Chelsea vs Arsenal Bet Builder Predictions

by Luke Andrews, 28 November 2025

Chelsea vs Arsenal at Stamford Bridge on Sunday presents a defining Premier League encounter between the league’s top two sides. Our football betting expert has analysed the data and foresees a high-quality affair favouring the visitors, identifying value in an Arsenal victory, goals at both ends, and a continuation of Eberechi Eze’s stunning format the best betting sites.

Betting Analysis & Expert Picks

This top-of-the-table clash pits the league’s most resilient travellers against a home side struggling to turn Stamford Bridge into a fortress. While Chelsea currently sit second, their underlying home metrics raise concerns; a Home Points Per Game (PPG) of just 1.67 is significantly lower than Arsenal’s Away PPG of 2.17.

The Gunners are flying, sitting six points clear at the summit and remaining unbeaten in their last nine league matches.

Historically, this fixture has been a nightmare for the Blues, who have not beaten Arsenal at Stamford Bridge in over seven years. Tactically, Chelsea’s attack has been consistent, scoring in 11 consecutive matches, but the potential absence of Cole Palmer significantly blunts their creativity.

Conversely, Arsenal boast the league’s best defence (only 6 goals conceded total), though the injury to Gabriel Magalhães may offer Chelsea a glimmer of hope.

Ultimately, Arsenal’s superior structural integrity and recent dominance in this H2H make them the clear favourites.

Our football betting tips for Chelsea vs Arsenal are:

Best Bet: Arsenal to Win (6/5) Justification: The data heavily favours the visitors. Arsenal possess a superior Away PPG (2.17) compared to Chelsea’s Home PPG (1.67). Furthermore, the psychological edge is immense; Chelsea have lost 7 of the last 12 meetings and haven’t won this fixture at home since 2018. Arsenal’s current 9-game unbeaten run suggests they are the far more stable outfit.

Value Prop: Arsenal to Win & Both Teams To Score (10/3) Justification: While Arsenal’s defence is elite, the absence of centre-back Gabriel Magalhães is a blow. Chelsea have scored in 11 consecutive matches and average 1.50 goals per game at home. It is highly likely Chelsea will find the net, but Arsenal’s attacking firepower, led by an in-form Eberechi Eze, should see them outscore their hosts.

Longshot: Eberechi Eze To Score First (6/1) Justification: With Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus struggling with injuries, Eze has become the focal point of the Arsenal attack. Coming off a sensational hat-trick against Tottenham in the North London Derby, his confidence is sky-high. He has the most goal involvements of any English player in 2025, making 6/1 for the opener exceptional value.

Bet Builder Selection

For those seeking higher returns, a Bet Builder offers a way to combine our analysis into a single wager. We’ve compiled a three-leg bet that aligns perfectly with our match forecast.

Arsenal to Win (6/5): Justification: Arsenal have won 67% of their away games this season, while Chelsea have lost 33% of their home fixtures. The gap in quality and H2H history supports an away win.

Both Teams to Score – Yes (4/6): Justification: Chelsea’s attack is consistent at home, scoring in 83% of matches at Stamford Bridge. However, they only keep clean sheets in 50% of those games, and Arsenal’s attack (2.0 goals per game average) is potent.

Eberechi Eze To Score Anytime (5/2): Justification: Eze is in the form of his life, having just netted three against Spurs. With penalty duties likely falling to him or Saka (who is also a threat), and playing centrally in the absence of traditional strikers, his goal threat is undervalued by the bookies.

Combining these three selections creates a compelling Bet Builder with total odds of 8/1. A £10 stake would return £90.00.

Match-Up at a Glance

This table provides the essential match details and our top-line expert predictions for the upcoming clash.

The Tale of the Tape: Form & Statistical H2H

The core of our betting analysis lies in comparing the two sides’ current form and key performance metrics. This statistical head-to-head highlights the crucial mismatches, particularly in points accumulation and defensive solidity.

Team News & Strategic Impact

Chelsea come into this match off the back of a controlled 2-0 away victory against Burnley. Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernandez provided the goals in a match where Chelsea reportedly rarely moved out of “second gear”. While this allowed them to rest key midfielder Moisés Caicedo, the comfortable win masked some defensive frailty, as Burnley still managed to force saves from Robert Sanchez. The biggest strategic blow for Chelsea remains the fitness of their talisman.

Chelsea Absences:

• Cole Palmer (Doubtful/Out – Toe Injury): The most significant news. Palmer is “hoping” to play but Enzo Maresca stated, “I don’t think [he will be available]”. Without him, Chelsea lose their primary creative link and goal threat.
• Levi Colwill (Out – ACL): A massive long-term loss for the defence. His absence forces rotation in the backline, likely requiring Tosin Adarabioyo or Benoit Badiashile to step up against a fluid Arsenal attack.
• Roméo Lavia (Out – Thigh): His absence puts more pressure on Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez to control the midfield against a physical Arsenal engine room.
• Reece James (Doubtful – Thigh): Withdrawn at half-time vs Burnley. If he misses out, Malo Gusto will likely deputise, offering energy but perhaps less defensive security.
• Mykhailo Mudryk (Out – Suspended): Unavailable due to a doping violation suspension.

Arsenal arrive at Stamford Bridge in rampant form, having thrashed rivals Tottenham 4-1 in the North London Derby. Eberechi Eze was unplayable, scoring a hat-trick, while Leandro Trossard also found the net. Arsenal dominated possession and controlled the game, demonstrating why they are six points clear at the top. However, their physical toll is mounting.

Arsenal Absences:

• Gabriel Magalhães (Out – Thigh): A critical loss for the league’s best defence. Gabriel’s partnership with Saliba is the bedrock of Arsenal’s success. His absence may force Kiwior or Calafiori into a central role, potentially disrupting their defensive chemistry.
• Kai Havertz (Out – Knee): The forward had a “minor relapse”. His hold-up play and aerial ability will be missed, though Eze’s form centrally mitigates this loss.
• Gabriel Jesus (Out – Knee): Another attacking option unavailable, reducing Mikel Arteta’s ability to rotate his front line.
• Viktor Gyökeres (Doubtful – Hamstring): The striker remains doubtful, leaving Arsenal light on traditional number nines.
• Leandro Trossard (Doubtful): Withdrawn in the midweek win over Bayern, his potential absence would further stretch Arsenal’s wide options.

Popular Odds Hub

Here is a selection of popular market odds for Chelsea vs Arsenal, provided for your reference.

With Arsenal looking to extend their lead at the top and Chelsea desperate to prove their title credentials, the stakes at Stamford Bridge could not be higher.

For more expert analysis and daily tips, visit our main betting tips section.