Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips, Matchday 33
Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips: Matchday 33
Now that the Super League fiasco is over, we can once again concentrate on the Premier League and there are some interesting games to cover. Arsenal v Everton on Friday night should be a great clash and the game between Chelsea and West Ham could be key to who qualifies for the Champions League. Our featured game is between the two rival Uniteds, which should be tasty.
Match of the Day
One of the greatest rivalries continues on Sunday as Manchester United travel to Elland Road. Both teams are in great form going into this fixture and like to play on the counter-attack. Can Leeds gain revenge for the 6-2 thrashing they received at Old Trafford?
- Venue: Elland Road
- Sunday 25th April 14:00
- Referee: Craig Pawson
- Quick Glance Odds H: 3/1 D:3/1 A: 83/100
About the Game:
Ask any Leeds supporter, and they will say Marcelo Bielsa is Leeds United and Leeds United is Bielsa, such is the impact the 65-year-old has had in his three years with the Yorkshire club. The Argentine has imposed himself as one of the top managers in the Premier League with a unique style. His demanding style of play suits his team well, with no side coming close to the 5,200 sprints or the 113,200 m covered this season. Patrick Bamford has been exceptional this season, scoring fourteen goals and providing seven assists. An important aspect of the England international’s game is his fitness and availability for selection week in week out. As a team, they have made the least number of changes to their team selection. This familiarity and consistency has strengthened their awareness and productivity. Stuart Dallas has been a big game winner scoring both goals as his side outmuscled Man City with ten men for their most memorable game of the season.
Leeds have had joy in the last two big games beating Manchester City 2 – 1 and drawing 1 – 1 against Liverpool. They face another ‘big-six opposition’ in Manchester United as they continue their prosperous Premier League adventure. The Whites have conceded and scored fifty goals this season and have been dominant in the games; a good example is the 61.2 possession they had against the defending Champions. A mid-table finish is already on the cards in their maiden season after a sixteen-year hiatus from top-flight football, and to secure survival is a big achievement.
Manchester United will have their fingers crossed with the fate of the trophy, not in their hands. An eleven-point deficit is not impossible to recover, but they have to pray the Citizens drop points for them to catch up. The Red Devils overcame a twelve-point deficit with Sir Alex Ferguson back in 1996 when they overcame Newcastle. With games fast running out, a more realistic goal is to ensure they cement a place in the top four, and they could yet win the Europa League if they can overcome their semi-final curse. Since his managerial bounce when he took over at Manchester United, this is the first time that Ole Gunnar Solskjear has managed five consecutive wins. The side’s mentality has improved with the Norwegian manager finding a way to cooperate with his stars and bring out the best of his top players. Paul Pogba, in particular, has been inspirational and would be an important player not just on the pitch but in the dressing room to develop the side mentality as he did for his national side in the World Cup.
Edison Cavani has scored four goals as a substitute with his impact on the Red Devils attack massive. He spearheaded the comeback win against Tottenham Hotspurs in one of their best performance we have seen from Ole Gunnar Solskjear’s side. Mason Greenwood is the highest scoring teenager in Europe’s top five leagues and is also the joint-top scoring teenager in Premier League history (15, level with Wayne Rooney). With the 19-year-old not turning 20 till October, he will likely claim the record for himself. Greenwood has netted three goals in the last three games bagging two in their win against Burnley. Marcus Rashford has been involved in forty-two goals, the most in the team (twenty-seven goals, fifteen assists) since the last season. Whether they win the title or not, the Red Devils have established themselves as a side well developed enough to challenge the title and compete. They beat the league leaders 2 – 0 and knocked Liverpool out of the FA Cup; they also beat Tottenham 3-1 away from home a couple of weeks ago, a result that could well have been the final nail in the coffin for Jose Mourinho’s reign at the club.
Prediction: Manchester United to win.
Rest of the Premier League Games
Coming up are our previews and Premier League betting tips for all the rest of the weekend’s action.
