Chelsea vs Liverpool 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions
Chelsea vs Liverpool at Stamford Bridge on Saturday presents a tantalising Premier League encounter between the league leaders and a home side battling a crippling injury crisis. Our football betting expert foresees a difficult afternoon for the hosts, predicting a Liverpool victory, Over 2.5 Goals, and a goal for Mohamed Salah.
Team News and Context
Chelsea’s preparations have been thrown into disarray by a defensive catastrophe. The Blues will be without a trio of key centre-backs, with Levi Colwill out long-term following ACL surgery, Wesley Fofana sidelined with a head injury, and Trevoh Chalobah serving a suspension. This forces a makeshift backline into action against the division’s most potent attack. Their problems are compounded further up the pitch by the absence of creative talisman Cole Palmer, who is ruled out with a groin problem until after the international break. These absences add to a significant list that also includes BenoĂ®t Badiashile and RomĂ©o Lavia.
Liverpool will arrive at the Bridge with significant selection issues of their own, most notably in goal. First-choice keeper Alisson Becker is out after picking up an injury against Galatasaray, meaning Giorgi Mamardashvili is set for his Premier League debut in a high-pressure environment.
The Reds are also sweating on the fitness of their attack, with top scorer Hugo Ekitike (thigh) and winger Federico Chiesa (niggle) both rated as doubtful. Despite these concerns, the league leaders have been formidable on their travels, boasting an away Points Per Game (PPG) of 2.00.
Recent Form and Previous Weekend Recap
Chelsea’s form has been patchy, reflecting their 8th place standing in the league. They are winless in their last three matches and suffered a dispiriting 3-1 home defeat to Brighton in their most recent Premier League outing. While they have scored 11 goals in their last five fixtures, their defensive frailties are a major concern, with Both Teams to Score landing in four of those five games. Data shows they have conceded at least two goals in their last three league matches.
Liverpool sit top of the table after a blistering start to the campaign, although they come into this fixture having lost two consecutive games in all competitions for the first time under manager Arne Slot. Their last league match was a shock 2-1 defeat at Crystal Palace , which ended a run of four straight league wins.
Statistically, their attack remains potent on the road, where they have scored in 100% of their matches, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
Head to Head and Current Standings
Historically, this has been an evenly contested fixture, with Liverpool holding a narrow advantage over 47 previous meetings with 16 wins to Chelsea’s 13, alongside 18 draws.
However, a compelling trend is Chelsea’s home dominance in this specific clash; they are undefeated in their last seven home matches against Liverpool in all competitions.
The Reds are winless in their last four league visits to Stamford Bridge (D3, L1).
Currently, a significant gap separates the two sides in the table. Liverpool are in 1st place with 15 points, while Chelsea languish in 8th with just 8 points from their opening six games.
Key Players to Watch
With Cole Palmer unavailable, the creative and goalscoring burden for Chelsea falls heavily on Enzo Fernández. The Argentine is the club’s top scorer this season with three goals, and his ability to control the midfield tempo will be vital if the hosts are to get a result.
For Liverpool, the potential absence of Hugo Ekitike makes Mohamed Salah even more crucial. The Egyptian has already netted twice this season and will be the primary threat against Chelsea’s depleted backline. All eyes will also be on debutant goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, whose performance could be decisive.
Match Prediction and Betting Tips
This promises to be an open affair, dictated by the significant absences for both teams. Chelsea’s defensive crisis is acute, and it is difficult to see them containing a Liverpool attack that has been so prolific, even if Ekitike misses out.
Conversely, Liverpool starting a debutant goalkeeper provides a major opportunity for the Chelsea forwards. The data points towards goals; both teams have seen BTTS land in 67% of their matches this season, and the combined pre-match Expected Goals (xG) figure of approximately 3.47 suggests chances will be plentiful.
Our football betting tips for Chelsea vs Liverpool are:
Over 2.5 Goals at 8/15: Chelsea’s defensive injuries are severe, having conceded at least twice in their last three league games. Liverpool have scored in 100% of their away games. With a debutant in goal for the visitors, Chelsea should also find opportunities. This points to a high-scoring match.
Liverpool to Win at 5/4: While Liverpool have key players missing and a poor recent record at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea’s defensive injury list is simply too calamitous to overlook. The gulf in quality and form, evidenced by Liverpool’s 2.50 PPG versus Chelsea’s 1.33, should see the league leaders exploit the hosts’ makeshift backline.
Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime at 7/10: Facing a defence missing three of its primary centre-backs is an ideal scenario for a forward of Salah’s calibre. With other key attackers doubtful for Liverpool, he will be the focal point of their offensive efforts and is a strong candidate to get on the scoresheet.
This match represents a huge test for two clubs dealing with adversity. For Liverpool, it is a chance to bounce back from two straight defeats and solidify their title credentials.
For Chelsea, it is a desperate bid to find stability and avoid slipping further down the table before the international break.
For more insights and predictions on football and the Premier League Darts, visit our Darts and betting tips section.
