Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips, Matchday 31
Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips: Matchday 31
A packed long weekend of football ahead and some great games to look forward to. Our featured game is a highly anticipated game between Tottenham and Manchester United. Jose faces his old club who will be desperate to avenge a 6-1 mauling the last time they met. Leaders Manchester City face Leeds and will Liverpool overcome their recent poor home form?
Match of the Day
Sunday’s big game is the clash between Tottenham v Manchester United. Tottenham wasted a chance to go onto the top-four last weekend and need the points to keep their Champions League hopes alive. United have some tough fixtures ahead and would love to avenge their last result against Jose Mourinho.
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Sunday 11th April 16:30
- Referee: Chris Kavanagh
- Quick Glance Odds H: 19/10 D:12/10 A: 29/20
About the Game:
Tottenham wasted a glorious opportunity to climb into the top-four last weekend, only drawing 2-2 with relegation-threatened Newcastle. JoeLinton giving the Magpies the lead in the 28th minute before a Harry Kane quick-fire double gave Tottenham the lead just minutes later. Spurs paid the price for their tactics, allowing Newcastle plenty of opportunities to attack, and it paid off for the home side when substitute Joseph Willock scored in the 85th minute. Despite the team’s incredible firepower, Tottenham only mustered eleven shots, half of the twenty-two that Newcastle attempted.
You wonder where Tottenham would be in the league without Harry Kane. Although the 2-2 result is disappointing, Kane played some excellent football and was unlucky not to leave with the match ball. The England captain had seven shots in total; four were on target, one off-target, and one found the woodwork. His goal involvement numbers for the season are just crazy, with nineteen goals and thirteen assists. To put those goals and assist numbers into perspective, Kane’s 32 goal involvements are more than thirty goals that 14th placed Wolves have scored all season as a team. Tottenham currently sits in sixth, three behind West Ham in the last Champions League spots. It is, however, very congested around them; a loss could see them fall behind Liverpool and Everton to eighth.
United took all three points in their 2-1 victory over Brighton, but it was far from a vintage performance. Brighton has proved to be tough opposition for the Red Devils, deserving more than they got the last time the clubs met, a 3-2 defeat. United that time was awarded a penalty after the final whistle had blown; VAR spotted a handball that allowed Bruno Fernandes to score the winner with the game’s last kick. This time around, United old boy Danny Welbeck gave Brighton the lead early on, but second-half goals from Rashford (62’) and Mason Greenwood (’83) gave United the win.
While Tottenham relies heavily upon Harry Kane, United also have their go-to man, Bruno Fernandes. The 26-year-old has been in great form and has had a hand in thirty-eight goal involvements in all competitions this season (twenty-four goals and fourteen assists). The midfielder scored a late penalty to ensure the victory against European minnows, Granada on Thursday in the Europa League. Marcus Rashford scored the other goal in the 2-0 win, taking his tally to 21 goals for the season, making him the first United player to score 20+ goals in two consecutive seasons since Wayne Rooney did so twenty years ago. Although Rashford is a doubt for this clash, forced off after a tackle in Thursday’s game. With Anthony Martial likely to be out for the remainder of the season, United may have to turn to Edison Cavani, who has only managed six goals in nineteen appearances; however, most of his appearances have been from the bench.
Prediction: Tottenham to win 3-1.
Rest of the Premier League Games
Coming up are our previews and Premier League betting tips for all the rest of the weekend’s action.
- Venue: Craven Cottage
- Friday 9th April 20:00
- Referee: Jonathan Moss
- Quick Glance Odds H:7/8 D: 21/10 A: 11/5
About the Game:
Fulham is running the risk of dropping out of the Premier League with barely a whimper. After a narrow 0-1 loss against Tottenham and a great 1-0 win at Anfield, an unlikely reprieve seemed on the cards for Scott Parker’s men. However, three consecutive defeats against Manchester City (0-3), Leeds United (1-2) and Aston Villa (3-1) have seen the clouds gather at Craven Cottage. They are currently in 18th place, five points clear of 19th, but crucially three points behind Newcastle, who have a game in hand over the Cottagers. To make matters worse for Fulham, Newcastle has only lost once in their last five (four draws). Time is quickly running out with just six games remaining after this game.
