Premier League Matchday 33 Preview – Prediction + Tips 2017/18

Matchday 33 features derbies in both Manchester and Liverpool, but with UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg fixtures just around the corner, the possibility of weakened sides has dampened the excitement.

Manchester City can capture the Premier League title against city rivals United at The Etihad on Saturday, whilst Liverpool cross Stanley Park to take on Everton in the Merseyside Derby. The double-derby weekend will be somewhat hindered by the Champions League second-leg fixture between City and Liverpool next Tuesday, but these games are always feisty affairs and don’t expect United or Everton to be displaying much sympathy for their opponents’ European endeavours. Elsewhere, relegation six-pointers litter the fixture list. You have to go all the way up to 9th to find a team on 40 points, and no side in the bottom half can afford to down tools just yet.

Match of the Day

City will win the Premier League title by taking all three points from United here. There will be no last-minute engraving required this year, though. It is a matter of when, not if, Manchester City lift the trophy and the prospect of gloating in front of city rivals is not as important as progression in Europe for the Abu Dhabi United Group these days.

Manchester City v Manchester United
Manchester City Form Guide DWDWD
Manchester United Form Guide DLWLW
  • Venue: The Etihad
  • Saturday 07 April 17:30
  • Referee: Martin Atkinson
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 19/20 D: 13/5 A: 14/5

About the Game:

City boss Pep Guardiola has already warned that he will be making changes to his side for the Manchester Derby on Saturday. City have two £25m+ players for every position though, so even without Silva, De Bruyne, Aguero et al, they are hardly relying on unproven youngsters. Phil Foden might get a runout, though, and it will be nice to see if the Stockport-born midfielder can make an impact against a midfield likely to consist of Pogba and Matic. Brahim Díaz, the 18-year-old Spaniard signed from Málaga, could also provide some unexpected fireworks from the wing. Claudio Bravo will be back in goal, and that’s always good news for opposing forwards.

Expect Mourinho to play a strong side in order to prevent the humiliation of handing City the title. De Gea has been United’s best player for two or three years now, but there are still issues in front of him in central defence. Lindelof could be back in for this one. The Swedish international has only made 13 league appearances for United since signing in the summer but is rumoured to be in contention to start at the weekend. Lukaku will lead the line and is back amongst the goals of late. The Belgian striker took just five minutes to breakthrough Swansea’s defence last weekend and will fancy his chances against 20-year-old centre-half Tosin Adarabioyo and compatriot Vincent Kompany if that’s who Pep goes with.

Bet on the match of the week between Manchester City and Manchester United at Betway

Taking a look at the form guide, it’s business as usual for City with five wins from the last five in the league. For United four wins on the bounce since the away defeat to Newcastle at the start of February has been enough to lift them into second, two points ahead of Liverpool in third.

This fixture used to be FULL of goals. Since the famous 6-1 in 2011 City have beaten United 4-1 (2013), 3-0 (2014) and United claimed a 4-2 victory in 2015. Then José Mourinho arrived in 2016 and since then the Manchester Derby has featured over 2.5 just twice, and never over 3.5 goals. A full-strength City side in this season’s form is capable of a rout, but that’s not what will be out there trying to break down this Mourinho team on Saturday.

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals – A weakened City side with one eye on European football and a United team content avoiding defeat in away games against the top six is a recipe for a low-scoring game.

Rest of the Premier League Games

Our match of the day shows the action as the top two take on each other, but there are important matches in the bottom half of the table as the relegation dogfight gets serious.

Everton v Liverpool
Everton Form Guide LLWWL
Liverpool Form Guide WWLWW
  • Venue: Goodison Park
  • Saturday 07 April 12:30
  • Referee: Michael Oliver
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 3/1 D: 13/5 A: 10/11

About the Game:

Goodison Park is not a happy place at the minute. Fans have seen their team play under three different managers this season, with little change in fortunes out on the pitch. It’s a measure of the overall quality of the league that despite this horror show of a season, the toffees are sitting 9th – three points behind Leicester and six behind Burnley in the coveted 7th place. Everton have not beaten Liverpool since 2010. Tim Cahill and Mikel Arteta got the goals that day, and that will feel like to a long time ago to Evertonians.

Jürgen Klopp’s Liverpool side have been electric going forward this season and Mohamed Salah has been unstoppable. The Champions League question also hangs over this fixture though, and with an eight-point gap opening up between Spurs in 4th and Chelsea in 5th, you can’t rule out the possibility of Klopp also resting players here. With three automatic places available and the growing gap between Europe’s moneyed elite and everyone else, it’s hard to envisage Liverpool worrying too much about not playing in Europe’s top competition next season.

