Liechtenstein vs Wales Bet Builder Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 14 November 2025

Liechtenstein vs Wales at Rheinpark Stadion on Saturday presents a classic David vs. Goliath World Cup 2026 Qualifier. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a routine away victory, identifying value in Both Teams to Score – No, a 0-3 Correct Score, and a David Brooks First Goalscorer punt at the best betting sites.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This match is a statistical mismatch of the highest order.

Liechtenstein are one of the weakest sides in global football, a fact borne out by their qualifying campaign: 0 points, 0 goals scored, and 23 conceded.

Wales, while struggling for form against elite opposition like Belgium and England, are a class apart. The ‘Tale of the Tape’ shows the hosts score 0 goals per game at home and concede an average of 3.83.

Wales, conversely, score 1.67 away from home and have never failed to score in an away qualifier this campaign. The entire betting calculus is based on how Wales win, not if.

The 1/33 for an away win is unbackable, so we must look to correlated markets. Liechtenstein’s 100% ‘Failed to Score’ rate in qualifying makes the 1/4 on ‘BTTS – No’ a rock-solid foundation for any bet.

The only complication for Wales is a significant injury list, with captain Ben Davies, defender Ben Cabango, and target-man Kieffer Moore all withdrawing. This loss of aerial presence (Moore) and defensive leadership (Davies) might blunt their attack and make them less secure, but against a team that has not scored a single goal, it is unlikely to change the final outcome.

The hosts are also missing key defender Jens Hofer due to suspension, which cancels out any advantage. We expect Wales to control the game from start to finish.

Our football betting tips for Liechtenstein vs Wales are:

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score – No (1/4) Justification: This is the clearest data-driven bet on the board. Liechtenstein have failed to score in 100% of their home qualifiers (0 goals in 6 games total). Wales have kept a clean sheet in 33% of away games, but face an attack with zero cutting edge.

Value Prop: Correct Score 0-3 (9/2) Justification: This logically follows our main bet. Wales won the reverse fixture 3-0 at home. They average 1.67 goals away, while Liechtenstein concede an average of 3.83 per game. A 3-0 scoreline hits the sweet spot between Wales’s clear superiority and their current injury-hit attack.

Longshot: David Brooks to Score First (4/1) Justification: With Kieffer Moore absent, the creative and goalscoring burden falls on the technical players. Brooks is highly motivated to make an impact on the international stage and possesses the quality to unlock a deep-lying defence. This 4/1 boost offers excellent value for him to be the man to break the deadlock.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Wales to Win (1/33): Justification: The foundation of the bet. The statistical gulf between 3rd place and 5th-place (who have 0 points and 0 goals) makes this a near-certainty.

Under 4.5 Goals (4/7): Justification: Despite Liechtenstein’s awful defence, Wales are potentially missing their primary target man, Kieffer Moore. Their last three H2H wins have been 3-0, 2-0, and 2-0. A cricket score is not guaranteed.

Brennan Johnson Over 1 Shot (1/40): Justification: With Moore likely out, Johnson will be a primary attacking outlet. He is guaranteed to get at least one shot away against a team that will sit in their own box for 90 minutes.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 13/20. A £10 stake would return £16.50.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Liechtenstein come into this fixture in dire form, having lost all five of their most recent matches and sitting bottom of Group J with 0 points. Their campaign has been defined by an inability to create anything (0 goals scored) and a defence that has shipped 23 goals. Manager Konrad Funfstuck’s task now gets even harder.

Liechtenstein Absences:

• Jens Hofer (Suspension): This is a significant blow for the hosts. Losing a starting defender to suspension is the last thing a team with this defensive record needs, further weakening their ability to withstand the expected Welsh onslaught.

Wales arrive in Vaduz under pressure. Recent losses to Belgium and England (friendly) have hurt morale, and manager Craig Bellamy knows his side must win their final two games to secure a favourable play-off semi-final. The 4-2 loss to Belgium last month highlighted their attacking quality but also their defensive frailties.

Wales Absences:

• Ben Davies (Hamstring): A huge loss. The 100-cap defender is also the stand-in captain. His leadership and composure at the back will be sorely missed, forcing a reshuffle in the backline.
• Kieffer Moore (Injury): The withdrawal of the Wrexham target man fundamentally changes Wales’s attack. They lose their primary aerial threat and focal point, placing more reliance on the pace and movement of players like Johnson and Harris.
• Ben Cabango (Injury): Another blow to defensive depth, Cabango started the last match and his absence further limits Bellamy’s options at centre-back alongside the loss of Davies.
• Aaron Ramsey (Injury): The long-term absence of the midfield creator continues to be felt, removing a vital link between midfield and attack.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Liechtenstein vs Wales, provided for your reference.

This is a must-win game for Wales as they fight to secure second place in Group J and a home play-off semi-final.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.