Wolves are in a better position than their hosts. Their thirty-five points put them in 14th place, nine points clear of Fulham, and a game in hand. Although it’s unlikely that Wolves fans will be thinking it is job done just yet, especially with the poor form the team are in. They last won a game in mid-February, a narrow but credible 1-0 win against Leeds United. Since then, they have drawn against Newcastle (1-1) and Aston Villa (0-0) and suffered defeats against Manchester City (4-1), Liverpool (0-1) and West Ham (2-3). In the last eight games, they average 1.13 points per game, 3.4% lower than their season average. They need to pick up points in these games against the ‘lesser’ teams as Wolves’ last three fixtures of the season are tough; Tottenham, Everton and the visit of Manchester United.
Prediction: Wolves win.
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
- Saturday 10th April 12:30
- Referee: Andre Marriner
- Quick Glance Odds H: 7/25 D: 19/4 A: 9/1
About the Game:
It almost feels like Manchester City have been on the cusp of winning their third Premier League title in four years for months; such has been their superiority in this campaign. A healthy fourteen points lead at the top of the table; it would take a spectacular collapse from the Citizens to deny them the title. Even if Manchester United win their remaining games, four wins from City will see them over the line. The hope for Leeds in this clash is that City will have their minds on Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League quarter-finals. City has a narrow 2-1 lead from the first leg, and with the league all but sewn up, expect to see plenty of rotation from Pep Guardiola.
Even if you are not a Leeds fan, it’s difficult to argue that the Premier League is not a better league with Leeds in it. Playing their gung-ho style of football is unlikely to see them challenging for the title anytime soon, but for neutrals, they are a fascinating team who average 14.2 shots per game. Patrick Bamford has been in great form this season, scoring fourteen goals and making six assists in the thirty league games he has played. Another player catching the eye is Raphinha, the 24-year-old midfielder who has contributed to his team’s cause with six goals and six assists. With their opponent’s minds elsewhere, it wouldn’t be the biggest shock if Leeds took something from this game.
Prediction: A score draw.
- Venue: Anfield
- Saturday 10th April 15:00
- Referee: Paul Tierney
- Quick Glance Odds H: 11/20 D: 16/5 A: 5/1
About the Game:
Liverpool had an easy day at the office last weekend, barely needing to get into second gear to beat a below-par Arsenal. The 0-3 scoreline wasn’t flattering for the Reds; the only surprise was it took so long for Liverpool to take the lead, Diogo Jota scoring the first of his two goals after 64 minutes. Despite his signing raising a few eyebrows when he joined from Wolves, the 24-year-old has been a great signing, scoring eighteen goals in thirty-three appearances in all competitions. The other goalscorer against Arsenal was Mohamed Salah, Liverpool’s top scorer on twenty-nine in all competitions. Seemingly out of the race for the top-four a few weeks ago, Chelsea’s surprise defeat against West Bromwich has changed the landscape, and Liverpool is two points behind Chelsea in 5th and three points behind West Ham, who occupy 4th. The biggest concern for Liverpool is their current home form, the worst in the club’s history, losing six games in a row in the Premier League.
Liverpool already knows that Aston Villa can be dangerous opposition. In October last year, the Villians destroyed Liverpool 7-2 in a game that will last long in their fans’ memory. Ollie Watkins was simply sublime, scoring three goals and assisting another. Jack Grealish was also incredible in that game, scoring twice and setting up three goals. The last game against Liverpool in January didn’t go so well, though, losing 4-1 at home in the FA Cup. Aston Villa will be sweating on Jack Grealish’s fitness, who has struggled recently with injuries; the 25-year-old is only rated at 25% to be fit for this clash. Sitting comfortably in 9th on forty-four points, Villa is five points away from 6th place and could still challenge for a Europa League place.
Prediction: Manchester City win, BTTS, yes.
- Venue: Selhurst Park
- Saturday 10th April 17:30
- Referee: Michael Oliver
- Quick Glance Odds H: 6/1 D: 14/5 A: 11/20
About the Game:
Crystal Palace is in decent form recently, just one defeat in their last six, which was a heavy 4-1 at Tottenham Hotspur’s hands. They have had three draws with Fulham (0-0), Manchester United (0-0) and Everton (1-1) and wins against Brighton (2-1) and West Bromwich Albion (1-0). Sitting in 12th on thirty-eight points, they are twelve points from the relegation zone, and it would be a huge surprise if they are dragged into a relegation battle, although their points per game total over the last eight is 11% lower than their season average. One worry for Eagles fans will be the drying up of goals; they have scored an average of 0.63 goals per game, a huge drop of 41.1% on their season average. One of the main reasons for this has been injuries and the loss of form of top-scorer Wilfred Zaha. The 28-year-old has nine goals this season but hasn’t scored since the 3-2 defeat to West Ham in January.