Prediction: Everton Draw no bet – Eight years is a long time not to score a derby victory and Liverpool could play a weakened side. Everton are hopeless, but football is a funny old game.

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
Bournemouth Form Guide LLWDD
Crystal Palace Form Guide DLLDL
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium
  • Saturday 07 April 15:00
  • Referee: Jonathan Moss
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 6/4 D: 23/10 A: 15/8

About the Game:

Bournemouth look like they are going to be OK this year as they sit in 10th on 37 points. Safety is already likely but one more win would see them hit the magic 40 points and gurantee Premier League football for another season. Saturday provides an excellent opportunity for Eddie Howe’s men. Form has been patchy but they’ll want to get this one over the line.

Palace are in big trouble. Hovering just above the drop on 30 points with one win in their last five matches is not what Roy Hodgson would have had in mind when he took over in September. The Ex-England boss has had long enough to get his house in order here it’s just not happening for him. The Bournemouth game kick-starts a run of five games against sides in the bottom half of the table for The Eagles and a win here could lift them up to 13th.

Prediction: Bournemouth win – The pressure is all on Palace here and the home side can hit 40 points with a win and will be keen to reach that goal. Bournemouth tend to do OK against bottom-half sides and are a decent price for the win.

Brighton v Huddersfield
Brighton Form Guide DWWWL
Huddersfield Form Guide WLDLL
  • Venue: AMEX
  • Saturday 07 April 15:00
  • Referee: Anthony Taylor
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 1/5 D: 12/5 A: 15/4

About the Game:

Brighton and Hove Albion looked like a side executing an perfect survival plan – win your home games and pick up what you can on the road. Things were looking good for Chris Hughton’s side after the 2-1 defeat of Arsenal followed a 4-1 win at home to Swansea. But defeat to Leicester at the Falmer Stadium threw a spanner in the works for the seaguls. Another win should do it, though.

After starting the season so well Huddersfield looked like a real Premier League outfit under David Wagner, but the newly promoted club is running out of steam. No wins in four and defeats to fellow strugglers Newcastle and Palace has left the West Yorkshire club needing a second wind. Victory for the away side would see them leapfrog opponents Brighton.

Prediction: Draw – Massive game this one, and it could be cagey with neither side wanting to lose it. Both sides would settle for a point here with Stoke and Southapton facing tough games.

Leicester v Newcastle
Leicester Form Guide DWDDL
Newcastle Form Guide LDLDW
  • Venue: King Power
  • Saturday 07 April 15:00
  • Referee: Stuart Attwell
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 1/1 D: 12/5 A: 3/1

About the Game:

Leicester come into this one looking for three wins in a row and the 2015/16 Premier League champions went about quitely picking up points against the weaker sides in the league last month. Claude Puel’s team haven’t lost since they were pumped 5-1 by City in early February, but with little to play for we’re getting to that stage of season where safe teams are beatable.

Newcastle look like they will stay up this year with what is essentially a Championship squad. You have to wonder, if you put Rafa Benítez in charge of any of the bottom six, how much safer would they be? The Magpies are 12th after big wins against Southampton and Huddlesfield and with Brazilian Kenedy starting to stretch his legs, you wouldn’t rule out another upset here.

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals – Organisation and solidity has been the hallmark of this Newcastle survival story. They never get thrashed, and are equally modest in victory.

Stoke v Tottenham
Stoke Form Guide WLWWD
Tottenham Form Guide WDWLD
  • Venue: bet365 Arena
  • Saturday 07 April 15:00
  • Referee: Graham Scott
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 8/1 D: 17/4 A: 1/3

About the Game:

When Stoke City appointed Paul Lambert in January many joked that the club was preparing for life in the second tier of English football. However, the prospect of the Championship is looking more and more likely for Stoke. No wins in five and three defeats on the bounce leaves them three points from safety.

Spurs have won five on the spin and with no Champions League football to worry about after being humbled by Juventus, Pochettino can focus on chasing down an automatic place in the competition for next season. Oh, and Harry Kane is fit again.

Prediction: Spurs win – Stoke need a mricale to get something out of this one. Tottenham Hotspur looked fluid and slick against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last weekend and this should be a comfortable three points.