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
- Friday 23rd April 20:00
- Referee: Jonathan Moss
- Quick Glance Odds H:19/20 D: 13/5 A: 3/1
About the Game:
Arsenal is unbeaten against their visitors in the last twenty-four home games, a streak that runs to January 1996 when they lost 2 – 1. They are also unbeaten in all the nine Premier League contests played on a Friday (winning seven drawn two), the longest a team has played on a specific day without losing. These Friday night special have been high scoring, producing forty goals which average to 4.7 goals per game. It’s hard to predict which Arsenal side will show up in the match. They can give a mouthwatering performance as we saw in the 4 – 0 romping of Slavia Prague, but shoddy in the 1 – 1 draw against Fulham in their most recent game. They can produce battling performances as shown in the fightback against West Ham; the Gunners were 3-0 down against the Hammers but fought back to salvage a 3-3 draw. In the next game, they were hammered 3-0 by Liverpool. The big concern is Alexander Lacazette, who succumbed to a hamstring injury and Captain Pierre Emerick Aubameyang, who is recovering from Malaria. Without those two, you wonder where the goals are coming from. Both sides are tied on forty-six points, with nine points separating them and fourth-placed Chelsea. Mikel Arteta’s side can qualify for the Champions League by winning the Europa League. Still, it would be more realistic if he chances for a top-four than through knockout competition. Every point is precious at this stage; a good run in the next six games can spearhead one to the top six. The big question is whether the Gunners can marshal such a consistent run.
Everton won the first leg of this fixture 2 – 1 at Goodison Park and will be hoping for a first Premier League double against the London club. Carlo Ancelotti’s side is winless in the last six games drawing the last three consecutive games. The scores were level during half time and full time in each of the last three, which could be an excellent market for punters. This run has all but killed their Champions League hopes, but with just four points separating the Toffees from Tottenham in sixth, a Europa League spot is still very much a possibility. Gylfi Sigurdsson has five goal involvements (three goals and two draws) in the last seven games, as many as he gathered in the previous twenty-three outings. He scored a brace in their recent 2 – 2 draw against Tottenham Hotspur to earn his side a point. Everton’s run-in isn’t too bad, with winnable games on the horizon against Aston Villa, Sheffield United and Wolves. They do, however, have to face West Ham and their last game of the season is against Manchester City. Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s availability is still a doubt, with Richarlison expected to lead the line.
Prediction: Arsenal to win.
- Venue: Anfield
- Saturday 24th April 12:30
- Referee: Andre Marriner
- Quick Glance Odds H: 1/4 D: 11/2 A: 9/1
About the Game:
Liverpool is unbeaten in the last twenty-four Premier League home matches against Newcastle (twenty wins, four draws) since they last lost in 1994. Trent Alexander Arnold has provided an auxiliary source of goals deputising for their blunt front-three and could score or assist for a fourth consecutive league match. The defending Champions have a tough time to even qualify for the top four coming from the Champions League and Premier League triumphs in recent seasons. The game against Leeds United ended in a 1 – 1 draw and showed a drained side mentally in which they failed to defend a one-goal lead in the dying minutes. They need to boost their squad’s depth as the frailties in the defence have made their explosive attack look crippled. Jürgen Klopp’s side was knocked out of the Champions League, thus have only the top four left in their objectives, so we expect them to do better in the next run of games. Mohammed Salah tops the goal-scoring charts with nineteen goals is an ever-present threat to score at any time, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him add to his tally in this fixture.
The Magpies could record a rare hat trick of victories as they sprint out of the relegation battle. Allan Saint-Maximin has been the knight in shining armour for Newcastle, with his side winning 37% of the games when he plays compared to the 15% they have won without the maestro. The Frenchman has had three-goal involvements (one goal and two assists) in the last two games. Steve Bruce side will hope to keep the same form as they face Liverpool, Arsenal, Leicester City, and Manchester City before closing the campaign against Sheffield United and Fulham. They sit fifteenth with eight-point separating them and the last team in the relegation zone. The tactical plan for Newcastle would be to force one or two draws against the top sides and avoid defeat in the last two games against the bottom sides. If they scramble at least two points in the four tough fixtures, they will have ten points, and a win, especially against Fulham, would almost guarantee a new season of top-flight football. The availability of their top scorer Callum Wilson who has ten goals and six assists, couldn’t have come at a better time for the Magpies.
Prediction: A score draw.
- Venue: London Stadium
- Sunday 24th April 17:30
- Referee: Chris Kavanagh
- Quick Glance Odds H: 333/100 D: 13/5 A: 17/20
About the Game:
When you think about West Ham, you think about Jesse Lingard at the moment. The England 28-year old has almost single-handedly transformed the side into a serious Champion League contender. If he finds the net against Chelsea, he will have scored in six consecutive Premier League appearances. Despite joining the side midway through the season, Lingard is already the team’s top goalscorer, with nine goals tied with Tomas Soucek and tops the performance tables with an average match rating of 7.53. Both players have benefitted from the form of Aaron Cresswell, who is an important member of the goal-scoring department with seven assists. West Ham has earned thirty-one points in home games this season, only eclipsed by Manchester City’s thirty-eight. The Hammers are hoping to earn ten home wins in the Premier League for the first time since the 2001-02 season when they managed twelve wins. David Moyes’s side is within reach of the Champions League. Still, with the squad they have and uncertainty of whether Manchester United would let Lingard join them in the summer, Europa League would be a safer haven and perhaps a more realistic target. Although West Ham fans are unlikely to agree with that statement.
