Daniil Medvedev’s Winning the ATP Title, and Lack of Goals in Top Game Delights Bookies
Betting Week in Review: Daniil Medvedev beats Dominic Thiem in the ATP Final, and a goalless draw between Leeds and Arsenal is good news for bookmakers.
Daniil Medvedev beats Dominic Thiem to Claim ATP Finals
Few punters backed Daniil Medvedev for the ATP tournament and probably for a good reason. Between November last year until the start of the competition, Medvedev had not beaten a single top-10 player. Medvedev’s 4-6 7-6 (7-2) 6-4 victory over world number three Dominic Thiem in the ATP finals meant the Russian had now beaten seven top-10 players in the space of a month.
Despite beating Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal on the way to the final, the majority of the money on the victory was placed on his opponent, Dominic Thiem. The US Open champion had looked on course for victory, leading the second-set tie-break but the resilient Medvedev dug deep to win seven points in-a-row to force a decider which the losing Australian Open finalist won.
A win that means Medvedev will finish the year ranked fourth. Early prices for the Australian Open in January have the Russian priced at 6/1, the same price as Roger Federer. Novak Djokovic is favourite at 11/10 with Rafael Nadal at 11/2 and Dominic Thiem priced at 11/2.
Tottenham’s Title Charge Delights Bookies
Pre-match there was very little doubt which way the money was being placed on the anticipated clash between 2nd placed Tottenham and Manchester City who started the day in 10th. Tottenham was priced at 29/10, City at 4/5 and the draw offered at 31/10, showing the money was on City to claim an away win.
It was, however, Jose Mourinho’s side that came out top in the game. In-form Son Heung-min gave his side the lead after just five minutes. The win was secured in the 65th minute when substitute Giovani lo Celso beat Ederson in the City goal with a low finish to give the London club breathing space.
City did have a first-half goal ruled out by VAR for handball, but it was a well-deserved win for Tottenham who was clinical, scoring two goals with their only two shots on target. This win against City put them at the top of the Premier League table.
With the majority of the money on a City win, many accumulator bets fell by the wayside. The two goals scored was also good news for the operators; the over 2.5 goals was heavily backed.
In other games that were played on Saturday, Chelsea had a fairly routine 2-0 win away at Newcastle. A decent result for bookmakers as Chelsea players such as Timo Werner are heavily backed in the multiple goalscorer market. Brighton edged out Aston Villa 2-1 in a game that the Midlands team was expected to win. Villa had the chance to go into the top three with victory, but the Seagulls won at Villa Park to take them out the relegation zone and into 16th place. Villa was priced at 6/5 with Brighton at 11/5 pre-game.
In Saturday’s late game, a 1-0 scoreline was flattering for Manchester United v West Brom. Former Manchester United goalkeeper Sam Johnstone was in great form and denied his old club with a series of sensational saves. It was, however, VAR that was at the centre of things.
West Brom was initially given a penalty for a foul on Conor Gallagher. The referee was advised to review the incident and decided to reverse his decision. VAR also came to United’s rescue when Johnstone saved a 56th minuted penalty; the technology adjudged that Johnstone was off his line when making the save and a retake was ordered which Bruno Fernandes scored at the second attempt. It was a fortunate win for United, but the low scoring nature of the match is a positive for bookmakers.
Goal-Shy Leeds and Arsenal Means Bore-Draw Pay-Out
Although the bookmakers saw little between Leeds and Arsenal (Leeds was priced at 2/1 for the win, Arsenal @ 6/5), the draw was not seen likely at 11/4. A goalless draw seemed an even more unlikely outcome, especially with the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Patrick Bamford on the pitch.
Bamford had scored seven goals prior to this game, and Aubameyang has scored 231 goals in 421 appearances in his long career.
Despite this, Neither player was able to break the deadlock, and the game was a rather disappointing 0-0 draw. Leeds had the better of the play, hitting the woodwork on several occasions. Leeds had 25 shots on goal, but only four were on target. Arsenal was poor, only having two shots on goal all game.
While the absence of goals was good news, taking many accumulators down, the 0-0 meant some bookmakers had to refund Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time or Scorecast bets on the game.
Called the Bore Draw Money Back offer, the promotion refunds the stake on certain bets. Bookmakers that offer the Bore Draw Money Back promotion also had to refund selected bets in other matches this week. These were; Coventry v Birmingham (Friday), Wycombe v Brentford (Saturday), Spezia v Atalanta (Saturday), Eibar v Getafe (Sunday) and the Leeds and Arsenal game.
In other games on Sunday, Everton held on despite a spirited fightback from Fulham to secure a 3-2 win at Craven Cottage. The Toffees had been winless in their last three.
West Ham heaped more misery on winless Sheff United; a 1-0 win ensured United stayed at the bottom of the Premier League table.
In the late game, Liverpool joined Leicester at the top of the table. A 3-0 win against former leaders Leicester, means only goal difference separates Tottenham and Liverpool after this round of fixtures.