Betting Week in Review 11/10/2021: Boxing & World Cup Qualifiers
Bookmakers enjoyed a bumper weekend with many punters betting on the WBC heavyweight fight between Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder. In football, the World Cup qualifiers took centre stage with mixed fortunes for the home nations.
Tyson Fury Beats Deontay Wilder In Heavyweight Classic
Few who stayed up all night to watch the third fight between Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder will have any regrets as fans were treated to one of the greatest fights of all time.
In the third fight in the trilogy between the heavyweights, Britain’s Tyson Fury won the battle and, ultimately, the war, knocking out Wilder in the 11th round to retain his WBC title.
However, that is only half the story in an enthralling fight that swung from fighter to fighter and contained four knockdowns, two apiece, before Tyson floored the American in the penultimate round.
Fury started the fight well, using his jab to good effect and had his opponent on the canvas in the third round, raising hopes that it would be a quick fight in the Fury camp. However, these hopes were soon dashed with Wilder recovering and put the Brit on the floor twice in the fourth, Wilder landing his trademark right hand that would have knocked out 99% of the fighters in the heavyweight division.
Fury recovered, and as the fight wore on, he targeted the left ear of Wilder, and it was only the pure strength and courage of the former champion that kept him in the fight. Fury’s accuracy is the main difference in the fight, landing 30% of his jabs compared to 9% from Wilder.
Fury was also connecting with the power punches; he threw 268 during the fight, landing 114, a percentage of 42%. Conversely, Wilder landed 25% of the 253 power punches he attempted.
It was one of these power punches that put Wilder on his knees in the 10th, a powerful right hand connected, and from that moment, you sensed another decent punch would end the fight. That duly came in the next round, the right hand once again doing the damage and sending Wilder plummeting to the canvas. The referee was waving the fight off as Wilder landed.
Fight Concludes Trilogy of Tension Between the Fighters
When Fury and Wilder meet, sparks fly with very little love lost between the pair. They first met in the ring on the 1st of December 2018, with Fury defending his unbeaten record of 28, and likewise, Wilder was also unbeaten at this stage, a run that had spanned 40 fights.
However, that fight ended in a draw after the judges scored the fight 113-113 (Phil Edwards), 112-114 (Robert Tapper) & 115-111 (Alejandro Rochin).
Most analysts believed Fury should have won that fight. Although the Brit was knocked down twice in the fight (in the 9th and the 12th), he was the dominant fighter for much of the fight and took rounds three through to eight on most expert’s scorecards.
Both fighters fought two fights before meeting again, Wilder beat Dominic Breazeale, and Luis Ortiz and Fury overcame Tom Schwarz and Otto Wallin before their February fight in 2020.
Fury won the rematch by TKO in the 7th, Wilder’s corner throwing in the towel under constant bombardment by Fury. Wilder had been bleeding from his left ear from round two, from his nose and mouth by the third and by the sixth, he could barely raise his hands to fight.
Wilder would later accuse Fury of cheating, stoking the simmering tensions between the pair. Fury called Wilder a “sore loser” after the defeat at the weekend after the American refused to accept Fury’s words of support.
However, with no rematch clause this time, it seems highly likely that there will be no more fights between the pair, although history suggests it won’t be the last heard from the Wilder camp.
Scott McTominay is Scotland’s Saviour
In Group F, Manchester United’s Scott McTominay was the toast of Scotland, scoring a stoppage-time winner against Israel, which kept them on course for the World Cup qualifying playoffs.
With Denmark the runaway leaders in the group, Scotland is fighting with Israel and Austria to qualify for the group, so they needed a result against the team who were just a point behind them after six of the ten games.
The game got off to the worse possible start for the Tartan Army, with the visitors taking the lead through Eran Zahavi’s brilliant free-kick after five minutes. John McGinn levelled just before the half-hour mark with a great goal, but the joy was short-lived with Munas Dabbur restoring Israel’s lead just a couple of minutes later.
Scotland finally got the breakthrough through Lyndon Dykes, who made amends for an earlier penalty miss by volleying his team level just before the hour mark. After that, however, Scotland’s dominance looked as if it was in vain before McTominay’s first goal for his country was scored in the 94th minute, sending Hampden Park into bedlam.
Scotland stays second in the group, seven points behind Denmark but four points ahead of Israel and Austria. Denmark will qualify if they beat Austria tomorrow.
Scotland can book a playoff place if they win two of their final three games. They could even qualify for a playoff place tomorrow if results go their way.
England Win, Wales Draw and Northern Ireland Lose
England, as expected, had an easy day at the office, dispatching Andorra 5-0 away from home. In our preview on Friday, we highlighted Ben Chilwell as a player to watch, and he didn’t disappoint, opening the scoring at odds of 20/1. Other scorers in the routine win were Bukayo Saka, Tammy Abraham, James Ward-Prowse and Jack Grealish.
Disappointingly, a late Albanian winner in Hungary means England will have to wait until next month to secure their passage to the finals. England plays Hungary tomorrow, but the Three Lions cannot pull clear with Albania and Poland playing each other. England needs two wins out of the remaining three games to ensure they top the group.
An entertaining 2-2 draw with the Czech Republic has given them hope in Group E for Welsh supporters.
Captain Aaron Ramsey opened the scoring, but the lead lasted just two minutes as Jakub Pesek scored on the rebound. Shortly after the break, a goalkeeping howler from Danny Ward gave the home side the lead before Daniel James equalised with an assured finish with twenty minutes remaining.
Wales need to win their remaining three games and hope Belgium lose the two they have left to play if they are to top the group. If Wales fail to beat Estonia away tomorrow, then Roberto Martinez’s side will qualify. A point against Estonia would put them in a playoff place. Wales also have a good chance of qualifying for the playoffs due to their placing in last year’s Nations League groups.
Northern Ireland’s chances of qualifying are slim. The 2-0 defeat by second-placed Switzerland has left them six points shy of Switzerland and nine points adrift of leaders Italy.
On Tuesday, failure to win against Bulgaria will make it impossible for Northern Ireland to qualify with two remaining games left to play.