Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips, Matchday 29
Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips: Matchday 29
Another weekend of great fixtures ahead. The North London derby could make the race for European places very interesting while Manchester City could be within five wins of the title with a win against Fulham. Join us as we preview all the games.
Match of the Day
Sunday’s big game is the clash between Arsenal v Tottenham. Arsenal dropped points in their last game and need to make up ground in the Premier League. Tottenham are five points away from a Champions League spot.
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
- Sunday 14th March 16:30
- Quick Glance Odds H: 137/100 D:5/2 A: 187/100
About the Game:
Going into the North London derby, it is likely that Arsenal fans will be the more nervous of the two sets of fans. The Gunners are in 10th place, their form over the last eight games places them in 10th place, and their chances of catching up with the European places look slim. Ten points is the gap between them and West Ham, who they play after Tottenham and have a visit from Liverpool to contend with at the beginning of April. League form has been inconsistent; three loses in the last six. Recent performances have been better, though, a 4-2 win at Leeds and a very credible 3-1 away win against Leicester sandwiched between a 1-0 defeat at home to Manchester City. They dropped two points against Burnley in their last league game after dominating for much of the game. They had chances to win the game at the death, but Burnley held on.
Defeats in February hurt Arsenal as before then; they were playing well. On Boxing Day, they beat neighbours Chelsea 3-1, and they went on a six-match unbeaten run that included wins against Brighton, West Bromwich, Newcastle United and Southampton. They started February by losing 2-1 away to Wolves, then lost 1-0 at Arsenal with their most recent defeat against City on the 21st. Midweek Arsenal was in action in the Europa League; they beat Olympiakos in a last-16 first-leg tie. Martin Odegaard gave Arsenal the lead after 34 minutes only for a typical Arsenal lapse in defence allowing the Greek champions to equalise. Two late goals, one from Gabriel after 79 and Mohamed Elneny on 85, made the tie safe. In the league, Arsenal are scoring 1.23 goals per game and conceding 1.08 goals per game
Tottenham goes into the match with their local rivals in 7th, but with a game in hand over all the top four teams, they are in touching distance of the European places. 4th placed Chelsea are on fifty points having played 28, Tottenham just five behind after 27. Tottenham had a storming start to the season, even after tasting defeat in the first game, a 1-0 defeat at home to Everton. After that loss, they went on an unbeaten run of 11-matches. Hightlights of that run was a 6-1 destruction of Manchester United at Old Trafford and beating Arsenal and Manchester City by 2-0 scorelines.
However, just like their hosts, bad spells have derailed Tottenham’s title bid. In the middle of December, a four-game winless run saw them lose control of the table. Back-to-back defeats against Liverpool & Leicester followed a 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace. More points were dropped in a 1-1 draw with Wolves. Tottenham’s worst run of the season came at the end of January with just one win in six and five defeats. Recent form is much better; the Gunners have won three-in-a-row and beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 in Thursday’s Europa League last-16 first-leg tie. Harry Kane scoring both goals In the league, Tottenham are scoring 1.62 goals in away games and concede 1.08 goal per game.
As we know our readers are trivia buffs, here’s a stat for you: Erik Lamela is yet to complete a pass with his right foot in all competitions. That’s a span of five Europa League games, sixteen Premier League games, two league cup games and two friendlies. With stats like that, it’s a good job his left foot is pretty decent.
Prediction: Tottenham win, BTTS.
Rest of the Premier League Games
Coming up are our previews and Premier League betting tips for all the rest of the weekend’s action.
- Venue: St James’ Park
- Friday 12th March 20:00
- Referee: Paul Tierney
- Quick Glance Odds H:11/4 D: 5/2 A: 1/1
About the Game:
Newcastle looks in real danger of being involved in the scrap to avoid relegation, their place in the league not looking as secure as it was. In 16th place, they are just one point ahead of both Brighton and Fulham. It is Fulham’s form that the Magpies will be wary of; they have lost just once in the last five. Worryingly for Newcastle fans, recent form is not good, just one win (3-2 against Southampton) and three defeats in the last five. Crucially they failed to win either of the recent ‘six-pointers’, losing 2-1 at home to Crystal Palace and a 1-1 draw with Burnley last weekend. The points per game stats tell you the size of the task here; Newcastle is averaging 1.15 per game, with their visitors averaging 1.64.