Watford v Burnley
Watford Form Guide LLLLL
Burnley Form Guide DWDWW
  • Venue: Vicarage Road
  • Saturday 07 April 15:00
  • Referee: Paul Tierney
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 13/10 D: 11/5 A: 21/10

About the Game:

Watford are going OK this season and sit comfortably in mid-table. Having already hit the 37 points mark, you’d have to consider them safe now. After heavy defeats to Arsenal and Liverpool, Javi Gracia managed to steady the ship at home to Bournemouth and his team were unlucky to concede a very late Jermain Defoe equaliser.

Burnley have put together back-to-back away wins and travel here for the third game in a row. This season has been a success for both Burnley and for Sean Dyche’s CV. If you ignore the fact that 46 points after 32 games is good enough for 7th in the Premier League these days, Burnley continue to overachieve.

Prediction: Both teams to score – This game is the deadest of dead-rubbers, but Watford have a habit of being involved in high-scoring games. You can’t ignore Burnley’s form on the road and with Ashley Barnes in great form, BTTS looks like the safe bet here.

West Brom v Swansea
West Brom Form Guide WDLDD
Swansea Form Guide WWWLW
  • Venue: The Hawthorns
  • Saturday 07 april 15:00
  • Referee: Roger East
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 7/5 D: 11/5 A: 21/10

About the Game:

West Brom look doomed. Eight straight defeats was enough to see off manager Alan Pardew, who was only appointed in November (a win percentage of 5.5% will do that to you, though), and now The Baggies need the bounciest of new manager bounces to stand even the slightest chance of avoiding the drop. Failure to win here and it will be curtains.

Swansea have been unpredictable under Carlos Carvalhal. After a 4-1 defeat at Brighton, the Swans looked like they’d worked out it after beating West Ham by the same scoreline a week later. After earning only a point from their last two games though and now just three points from the drop, the Welsh club need to get three points on the board here.

Prediction: Swansea Draw no bet – West Brom are so, so poor, but the draw no bet option should account for any upturn in form following the departure of Alan Pardew.

Arsenal v Southampton
Arsenal Form Guide LDDDW
Southampton Form Guide WWLWD
  • Venue: The Emirates
  • Sunday 08 April 14:15
  • Referee: Andre Marriner
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 8/15 D: 10/3 A: 5/1

About the Game:

Arsenal have been painfully predictable in the last month or so. In true Arsène Wenger style, the Gunners are masters at comfortably rolling over sides like Watford and Stoke whilst comfortably rolling over to sides like Spurs, City and… Brighton. Southampton fall into the former category though, so this one should be all good for the veteran manager.

Deary me are Southampton toothless in attack. After a disappointing campaign and sitting in the relegation zone, Saints decided Mark Hughes was the man to save them. Hughes could make history if he becomes one of only a handful of managers to steer two different teams down a division in the same season. Best of luck Mark!

Prediction: Arsenal BTTS no – Southampton have scored once in their last five games and Arsneal have won their previous two home games 3-0. Anything other than a home win to nil seems unlikely.

Chelsea v West Ham
Chelsea Form Guide DDWLL
West Ham Form Guide LWDLL
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Sunday 08 April 16:30
  • Referee: Kevin Friend
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 1/4 D: 5/1 A: 11/1

About the Game:

The problem for Antonio Conte is that despite trying his best to get sacked so he can return to Italy, he keeps finding himself facing poor sides at home. Before reassuring defeats to the two Manchester clubs his Chelsea side couldn’t help but thump West Brom at home. Against Palace things were better for Conte, with only a narrow 2-1 victory to suffer. Perhaps West Ham will offer the reigning Premier League champion his way out?

David Moyes’ West Ham are a true enigma this season. The Hammers followed up a 3-0 defeat to Burnley by pumping Southampton last weekend. Moyes is currently getting a tune out of Marko Arnautović, which for a side in the bottom half of the table can be the difference between safety and relegation.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals – West Ham either score or conceed several and four of their last five games have featured over 2.5 goals. Chelsea could get overawed by the derby atmosphere and accidently score one or two themselves too.

Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*

Game Event Odds Cumulative Odds
Brighton v Huddersfield Draw 12/5 3.40
Leicester v Newcastle Under 2.5 goals 3/4 4.95
Stoke v Tottenham Tottenham win 1/3 6.93
Watford v Burnley Both teams to score 19/20 28.93
Arsenal v Southampton Arsenal BTTS no 7/4 92.94

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Bookie of the week: Our Pick

Betway is our bookie of the week. To find out all you need to know about Betway you can read our Betway review.

* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.

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