Betting Week in Review: Carabao Cup and the Premier League Features
Tottenham’s long wait for a trophy continues as Manchester City beat them in the Carabao Cup. We feature this game and Premier League games in our review of the betting week.
City Claim Carabao Cup At The Expense of Sorry Spurs
Manchester City’s incredible record in the Carabao Cup continued on Sunday with a solitary goal enough for them to lift the trophy for the fourth consecutive year.
An Aymeric Laporte header scored in the 82nd minute was the difference between the sides, and the win means they have now equalled Liverpool’s record of eight EFL Cup victories.
Manchester City’s goalscorer Laporte, who connected with a Kevin De Bruyne free-kick to give his side victory, was rather fortunate to still be on the pitch. The defender escaped a booking in the first half and was cautioned after half time, a fact that made the defeat harder to take for Spur’s fans who have not won a trophy since winning this competition by beating Chelsea 2-1 in 2008.
Much of the attention pre-match was on Tottenham’s attempt to win silverware after the club sensationally sacked Jose Mourinho on Monday last week. Ryan Mason was made caretaker manager, replacing the Portuguese man, who has won this competition on four occasions.
The surprise team news was the availability of Harry Kane, the England captain who is the Premier League’s current top scorer with twenty-one goals, was fit to play, a major morale boost for the London club. And both teams were boosted by the return of fans. Of the 8,000 fans who were permitted to watch the game, 2,000 came from each club, with the remaining 4,000 tickets given to NHS workers and support staff to recognise their work during the pandemic.
Despite Kane’s inclusion, predictably, it was City that had the lion’s share of chances. Despite the 1-0 score line, City had an expected goals number of 3.63, compared to just 0.06 for Tottenham and the biggest surprise was it took City so long to score after dominating for almost the entire match. City had 62.2% of the possession and attempted twenty-one shots in the game; Tottenham had just two in the ninety minutes.
For the bookmakers, it was a decent result. Although Manchester City @ 47/100 were red hot favourites, with Spurs priced @ 283/50 and the draw @ 37/10, the low scoring nature of the clash worked in their favour. Much of the money on the over/under market was placed on over 2.5 goals, and a defender scoring the first goal took out almost all bets of the ‘to score first’ markets. There was also no joy for punters who placed bets in the multi-goalscorer market.
After this defeat, it will be interesting to see if Harry Kane remains at the club. The 27-year-old has spoken publicly of his desire to win trophies and judging Spurs on this performance; he may well feel he has to leave the club to realise this.
For City, they are still on course for a treble this year. They have a commanding lead of ten points in the Premier League and just need two more wins to clinch the title. With the Carabao Cup in the bag, they can turn their attention to the one they crave badly, the Champions League. They face a tricky semi-final first leg tie against Paris St-Germain on Wednesday. Pep Guardiola will demand his players to be more ruthless in front of goal, especially with PSG’s goal threat with players such as Neymar and Kylian Mbappé.
Premier League – Goals a Rare Commodity at the Weekend
Except for a 2-2 draw between Aston Villa and West Bromwich Albion and an impressive 4-0 win for Burnley at Wolves, goals were scarce in the Premier League at the weekend, which was good news for operators.
In Friday night’s game, a howler from Arsenal’s goalkeeper Leno gifted Everton a 1-0 win. A harmless ball into the area from Everton’s Richarlison should have been routinely dealt with, but the keeper fumbled his attempt and allowed the ball to slip through his fingers and hit his leg and find the net.
Liverpool failed to see out their game with Newcastle on Saturday. Leading from the third minute from a Mohamed Salah goal, they failed to kill off the game, and Newcastle equalised late into added time through Joe Willock. A great result for bookmakers with the draw priced @ 6/1.
Chelsea overcame West Ham United; the surprise in this game was the scoreline, a 1-0 win for Chelsea. Timo Werner overcame his recent goal drought but could have scored more, the German guilty of missing clear cut chances.
Relegated Sheffield United took the three points in their game with Brighton, David McGoldrick scoring the only goal in the nineteenth minute. Defying the odds, which were priced @ 134/25.
Bookies were delighted with the result in the much-anticipated clash between Leeds United and Manchester United. With two high scoring teams, plenty of money was on the goal scoring markets and over 2.5 goals. The 0-0 draw proved very profitable with little goalmouth action in the game.