Aston Villa is a dangerous team to include in your accumulator bets right now, after a storming start to the season that saw the Midlands team win seven out of the first eight games, form since Christmas has been much more unpredictable. In their last eight games, Villa has won three, lost three and drawn two. Frustratingly, it’s almost impossible to tell which Villa team will turn up; they win against Newcastle, then lose against Burnley, lost against West Ham, then beat Arsenal. Jack Grealish’s injury issues have contributed to Villa’s inconsistency; the England man adds a different dimension to the team. He’s only rated as 50% to be fit for this fixture, an illness impacting his recovery from another injury. Villa has not won at Newcastle for 12 games; they will kick themselves if they don’t take advantage of an out-of-sorts Newcastle team.
Prediction: Aston Villa win.
- Venue: Elland Road
- Saturday 13th March 12:30
- Referee: Kevin Friend
- Quick Glance Odds H: 15/4 D: 3/1 A: 7/10
About the Game:
Leeds are struggling to put a winning run together this season, only winning consecutive games on three occasions this campaign. They have also never lost three in a row in the Premier League, but this will change if they lose against Chelsea. A 1-0 defeat at Elland Road against Aston Villa and a 2-0 defeat by West Ham puts them on the verge of this unwanted milestone. The Yorkshire club has ongoing injury worries; Robin Koch, Adam Forshaw, Pascal Struijk and Pablo Hernandez are either doubtful or ruled out, although Jamie Shackleton should be fit for this game. Leeds only keep a clean sheet in 31% of games at Elland Road; their opponents score in 69% of games, not good omens for Leeds. Leeds are in 11th, nine clear of the dropzone and thirteen away from a Europa League place.
For those who oppose the sacking of managers after a few poor results, Chelsea, somewhat annoyingly, shows that the tactic can pay dividends. Thomas Tuchel was brought in to stabilise Chelsea’s sinking ship, and the German has obliged, unbeaten in the nine league games he has been in charge and six of those games being won. Chelsea’s last league game showed how far they have come on under Tuchell; a 2-0 win against Everton would have been a fixture they would have struggled in last year. This time it was much easier; fine performances from Jorginho, Reece James, Marcos Alonso, Andreas Christensen and Kurt Zouma ensured a comfortable 2-0 win. A Ben Godfery own goal and a Jorginho penalty sealing the points. Chelsea had twenty attempts in that game compared to just seven from the visitors. Chelsea are 4th, four away from Manchester United in second and just two ahead of West Ham in 5th who have a game in hand.
Prediction: Chelsea win, BTTS.
- Venue: Selhurst Park
- Saturday 13th March 15:00
- Referee: Simon Hooper
- Quick Glance Odds H: 23/20 D: 11/5 A: 13/5
About the Game:
Wilfred Zaha’s return to the Eagles was not enough for them to take anything in the weekend’s last action on Sunday evening. Tottenham’s Gareth Bale and Harry Kane both scoring in a 4-1 win. Palace did give themselves hope, Christian Benteke did draw the teams level with his team’s first effort on goal in the dying moments of the first half. The second half was almost entirely Tottenham, although Zaha hit the post when introduced as a substitute, but the Eagles couldn’t cope with the consistent pressure. You would imagine Palace are safe; currently, in 13th they have an eight-point gap between Fulham. The gap is close with those around them, though; only five points separate five teams.
It’s looking like the game is up at West Bromwich Albion and Sam Sam Allardyce’s proud record of never suffering relegation. When Slaven Bilic was sacked, the day after a great 1-1 draw with Manchester City, West Brom were two points from safety. The Baggies now are in 19th, eight points away from Brighton and have a goal difference deficit of 28 goals. In Sam’s first ten in charge, they picked up just five points and conceded 28 times. In away games they have kept a clean sheet in just 8% of games and are yet to win a game while keeping a clean sheet. Their points per game in away matches is just 0.54; this could be a long game for West Brom.
Prediction: Crystal Palace win.
