Arsenal vs Crystal Palace 2025/26 Premier League Bet Builder & Predictions
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace at Emirates Stadium on Sunday presents a classic top-of-the-table versus-form-side Premier League encounter. Our football betting expert foresees the Gunners’ home dominance proving decisive, predicting an Arsenal Win, a Both Teams to Score – No selection, and a Viktor Gyökeres goal.
Team News and Context
Arsenal enters the weekend top of the league, and their position is built on an outstanding home record. At the Emirates, their form is “excellent,” having won three and drawn one of their four matches, accruing 2.50 points per game (PPG).
The foundation of this success is a near-impenetrable defence; the Gunners boast a 75% clean sheet rate at home and have conceded a paltry 0.25 goals per game. This is no fluke, as their home Expected Goals Against (xGA) is a remarkably low 0.57. They may be without captain Martin Odegaard, who missed the last match against Fulham due to injury, with Eberechi Eze deputising.
Crystal Palace arrive in a respectable 8th place and have proven difficult to beat, losing just once in eight league outings. Their “very good” away form will be their source of confidence, as they’ve taken 1.75 PPG on their travels (2W, 1D, 1L).
The Eagles average a healthy 1.50 goals per away match. However, their defence showed rare vulnerability in their last match, conceding three goals, which was a shock given they had previously conceded only five in seven league games.
Off-field speculation also surrounds captain Marc Guehi, who has reportedly informed the club he will not sign a new contract.
Recent Form and Previous Weekend Recap
Arsenal secured a hard-fought 1-0 victory away at Fulham last weekend, extending their unbeaten run to eight matches in all competitions. The match-winner came from a familiar source: a set-piece. Leandro Trossard scored from close range after Gabriel Magalhães flicked on a Bukayo Saka corner.
It was a dominant performance, despite the narrow scoreline, with the Gunners also having a Riccardo Calafiori goal ruled out for offside and a Saka penalty overturned by VAR.
Crystal Palace come into this match off the back of a six-goal thriller, salvaging a 3-3 draw at home to Bournemouth. The Eagles showed tremendous fight, coming back from 0-2 down at half-time thanks to a superb hat-trick from Jean-Philippe Mateta. Mateta, who now has seven goals this season, sealed the point with a 97th-minute penalty won by Marc Guehi.
Despite the comeback, manager Oliver Glasner will be concerned by a defence that uncharacteristically conceded three goals.
Head to Head and Current Standings
The league table shows a clear gap, with 1st-place Arsenal taking on 8th-place Crystal Palace.
The historical head-to-head record is heavily skewed in the hosts’ favour. In 25 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 15 (60%), with Crystal Palace winning just 3 (12%) and seven matches ending in a draw.
Interestingly, the historical H2H data bucks the teams’ current trends, with 64% of past meetings seeing BTTS and 68% finishing Over 2.5 goals.
Key Players to Watch
Leandro Trossard (Arsenal): After scoring the crucial winner at Fulham, Trossard is a key part of Arsenal’s attack, especially from set-pieces, which are a major team strength.
Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal): The Gunners’ official top scorer in the Premier League (3 goals). He leads the line for a team averaging 2.75 goals per game at home.
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): The undisputed man-in-form, Mateta, is coming off a sensational hat-trick against Bournemouth. He has seven goals for the season and is the Eagles’ primary scoring threat.
Match Prediction and Betting Tips
This fixture pits Arsenal’s overwhelming home strength against Crystal Palace’s recent attacking firepower. Palace’s chaotic 3-3 draw, spearheaded by Mateta’s hat-trick, showed their threat but also their newfound defensive frailty. This is a fatal flaw when visiting the Emirates.
Arsenal’s 1-0 win at Fulham was a picture of control, and their defensive metrics at home are elite: a 75% clean sheet rate and a home xGA of just 0.57. We expect Arsenal’s defensive structure to stifle a Mateta-led attack, while their own potent offence – which thrives on set-pieces – breaks down the visitors.
Our football betting tips for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace are:
Arsenal to Win (4/9): The league leaders are unbeaten at home (3W, 1D) and average 2.50 PPG at the Emirates. They have won 60% of their 25 historical H2H matches against Palace and are on an eight-match unbeaten run.
Both Teams to Score – No (5/6): This bet is based on Arsenal’s formidable home defence. They have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home league games. Their home goals conceded (0.25 pg) and xGA (0.57) are the best in the league. While Palace’s attack is firing, Arsenal’s BTTS rate is a tiny 25%.
Viktor Gyökeres to Score Anytime (5/4): As Arsenal’s Premier League top scorer (3 goals), Gyökeres is the focal point of an attack that scores 2.75 goals per game at home. He faces a Palace defence that just conceded three goals and whose 1.57 away xGA suggests they give up significant opportunities.
A victory for Arsenal would solidify their place at the summit, while any points for Palace would be a significant bonus in their push for a top-half finish.
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