Betting Week in Review: Premier League Once Again Delights Bookmakers
Betting Week in Review: A look back at the last seven days. Premier League betting boosted returns for the bookmakers this week. Surprise draws, and low scoring games gave the operators the advantage.
Another weekend of surprise results in the Premier League proved highly profitable for bookmakers. £200m worth of new attacking players wasn’t enough for Chelsea as they struggled at Old Trafford and Skybets “too good to refuse” deals didn’t produce the easy returns that punters expected.
Goal Drought in the Weekend’s Big Game Boosts Bookmaker’s Revenue
On paper, Saturday’s teatime clash between Manchester United and Chelsea should have been a high-scoring encounter. Manchester United had scored nine goals in four games and had conceded twelve and had new signing Edinson Cavani available for selection. The former Paris Saint-Germain striker scored 138 goals in his spell in France.
Chelsea also had plenty of goals in them, scoring thirteen in five games and conceding nine. The London club spent over £200m in the transfer window, the majority of the cash spent on attacking players such as Timo Werner (RB Leipzig), Kai Havertz (Bayer Leverkusen) and Hakim Ziyech (Ajax).
Rather than a spectacle of football that the majority of fans and neutrals expected, it was a drab and often boring fixture that failed to live up to its hype. With both teams seemingly more afraid of losing than winning. With hindsight, it shouldn’t have come as much of a surprise.
If United had lost this fixture, it would have been the first time that the Red Devils had lost three consecutive home games since 1930, defeat would have put serious pressure on the manager and former United player Ole Gunnar Solskjær.
Similar pressure was on Frank Lampard as Chelsea manager. Manchester United beat Chelsea twice in the league last season and also knocked the Blues out of the EFL Cup, they did beat United in the fourth meeting between the sides in the FA Cup. Still, with the club’s lavish spending in the summer, Roman Abramovic is not renowned for his patience and would have expected a win in this game.
Both Manchester United and Chelsea games are heavily backed in the over/under market. With so much attacking talent on show, it’s no surprise that over 2.5 goals was the most heavily backed market, meaning the 0-0 scoreline was highly lucrative.
Another popular bet when featuring these clubs is the multi-scorer market. United’s frontman Marcus Rashford scored a brace in the 2-1 Carabao Cup win over Chelsea last season. For Chelsea, Kai Havertz scored three in their 6-0 win over Barnsley in the EFL Cup. Timo Werner also seemed a sensible bet, the German scored 28 goals in 33 starts last season for RasenBallsport Leipzig and has already scored a brace against Southampton in Chelsea’s 2-0 win in the league. Therefore the goalless stalemate was the worst possible result for spectators and punters but the best possible result for the bookies.
Skybet’s “Too Good to be True” Offers Shock Punters
Customers of Skybet must have thought the operator was having a laugh when they saw the bookmaker boost the odds of not one but two of the Premier League’s most proficient scorers, not to score a goal but just having a shot on goal.
On Saturday, the bookmaker offered odds of 1/1, boosted from 1/8, that Manchester City’s all-time top scorer Sergio Agüero would have at least one shot on goal. The Argentinian has scored 256 in 412 games in all competitions and averages 3.5 shots on goal per game.
In four years (14/15, 15/16 16/17 and 18/19) the striker averaged four shots per game or over for Manchester City. Therefore this bet seemed a no-brainer.
Much to the annoyance of those who backed the Manchester City player, both he, and his team, had an off day. The normally prolific player was almost anonymous in the first half, the only action the 32-year-old saw as Pep Guardiola substituted him at the interval. The manager said the player was suffering from a “muscular injury” which could explain his uncharacteristic performance.
His team performed slightly better without him. Phil Fodden scored in the 51st minute to cancel out Antonio’s spectacular acrobatic overhead volley which had given the Hammers the lead in the 18th minute. A 1-1 draw was great news for the bookmakers.
Sunday’s boost from Skybet, on current form, looked even more of a certainty as the bookmaker was offering 1/1 on Dominic Calvert-Lewin having at least one shot on goal in Everton’s fixture against Southampton.
In Everton’s five league games, he scored against Tottenham in the 1-0 win, scored a hattrick in the 5-2 win against West Brom, Scored in the 2-1 victory over Crystal Palace, hit another hattrick in the 4-1 win over West Ham and scored a crucial goal in the 1-1 derby against Liverpool.
With Everton hoping to increase their lead at the top of the table, it didn’t seem to be a question of if, but how many the 23-year-old would score. However, just like Agüero the day before, the bet boost promotion looked like a curse with the youngster also failing to register a single shot on goal. In fact, his performance was so bad, his player rating on the BBC football website was just 3.82. Southampton totally dominated the Toffees, winning 2-0 with goals from James Ward-Prowse and Che Adams, another great result for the bookmakers.
Other favourable results for the bookmakers include Leeds beating in-form Aston Villa 3-0 on Friday, Wolves and Newcastle drawing 1-1 and Arsenal losing 1-0 at home by Leicester City.