Palmeiras vs Porto Club World Cup Bet Builder & Predictions
The Club World Cup clash between Palmeiras and Porto on Monday promises a fascinating Bet Builder opportunity. With Porto’s attacking edge and Palmeiras’s defensive solidity, our recommended Bet Builder is Porto to Win (13/8), Both Teams to Score – Yes (17/20), and Over 2.5 Goals (6/5).
Palmeiras and Porto both arrive in strong form for this Club World Cup tie, but their statistical profiles suggest a contest where goals and attacking moments should be in good supply.
Palmeiras have been impressive in Brazil’s Serie A, sitting 4th with seven wins from 11 matches and a robust away record (5 wins from 6). However, their home form has been patchy, with just two wins in five. They average 1.09 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per match, with a respectable xG of 1.61 and xGA of 1.27. Notably, their matches average 1.82 goals, but away from home this rises to 2.33, suggesting they are more open in international settings. Palmeiras have kept clean sheets in 45% of games but have failed to score in 27% overall, indicating some attacking inconsistency.
Porto, meanwhile, finished 3rd in Liga NOS and are in excellent form, winning 7 of their last 10 in all competitions. They average 1.91 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per match, with a higher xG (1.69) and lower xGA (0.99) than Palmeiras, reflecting a more potent attack and a solid defence. Porto’s away record is solid, with 9 wins from 17, and their matches average 2.79 goals, with 53% of their games going over 2.5 goals. Porto also boast a 41% clean sheet rate and have failed to score in just 12% of their fixtures.
Recent Performance Metrics: Palmeiras: W W W L L (last 5), 2.00 points per game overall. Porto: W L W W W (last 5), 2.09 points per game overall.
Key Player Contributions: Palmeiras: Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque, and José Manuel López have each netted twice this season, while Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves leads with 3 assists. Porto: Samu Omorodion is the standout with 19 goals, supported by Mora de Carvalho (10) and Galeno (8). Francisco Moura has 10 assists, making Porto’s attack especially dangerous.
Statistical Trends: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 36% of Palmeiras’s matches and 53% of Porto’s, but Porto’s international and away games tend to be more open.
Both teams to score has occurred in 36% of Palmeiras’s matches and 41% of Porto’s, but rises to 67% for Palmeiras away and 35% for Porto away, indicating a strong chance for BTTS in a neutral venue.
Porto’s shot volume (13.74 per match) and conversion rate (14%) outstrip Palmeiras’s (14.82 shots, 7% conversion), underlining Porto’s clinical edge.
Porto to Win (13/8)
Research: Porto’s recent run of 7 wins in 10, combined with their superior xG and attacking depth, gives them the edge. They’ve been particularly effective away from home and in international fixtures, while Palmeiras’s home form is less convincing. Porto’s 65% win rate in Liga NOS and a 2.09 points per game average underline their consistency. With Samu Omorodion in prolific form and a midfield that creates chances at a high rate, Porto look well-equipped to exploit Palmeiras’s defensive lapses, especially as Palmeiras have lost two of their last five.
Both Teams to Score – Yes (17/20)
Research: Palmeiras have scored in 73% of their matches and conceded in 55%, while Porto have scored in 88% and conceded in 53%. Porto’s attack, led by Omorodion and Galeno, should break through, but Palmeiras’s record of scoring in every away match this season (100%) suggests they will also find the net. Both sides have attacking threats and, given the stakes, neither is likely to sit back for long periods.
Over 2.5 Goals (6/5)
Research: Porto’s matches average 2.79 goals and 53% go over 2.5, while Palmeiras’s away matches average 2.33 goals and 67% go over 2.5. Both teams have shown a tendency to be more open in international and neutral settings, and with attacking players in good form, this fixture is primed for goals. The attacking stats for both sides, including Porto’s higher shot conversion and Palmeiras’s willingness to attack in away fixtures, further support this pick.
Conclusion – Palmeiras vs Porto Bet Builder Predictions
To summarise, here are our football betting tips for Palmeiras vs Porto:
Porto to Win (13/8): Porto’s superior attacking quality and recent form make them the value pick.
Both Teams to Score – Yes (17/20): Both sides boast attacking threats and have the stats to support goals at both ends.
Over 2.5 Goals (6/5): With both teams’ matches trending towards goals, expect an open and entertaining contest.
A £10 stake on this Bet Builder could return £76, offering excellent value based on the statistical evidence and recent form.
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