Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions
Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur at Goodison Park on Sunday presents an intriguing Premier League encounter between two teams with contrasting forms. Our football betting expert foresees a tight battle, predicting a shared result, a goal for Tottenham’s main man, and both sides finding the net.
Team News and Context
Everton enter this clash from 12th in the table, and their home form has been their saving grace. The Toffees are unbeaten in four league matches at Goodison Park this season, securing two wins and two draws.
Their style is direct, favouring long balls and a high volume of shots, averaging an impressive 14.25 shots per game at home. However, their finishing has been poor, with a home conversion rate of just 9%. Defensively, they are staunch on their own turf, conceding only 0.50 goals per match and boasting a “Very Strong” rating in aerial duels.
Tottenham sit 5th, built upon an “excellent” unbeaten away record (3 wins, 1 draw) and a formidable 2.50 points per game on the road. The major concern for the visitors is the fitness of captain Cristian Romero, who was injured in the warm-up before last weekend’s defeat. His absence would be a significant blow to a defence that, while statistically sound, is noted for a “Very Weak” tendency to avoid individual errors.
Offensively, Spurs have been clinical away from home, scoring 2.25 goals per game and converting 20% of their shots – a significant overperformance of their 1.31 away xG.
Recent Form and Previous Weekend Recap
Everton’s momentum was halted last weekend by a 2-0 away defeat to Manchester City. That loss followed a decent run where they beat Crystal Palace 2-1 at home and secured a 1-1 draw with West Ham.
Their overall league form remains patchy (DLDWL), and a worrying 38% of their matches have ended with them failing to score, highlighting their reliance on home comforts.
Tottenham also saw their positive run checked, suffering a 1-2 home loss to Aston Villa last Sunday. That result was their first league defeat since August and came after an impressive 1-2 win at Leeds in their previous away fixture. They arrive at Goodison having also played out a 0-0 draw in Monaco during their midweek Champions League fixture, and their overall league form (WDDWL) is solid, if slightly stalled.
Head to Head and Current Standings
While Tottenham hold the long-term advantage in this fixture (15 wins to 8 from 38 meetings) and have won three of the last six, the recent trend at Goodison Park tells a different story.
Everton are unbeaten in their last three home league encounters against Spurs, recording one win (3-2 last season) and two draws. This suggests the Toffees are a much tougher proposition for Spurs in their own stadium. The match sees 12th-placed Everton (11 points) host 5th-placed Tottenham (14 points).
Key Players to Watch
For Everton, Iliman Ndiaye will be the focal point. As the team’s top scorer with three goals, his finishing will be essential to convert the high volume of chances Everton creates at home, especially given their low team conversion rate.
For Tottenham, Richarlison returns to his former club as his side’s joint-top scorer in the league with three goals. Given Spurs’ clinical 20% away conversion rate, the Brazilian is the player most likely to punish any defensive lapses from his old team.
Match Prediction and Betting Tips
This match pits Everton’s unbeaten home record against Tottenham’s unbeaten away record. Something has to give.
Everton are defensively robust at Goodison (0.50 goals conceded per game), while Spurs are lethal on their travels (2.25 goals scored per game). The H2H trend at Goodison strongly favours Everton, who are unbeaten in the last three meetings here.
Tottenham’s potential defensive fragility without Romero, combined with their massive overperformance of both attacking and defensive xG on the road, suggests their perfect away run is unsustainable. Everton’s 1.60 home xG is strong, even if their finishing has let them down.
A draw looks a very good value bet.
Our football betting tips for Everton vs Tottenham are:
The Draw @ 23/10: This is a classic clash of two strong, specific records. Everton are unbeaten at home (2W, 2D) and average 2.00 PPG here. Spurs are unbeaten away (3W, 1D) and average 2.50 PPG. With Everton avoiding defeat in the last three H2H games at Goodison, a stalemate is the most logical outcome.
Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 7/10: Tottenham have scored in 100% of their away matches this season. While Everton’s home defence is tight, Spurs’ attack, which includes their “Very Strong” wing play, will likely breach it, especially if Romero is out for the visitors. Everton, meanwhile, generates 14.25 shots per game at home and faces a Spurs side that has kept clean sheets in only 38% of their games.
Richarlison to Score Anytime @ 12/5: As Spurs’ joint-top scorer, Richarlison is the sharp end of an attack that converts 20% of its chances on the road. Against his former club, he is the prime candidate to find the net in a team that has scored in every single away game this season.
This match could be a crucial marker for both teams. A draw would solidify Everton’s status as a strong home side, while a win for Spurs would re-establish their momentum after last week’s setback.
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