- Venue: Goodison Park
- Saturday 13th March 17:30
- Referee: Jonathan Moss
- Quick Glance Odds H: 83/100 D: 5/2 A: 7/2
About the Game:
Before Monday’s 2-0 loss to Chelsea, Everton had been excellent on their travels, unbeaten in their previous nine. The defeat against one of their top-six rivals is a blow for the Toffees. Everton manager had publicly stated his desire to qualify for the Champion League after the team’s 1-0 win at West Brom. Still, this defeat puts Everton into 6th, just outside the automatic European places. They are four points behind Chelsea in 4th, although Everton has played a game less. What was surprising about the defeat to Chelsea is that Everton only had one shot on goal all game, Andre Gomes producing a save from Edouard Mendy from 25-yards. Richarlison, who had scored four from four, could only fire wide from a good chance, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin was kept quiet all game. Expect to see more of the duo in this game.
If this game were being played at the Hawthornes, our money would have been on a draw. Burnley is the draw masters; the last five games at home have ended in draws. They are much more inconsistent on the road, with four losses and two wins in the last six. After beating Liverpool 1-0 at Anfield, they lost 2-0 to Chelsea. A great 3-0 win against Crystal Palace was followed by a 4-0 hammering by Tottenham. A stat that may give Burnley some hope is that they have kept a clean sheet in 46% of away games, much higher than the 20% of games at home. This defensive strength will be vital against Everton’s firepower. Goals are Burnley’s biggest issue; leading scorer Chris Wood has just five, although he scored in the 1-1 draw with Arsenal in their last game.
Prediction: A frustrating draw.
- Venue: Craven Cottage
- Saturday 13th March 20:00
- Referee: Andre Marriner
- Quick Glance Odds H: 9/1 D: 4/1 A: 33/100
About the Game:
Fulham is certainly making the relegation battle interesting! Scott Parkers’ side lost nine times in their first fourteen games in all competitions and didn’t win their first league game until November, beating West Bromwich 2-0 at home. Since the middle of January, they are much improved, losing twice in ten games. Their 1-0 win at Anfield last weekend a perfect example of the newfound belief around Craven Cottage. Taking full advantage of Liverpool’s seven-team changes, Fulham harassed the champions and took the lead on the stroke of half-time thanks to Mario Lemina, who disposed Mohamed Salah to score the goal. Liverpool had chances to equalise, but Fulham held on to claim the vital three points. It is incredibly tight at the bottom. Fulham are in 18th, level on points with Brighton, but have played a game more. Newcastle is two points further ahead in 16th.
Manchester City responded in perfect fashion to losing their 21-win streak to neighbours United last weekend by demolishing Southampton in mid-week. Riyad Mahrez and Kevin de Bruyne both scored twice, and while the scoreline points to a dominate City display, Southampton’s often comedic defending made it easy for City. Such was the ease in this victory; manager Pep Guardiola spent most of his post-match interview talking about the one that got away, a foul on Phil Foden by Alex McCarthy that VAR failed to give—bemoaning that his team have not had decisions go for them in over four-and-a-half years. Such is his team’s lead at the top of the table, now 14-points ahead; City now just need six wins to claim the title. It’s likely to be five after this fixture.
Prediction: Narrow West Bromwich win.
- Venue: St Mary’s Stadium
- Sunday 14th March 12:00
- Referee: Stuart Attwell
- Quick Glance Odds H: 2/1 D: 21/10 A: 3/2
About the Game:
Southampton fans are likely to be very edgy at the moment, sitting in 14th; only seven points separate them from the dropzone. On current form, they can have no complaints if they are relegated; four points in eleven games doesn’t bode well for Ralph Hasenhuttl’s team. Only West Bromwich have conceded more than the 49 they have let in. Yet, the new year started well. A 1-0 home win against Liverpool on the 4th of January meant the Saints had not lost in three. However, a spectacular collapse saw them lose six-in-a-row in the league. A 1-1 draw with Chelsea stopped the rot before consecutive defeats against Leeds and Everton. They grabbed a vital win in the ‘six-pointer’ against bottom club Sheffield United. They lost their last game against league leaders Manchester City, defensive errors contributing to a heavy 5-2 loss.