Last weekend, the biggest shock was Chelsea’s stunning 5-2 defeat at home to West Bromwich Albion, which cost manager Thomas Tuchel his unbeaten record at the club, which had spanned 14 games. West Bromwich needs a miracle to stay up but boosted their survival hopes with the win. Despite taking the lead thanks to Christian Pulisic in the 27th minute, the game swung in West Brom’s favour when Thiago Silva received his second yellow card two minutes later. Two goals from Matheus Pereira and Callum Robinson did the majority of the damage, along with a Mbaye Diagne goal. Mason Mount scored in the 71st minute, but it was too little too late for the Blues. Chelsea did bounce back from the defeat, beating Porto 2-0 away from home in the Champions League Quarter-final. With that tie looking comfortable for Chelsea, expect to see a much more disciplined performance this time in the league.
Prediction: A frustrating draw.
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Sunday 11th April 12:00
- Referee: Anthony Taylor
- Quick Glance Odds H: 13/10 D: 2/1 A: 5/2
About the Game:
Perhaps the most surprising thing about Burnley’s 3-2 defeat at home to Southampton last weekend was that Burnley scored two goals! The twenty-four goals scored this season is the joint second-lowest in the league, with only bottom club Sheffield United scoring less. The last time Burnley scored two was at the end of January when they beat Aston Villa 3-2. Although Burnley is certainly not safe in 15th, seven points clear of Fulham in 18th, they have been picking up points lately. Over the last eight games, they are averaging 1.25 points per game which is an increase of 13.6% of their season average. Burnley could have a big say in which teams get relegated, with games against Wolves, Fulham and Sheffield United still to come.
While Burnley is picking up more points than normal, the same cannot be said for their opponents Newcastle. They are currently picking up 0.88 points per game, nearly 10% (9.3%) lower than their season average. They did, however, pick up a vital point in their last game, an impressive 2-2 draw with Tottenham. Joelinton scored only his second league goal in the 28th minute to give the Magpies the lead, which only lasted two minutes before two Harry Kane goals gave the visitors the lead. Newcastle deserves credit for being the more attacking of the two sides and equalised with five minutes remaining thanks to a goal from substitute Joseph Willock. Newcastle may have top scorer Callum Wilson back from injury, and his goals could be vital for Newcastle’s chances of staying up. The 29-year-old has ten goals and five assists in his 21 starts, six more goals than any other Newcastle player.
Prediction: Newcastle win.
- Venue: London Stadium
- Sunday 11th April 14:05
- Referee: Mike Dean
- Quick Glance Odds H: 2/1 D: 23/10 A: 7/5
About the Game:
West Ham was guilty of taking their foot off the pedal in their clash with Wolves on Monday and nearly paid the price. Taking the lead due to a brilliant individual goal by on-loan Jesse Lingard in the 6th minute, the Hammers doubled the lead eight minutes later when Pablo Fornals converted Arthur Masuaku’s low cross. It should have been game over when substitute Jarrod Bowen scored the third, but Wolves ensured a nervy finish with goals from Leander Dendoncker and Fabio Silva. It was a win that put them into the heady heights of fourth and just four points shy of this weekend’s opponents, Leicester. West Ham are hitting form at exactly the right time; their points per game tally is up 1.2%, goals scored up 9.4%, and goals conceded down by 8.1%
Leicester City’s away form is incredible, losing just the one game on the road all season, a 3-0 defeat at Anfield by Liverpool in November. Since that defeat, they have won away games against Sheffield United, Tottenham, Newcastle United, Fulham Aston Villa and a 2-1 win against Brighton. Currently sitting in 3rd, they are four points ahead of West Ham and four points away from Manchester United in 2nd. Their points tally of 56 is two points better than at this stage of last year and only seven points short of their title-winning campaign of 2015-16. Leicester does have a nightmare run of fixtures to end the season on, though with games against Manchester United, Chelsea and Tottenham.
Prediction: A 2-2 draw.
- Venue: Bramall Lane
- Sunday 11th April 19:00
- Referee: Peter Bankes
- Quick Glance Odds H: 11/2 D: 29/10 A: 4/7
About the Game:
Sheffield United returned to the Premier League two years ago, and few expected anything more than one year spell in the top-flight before being relegated. However, last year they were incredible, finishing 9th, just five points away from a Europa League spot. This year, the only consistency has been defeats, suffering twenty-four in thirty games. And although their form has improved, the four wins the Blades have had have all come since the turn of the year. The club is all but relegated as even if they doubled their current points tally, they would still be a point short of Newcastle.
