Leeds vs Tottenham 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur at Elland Road on Saturday presents a compelling Premier League encounter between the resilient hosts and the injury-hit visitors. Our football betting expert foresees a high-scoring affair despite Spurs’ selection issues, predicting a Tottenham Win, Over 2.5 Goals, and Richarlison to Score Anytime.
Team News and Context
Daniel Farke’s Leeds side are contending with a significant attacking blow as Wilfried Gnonto looks set to miss out with a calf injury. His absence is a real concern for a team that has already failed to score in 50% of their league matches this season, putting more pressure on the likes of Dominic Calvert-Lewin to find a way through. Goalkeeper Lucas Perri is also unavailable. Having been newly promoted, Leeds know that securing points at home, particularly against top-half opposition, is paramount to their survival hopes.
Tottenham travel to Yorkshire with a casualty list that could derail a lesser side. The creative hub of the team has been dismantled, with James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski both ruled out with long-term knee injuries. The attacking ranks are further depleted by an ankle injury to Dominic Solanke, who has undergone surgery. In defence, Radu Dragusin remains sidelined. The potential absence of Yves Bissouma would be another major blow to the midfield engine, while Randal Kolo Muani is also a doubt. The one piece of positive news for manager Thomas Frank is the expected return of defender Cristian Romero, whose presence will be vital.
Recent Form and Previous Weekend Recap
Leeds will be smarting after being denied three points by a stoppage-time equaliser in their 2-2 draw with Bournemouth last Saturday. Having come from behind to lead, the late concession highlighted a worrying trend of failing to see games out.
On a brighter note, summer signing Sean Longstaff was superb, grabbing a goal and an assist, and looks to be hitting his stride at Elland Road. Despite their frailties, Leeds remain unbeaten in three home league games this term (1W, 2D).
Tottenham also had to settle for a point last weekend, requiring a 94th-minute Joao Palhinha strike to salvage a 1-1 draw at home to bottom-of-the-table Wolves. The performance was widely seen as flat and “too predictable”, with Spurs lacking their usual spark until that late intervention.
However, their away form is a different story; they are undefeated on their travels in the league with two wins and a draw. They also demonstrated their resilience midweek, coming from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 with Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League.
Head to Head and Current Standings
Recent history in this fixture has been overwhelmingly one-sided. Tottenham have won five of the last six Premier League meetings between the sides and the last four in a row. These encounters have been consistently entertaining, with the last nine matches in all competitions featuring over 2.5 goals. The last six league games alone have produced an average of 4.33 goals per match.
Ahead of this weekend’s fixtures, Tottenham sit fourth in the table with 11 points from six games, while Leeds are in twelfth position with eight points.
Key Players to Watch
For Leeds, Sean Longstaff will be crucial. After his man-of-the-match display against Bournemouth, he will be tasked with controlling the midfield and providing the creative spark his side needs, especially with Gnonto absent.
For Tottenham, the onus falls squarely on Richarlison. With Maddison, Kulusevski and Solanke all unavailable, the Brazilian is the undisputed focal point of the attack. His ability to occupy defenders and his finishing will be tested as he leads a depleted forward line.
Match Prediction and Betting Tips
This match presents a classic clash of styles and circumstances. Leeds’ robust home form (1.67 PPG) meets Tottenham’s stellar away record (2.33 PPG). The visitors’ extensive injury list undoubtedly levels the playing field, but their ability to score on the road – netting at least twice in all three away games this season – cannot be ignored.
Leeds’ defensive solidity at Elland Road (0.67 goals conceded per game) will be tested by a Spurs side that scores 64% of its goals in the second half, which could exploit the hosts’ demonstrated weakness in closing out matches.
Our football betting tips for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur are:
Tottenham to Win at 29/20: Despite their significant injuries, Spurs’ away form is formidable. They are unbeaten on the road and have shown they can grind out results against tough opposition. Leeds have drawn two of their three home games and their inability to hold onto a lead against Bournemouth is a major red flag against a team that finishes games strongly.
Over 2.5 Goals at 5/6: The head-to-head record speaks for itself, with the last nine meetings seeing at least three goals. Spurs have been prolific away from home, and all three of their away fixtures have cleared this line. This looks like a solid banker given the history between the clubs.
Richarlison to Score Anytime at 9/5: With Tottenham’s main creators and backup striker all out, the tactical focus must shift to servicing Richarlison. He will be the primary goal threat and penalty taker. In a match that promises goals, he is the most logical candidate to get on the scoresheet for the visitors.
A win for Spurs would solidify their top-four credentials despite their injury crisis, while a victory for Leeds would be a major scalp and a huge boost to their early-season momentum.
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