 3 PL goals) will be under immense pressure to marshal a backline likely missing Cristian Romero.
For Chelsea, the absence of Cole Palmer makes João Pedro the central figure in their attack. The forward has already registered two goals and three assists in the Premier League and will be the primary threat. Midfield impetus will come from Enzo Fernández and Moisés Caicedo, who have surprisingly chipped in with three league goals each.
Match Prediction and Betting Tips
This match is a classic case of conflicting data: Tottenham’s high league position versus their dire home form and crippling injury list, against Chelsea’s mediocre standing versus their exceptional away form and H2H dominance. The sheer number and importance of Spurs’ absentees – Maddison, Kulusevski, and Bissouma – cannot be overstated. This rips the heart out of their team. Chelsea’s attack, which averages 2.75 goals per game away from home, is perfectly placed to exploit a makeshift Spurs defence.
Our football betting tips for Tottenham vs Chelsea are:
Chelsea to Win (6/4): The value lies with the away side. Tottenham’s injury crisis is too severe to ignore. This, combined with Chelsea’s dominant H2H record (won 4 of last 6) and their potent away form (scored in 100% of away games), makes the 6/4 price attractive.
Both Teams to Score (4/7): Whilst we fancy an away win, Chelsea’s defence is also weakened, missing both Colwill and Badiashile. They have a noted weakness in “Defending set pieces”, which is an area Tottenham are strong in and how Micky van de Ven scored twice last week. The H2H averages 2.95 goals, and both depleted backlines should concede.
João Pedro to Score Anytime (9/4): With Cole Palmer and Mykhailo Mudryk both out, the attacking focus will be on João Pedro. He already has two league goals and three assists and is the most likely player to punish a Spurs defence missing multiple starters.
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