It hasn’t been a great week for Arsenal. Last week they played champions Liverpool at the Emirates and were soundly beaten 3-0, managing just three shots over the ninety minutes compared to the sixteen shots that the visitors had. The only positive from that game is that they only conceded three. Currently, in 10th, they are seven points away from Tottenham in 6th and their hopes of Europe next season rest with winning the Europa League. However, after conceding a 94th-minute equaliser in their quarter-final clash with Slavia Prague, it will be an uphill task with their opponents having the away goal. A positive is that they are scoring more goals; 1.63 goals per game in the last eight is a 22.6% increase on their season average, but this figure is offset by the goals they are conceding. 1.63 goals per game conceded is 39.3% higher than their season average.
Prediction: 0-2 Arsenal win.
- Venue: The Hawthorns
- Monday 12th April 18:00
- Referee: Simon Hooper
- Quick Glance Odds H: 12/5 D: 9/4 A: 5/4
About the Game:
Although many will put West Bromwich Albion’s incredible 5-2 win at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea, who were previously unbeaten under Thomas Tuchel, as a fluke. Few will argue that the win wasn’t deserved, and it does keep their very slim survival hopes alive. In 19th, eight points from safety, this could be a perfect fixture for Sam Allardyce’s men as their opponents have had an erratic run of form. Win this game, and they could be just two points behind Fulham and will have a game in hand on them. Can Big Sam keep his proud record of not being relegated? It doesn’t look likely, largely due to the fixtures West Brom still have to play. They do have what looks like a winnable game against Wolves but have much tougher games against Leicester, Aston Villa, Arsenal, Liverpool, West Ham and Leeds to come.
Southampton is another team that has not been able to replicate their form from last season in which they finished comfortably in 11th place, just seven points away from sixth. This season their tally of 36 puts them in 13th but thirteen points away from 6th. The main reason for this drop is that Southampton hit a terrible run of form. After beating Liverpool on the 4th of January, they lost six games in a row and have only won twice since then, a 2-0 win away at Sheffield United and a 3-2 win against Burnley last weekend. Their current form is poor, averaging 0.88 points per game, which is 26.7% lower than their season average.
Prediction: 2-1 West Brom win.
- Venue: AMEX Stadium
- Monday 12th April 20:15
- Referee: Darren England
- Quick Glance Odds H: 5/4 D: 23/10 A: 23/10
About the Game:
If Newcastle improves their form and manages to avoid being dragged into the relegation zone, Brighton is the likely candidates to replace them. After beating Liverpool 1-0 at Anfield, the Seagulls went on a five-match winless run that included defeats against Leicester in the FA Cup and Crystal Palace, West Bromwich and Leicester in the league. Recent form is better with wins against Southampton and Newcastle, and although they did lose 2-1 at Old Trafford against Manchester United at the weekend, they were the better side for much of the game, especially in the first half. They will need to pick up points in games against teams around them, such as Sheffield United and Wolves, as they have some tricky fixtures ahead, including Chelsea, West Ham, Manchester City and Arsenal.
Everton’s manager Carlo Ancelotti has made no secret of his desire to get Everton into the Champions League, a competition he has won three times as a manager. The team currently sit on 8th, five points away from 4th, but they do have a game in hand. Everton started the season on fire, winning their first seven games in all competitions before their form dropped in October when they lost three in a row against Southampton, Newcastle and Manchester United. Their current form doesn’t suggest they will make the cut, over the last eight games, they are averaging 1.25 points per game, a drop of 22.8% of their season average. The goals have also dried up, now averaging 0.88 goals per game, a big drop of 37.6% from their season average of 1.25. They also have some tricky games ahead, with Tottenham, Arsenal, Aston Villa, West Ham and Manchester City still to play.
Prediction: Everton to win, over 2.5 goals.
Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*
|Tottenham v Manchester United||Tottenham to win||15/8||2.87|
|Manchester City v Leeds||Draw||5/1||17.25|
|West Ham United v Leicester City||Draw||23/10||56.92|
|Sheffield United v Arsenal||Arsenal win||4/7||89.45|
|West Bromwich Albion v Southampton||West Bromwich Albion to win||13/5||322.03|
Bookie of the week: Our Pick
Bet365 are our bookie of the week. To find out everything you could want about bet365, you can read our bet365 review.
* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.