It is incredible how Chelsea have managed to reach the top four with their best goal scorer, Tammy Abraham, just having six goals. In a season that saw the London side sack their legend Frank Lampard after a big spending spree on attacking players, they are dependent on the defence rather than their expensive acquisitions. Thomas Tuchel could be the first Blues head coach to go unbeaten in the first ten away games. His tenure has already won the hearts of the Stamford Bridge faithful, qualifying for the semi-finals of the Champions League and beating Manchester City to reach the finals of the FA Cup. A trophy would be a great achievement for the German manager with a top-four finish on the cards. The job is not yet done unless he gets his forwards, especially Timo Werner, who only has six goals, to improve his tally to about twenty in a season to make them worthy title contenders.
Prediction: A draw.
- Venue: Bramall Lane
- Saturday 24th April 20:00
- Referee: Kevin Friend
- Quick Glance Odds H: 17/4 D: 5/2 A: 3/4
About the Game:
The Blades have never lost against The Seagulls in the Premier League. Three games have been played, with one win for United and two draws. With relegation confirmed for Sheffield United, they will only be playing for pride and to create more memories for the fans as they have nothing to lose at this point. Chris Heckingbottom could use the next few games to build up a team that can compete for promotion from the Championship next season. Their attack has yielded just seventeen goals, a far cry from the thirty-nine goals in the 2019-20 season. Chris Wilder gambled on his attacking reinforcements, bringing in teenager Rhian Brewster, but the 21-year-old has so far failed to score in the league after ten appearances. Their defence has also worsened this campaign; they conceded thirty-nine goals: the best defence outside the top three in the 2019-20 season (Liverpool,33, Man City,35, and Man United,36), this year they have conceded fifty-six. . United suffered the joint-earliest relegation in Premier League history. A strange quirk this season is that they have lost all their games played on a Saturday. David McGoldrick is the Blades’ sharpest edge, having scored 35% of Sheffield United’s goals this season with six.
The Seagulls have been one of the best teams this season, if not the best in their games, without making the most of the chances they have created. They are seven points above safety but only have Burnley between them and the relegation zone. Graham Potter’s side will hope for a smooth ride against the already relegated Sheffield United and will try and make the most of this fixture to build a gap from the relegation dogfight. Brighton has secured more points away from home this season; posting wins against Aston Villa, Southampton, Leeds, Newcastle, and more memorable against Liverpool. Four of these wins have been by a single goal margin. They have not found much joy against sides in the bottom three, winning just four of the last twenty-four games. They will be seeking just a second win in twelve league matches against the Blades (four draws, six defeats). Neal Maupay, on nine goals, will lead the line with Danny Welbeck, who is in good form, four-goal, scoring two goals and providing an assist in his last five games.
Prediction: Brighton to win.
- Venue: Molineux
- Sunday 25th April 12:00
- Referee: Darren England
- Quick Glance Odds H: 1/1 D: 23/10 A: 3/1
About the Game:
Wolves are the only side yet to lose this season when they have scored the first goal (winning eight, drawing one). Adama Traore has been a late bloomer this season. After going thirty-five games without a goal involvement, he has scored or assisted in each of the last three appearances. Despite two wins on the bounce, they were uninspiring in their performances against relegation-threatened Fulham and Sheffield United. They have been involved in a fair share of low scoring matches, with this likely to be yet another low-scoring affair. They sit twelfth and aim to finish the season on the top half of the table with European football way out of reach. They have always been ambitious, but a plague of injuries to their top players leaves Nuno Espirito Santo with minimal resources to go higher. Pedro Neto, who has the highest goal involvement with five goals and six assists, is still sidelined, and Wolves will hope the magic comes from Adama Traore.
Burnley has lost just one of the last nine matches against Wolves and can claim a double against them after winning 2 – 1 in at Turf Moor. Matej Vydra has scored three goals in the last six games, as many as he managed in the last fifty-three games. A result in this game is more important to Burnley, closest to the bottom trio after succumbing to three consecutive defeats after the international break. Before this patch of bad results, they were in good form, suffering just one defeat in eight games, even winning at Goodison Park against Everton 2-1. They urgently need to find that rhythm again or keep looking over their shoulder for the rest of the season. Burnley have scored in the last five games even when the results go against them and play great. Since his maiden season, Ashley Westwood has assisted sixteen Premier League goals and is the main supply for Chris Wood, the club’s leading goalscorer on seven.
