Liverpool vs Aston Villa 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions
Liverpool vs Aston Villa at Anfield on Saturday presents a fascinating Premier League encounter between two teams in completely contrasting form. Our football betting expert foresees the visitors’ confidence posing serious problems for a fragile home defence, predicting a Both Teams to Score, an upset in the Double Chance market, and a goal from an in-form defender.
Team News and Context
Liverpool’s domestic form has entered crisis territory, and their team sheet provides little comfort.
The most significant absence is goalkeeper Alisson Becker, who is ruled out with a thigh injury. Giorgi Mamardashvili is set to continue after shipping three goals at Brentford, a clear downgrade for the Reds.
The backline is further weakened by the loss of Jeremie Frimpong, while the midfield is stretched with Ryan Gravenberch facing a late fitness test and Curtis Jones also a doubt.
Aston Villa arrive full of confidence, but have significant creative players missing.
Key attacker Emi Buendía is out with a long-term ankle injury, and fellow midfielder Youri Tielemans is also sidelined.
Crucially, Harvey Elliott, who has been bright on loan for Villa, is ineligible to face his parent club.
This places the offensive burden squarely on John McGinn and Morgan Rogers to supply Ollie Watkins.
Recent Form and Previous Weekend Recap
The Reds are enduring a dreadful run in the league, having lost their last four consecutive matches.
A 5-1 midweek Champions League win in Frankfurt proved a false dawn, as they immediately slumped to a 3-2 defeat at Brentford last Saturday.
That match exposed their defensive frailties, with reports highlighting a “nightmare” performance from defender Milos Kerkez.
Despite this, their home points-per-game (PPG) remains a strong 2.25.
Aston Villa’s form is the polar opposite. Unai Emery’s side has won four successive league games, culminating in a superb 1-0 victory over Manchester City last weekend.
Matty Cash was the hero in that match, and the win has clearly bolstered a side that has been difficult to beat. Their only recent loss came in the Europa League, suggesting their full focus is on domestic competition.
Head to Head and Current Standings
The league table shows just how tight this contest is, with Liverpool in 7th and Aston Villa in 8th, both level on 15 points.
History is firmly on Liverpool’s side; they are unbeaten in the last six meetings (3 wins, 3 draws) and have won 19 of the last 33 encounters.
The statistics from these games indicate a tendency towards goals, with the H2H average at 3.21 goals per match and 64% of meetings exceeding 2.5 goals.
Key Players to Watch
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): In a team that is struggling, Salah remains the one constant threat. He scored a late consolation against Brentford and is the joint-top-scorer for the Reds in the league with three goals. He will be pivotal if Liverpool are to break down Villa’s organised defence.
Matty Cash (Aston Villa):The right-back was the official Player of the Match against Manchester City and scored the decisive goal. With two league goals to his name, his attacking runs will be a major threat, particularly against Liverpool’s unsettled left-hand side.
Match Prediction and Betting Tips
This match pits Liverpool’s historical dominance and strong home form (2.25 PPG) against Aston Villa’s red-hot winning streak.
The key factors will be Alisson’s absence for the hosts and Villa’s missing creative midfielders. Liverpool’s defence is statistically “Very Weak” at stopping opponents from creating chances and has kept a clean sheet in only 25% of home games.
Villa, meanwhile, are brimming with belief after beating City but scores fewer goals on the road (0.75 per game).
Our football betting tips for Liverpool vs Aston Villa are:
Both Teams to Score at 3/5: Liverpool have scored in 100% of their home games this season, while their home matches have seen BTTS in 75% of cases. With Alisson out and a defence prone to “individual errors”, a confident Villa side should find the net, even without Buendía.
Double Chance – Aston Villa or Draw at 1/1: The 4/7 on a Liverpool win looks far too short for a team on a four-game league losing streak. Villa are unbeaten in their last six league matches and have the momentum. Taking the visitors to get at least a point at evens offers excellent value.
Matthew Cash to Score Anytime at 9/1: This is a superb value bet. Cash is in goalscoring form, having netted the winner against City and boasting two league goals. He will be attacking the side of Liverpool’s defence that was torn apart by Brentford, and at 9/1, he is a great price to capitalise.
This is a true test of Liverpool’s Anfield resolve against one of the league’s most in-form sides. A win for Villa would be a massive statement, while Liverpool desperately needs a result to halt their domestic slide.
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