Prediction: Wolves win.
- Venue: Villa Park
- Sunday 25th April 19:00
- Referee: Stuart Attwell
- Quick Glance Odds H: 17/20 D: 27/10 A: 16/5
About the Game:
Tyrone Mings and Ollie Watkins made the most of Gareth Southgate watching in the stands to combine for John McGinn’s joint quickest Premier League goal of the season after twenty seconds in the midweek game against Manchester City. It was a lead that lasted 21 minutes, the impressive Phil Fodden levelling things up. When John Stones was sent off just before the break for the visitors, a shock result looked a possibility for Villa, even though City had taken the lead just minutes earlier. The hope didn’t last long, Matty Cash was dismissed 11 minutes into the second half, and City was able to control the game once parity was restored to see out the game 2-1. It was a result that meant Dean Smith continued his horrible run against Man City, losing all the five games against them. Villa won 3 – 0 at the Hawthorns in the reverse fixture, with Anwar El Ghazi scoring a double and Bertrand Traore scoring and assisting. The two could be the danger men as they cruise through the rest of this seasons. The hosts don’t have much to play for after seeing a season full of promise for European football fade away. They are comfortable with a mid-table finish and easy end to a season after battling for survival till the last minute of last season.
It looked like mission impossible could actually be possible for West Brom in their battle against relegation last weekend. Sam Allardyce’s side had won back to back games for the first time this season. Mathias Pereira, Matt Phillips, and Callum Robinson completed the Baggies biggest home win since November 2016 in their 3-0 win against Southampton. They provided one of their top-shelf performances, with their highlight of the season being the stunning 5 – 2 triumph against Chelsea. A side struggling to score has managed eight goals in the last two games, but they could not score in the midweek 3-0 loss to Leicester, a defeat that drastically changes the landscape. They are nine points away from Burnley in 17th; however, the gap is really ten points due to West Brom’s vastly inferior goal difference. They have a tough run of fixtures with Arsenal, Liverpool, West Ham and Leeds the last four fixtures. If the Baggies avoid the drop, Big Sam would rightly claim the manager of the year award, but you shouldn’t hold your breath. Matt Phillip has scored more goals (twenty) than any other player since he joined the club. Matheus Pereira is the one to watch with eight goals and five assists.
Prediction: A draw.
- Venue: King Power Stadium
- Monday 26th April 20:00
- Referee: Graham Scott
- Quick Glance Odds H: 11/25 D: 16/5 A: 15/2
About the Game:
Leicester City recovered from two consecutive league defeats to beat Southampton 1 – 0 and qualify for the FA Cup finals where they face Chelsea. An FA Cup win would be a route into Europe should they slide out of contention in the league. Their hopes of clinging on to a Champions League spot looked to be fading after a 3-2 defeat by West Ham and a 2-0 loss against Manchester City, but a 3-0 win midweek against West Brom gave them the vital three points. They now have a four-point cushion over Chelsea in 5th. Kelechi Iheanacho has scored eleven goals in eleven games has been the spark for the side in the absence of James Madison and deputising for out of form Jamie Vardy, who finally scored a goal in midweek, his first since scoring against Liverpool in February. Iheanacho has bettered his best tally, which stood at fourteen goals in a season with fifteen this campaign. His goal against Southampton sent his side to the FA Cup finals.
Crystal Palace sits mid-table with their experienced manager Roy Hudson too experienced to be relegated. However, with the gap being eleven points to Fulham and eighteen left to play for, he is unlikely to relax until they are mathematically safe. Palace lost 4 – 1 to Chelsea in the previous game and failed to secure a fourth consecutive clean sheet. The manner of the defeat left the manager furious, with the first goals coming when they lost possession in their area to find themselves trailing by two goals in the eleventh minute. Wilfred Zaha has scored nine goals this season, five more than he managed last season (four). With age catching up, he still a big fish in a small pond, and if he desires to achieve anything, you feel his time at the club may end when the transfer window opens. Palace have some tough fixtures ahead with games against Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool. Still, with a game against Sheffield United still to play, three points in that fixture should be enough to guarantee top-flight football.
Prediction: Leicester win.
Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*
|Leeds United v Manchester United||Manchester United to win||5/6||1.83|
|Arsenal v Everton||Arsenal to win||19/20||3.57|
|West Ham United v Chelsea||Draw||13/5||12.51|
|Sheffield United v Brighton||Brighton to win||3/4||21.89|
|Aston Villa v West Bromwich Albion||Draw||27/10||78.82|
Bookie of the week: Our Pick
Bet365 are our bookie of the week. To find out everything you could want about bet365, you can read our bet365 review.
* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.