Brighton are an example of a team that has gone off the boil. Since mid-December, Brighton only lost two games until the beginning of February in all competitions. Loses against Arsenal and Manchester City were the only defeats in thirteen games. However, since being knocked out of the FA Cup by Leicester on the 10th of February, they are yet to win a game and are now on a three-game losing streak. Defeats against Crystal Palace and West Bromwich are damaging with Crystal Palace above them in the league and West Bromwich struggling in 19th. A draw could be a possibility here.
Prediction: A 1-1 draw.
- Venue: King Power Stadium
- Sunday 14th March 14:00
- Referee: Peter Bankes
- Quick Glance Odds H: 1/2 D: 16/5 A: 6/1
About the Game:
Leicester City, not for the first time, defies expectations and sits comfortably in third, just a point behind Manchester United. Their current form is good, just one defeat, a 3-1 against Arsenal at the King Power, the only loss in seven in the league. Although they have wobbled recently, a 1-1 draw with Burnley and a less than convincing 2-1 against Brighton the last two games. In the game against Brighton, the home side took the lead, Adam Lallana ending his 503-day goal drought to give them the lead. Kelechi Iheanacho brought the Foxes level with his second in two games. Defender Daniel Amartey scored for the winner in the 87th minute and maintained Leicester great away form, which now stands at ten unbeaten in the league.
At one point this season, it looked like the impossible dream was on, and Sheffield United could escape relegation. Three wins in five games, against Newcastle 1-0, Manchester United 1-2 and West Bromwich, more than quadrupled their point score of two, which they had taken over seventeen previous games. It was a false dawn though four defeats in a row ensured the Yorkshire club is still rooted to the table’s bottom. A good win over Aston Villa at the beginning of this month was positive, but a 2-0 loss followed it at home to Southampton, a team with the worst form in the league bar the Blades. Sheffield United are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, and if reports are to be believed, the club will be managerless with Chris Wilder is set to leave his role on Friday after almost five years in charge.
Prediction: Leicester win.
- Venue: Old Trafford
- Sunday 14th March 19:15
- Referee: Chris Kavanagh
- Quick Glance Odds H: 83/100 D: 13/5 A: 333/100
About the Game:
United paid the price for not seeing out the game after AC Milan scored in injury-time to grab a draw. United took the lead with an excellent back header from United’s Amad Diallo five minutes after the restart. United lost Rashford through injury at the interval, and 18-year-old Diallo made the most of his opportunity, a great goal in only his third United appearance. The main talking point of the first half was a Harry Maguire miss, the defender somehow managing to hit the post from half a yard out. United can hardly complain about the draw, being under pressure for most of the game. In the league, form hasn’t been great with just three wins in the last nine games. A loss against Sheffield United and draws against Arsenal, Everton, Chelsea and Crystal Palace has seen Chelsea creep up. They, of course, did win in their last game, a surprise 2-0 win against neighbours City. This game, against a close rival, is just as important.
West Ham is the form team between these two sides, picking up fifteen points in their last six, compared to just five for the Manchester Club. One of the reasons for this great run is the form of Thomas Soucek, who has been excellent for the Hammers. The 26-year-old is deployed as a defensive midfielder but has chipped in with eight goals, including two against Crystal Palace. As an attacking force Michail Antonio is exciting, his seven-goal tally would be higher had the 30-year-old not suffered from injuries. One player who will be missing is Jese Lingard; the 28-year-old has made a huge difference to West Ham since he joined on loan. In six league appearances, he has scored four goals and made an assist.
Prediction: Score draw.
- Venue: Molineux Stadium
- Monday 15th March 20:00
- Referee: Craig Pawson
- Quick Glance Odds H: 15/4 D:11/5 A: 18/25
About the Game:
Wolves are one of the most inconsistent teams in the league, and their home record reflects this with five wins, four draws and four losses. Therefore, it is no surprise to see them in 12th place, nine points away from the dropzone and a win away from 10th. Current form matches their season; two wins against Southampton & Leeds are followed by a draw at Newcastle and a 4-1 defeat by Manchester City. Their last game was a 0-0 against Aston Villa, and despite the opposition having the better of the first half, most notably efforts from Ollie Watkins and Ezri Konsa, Wolves should have won the game. Romain Saiss blasted over when it was easier to score, and Conor Coady had two excellent chances that he couldn’t convert. If Nuno Espirito Santo’s men can create a similar amount of chances in this game, it should be fun to watch.
Not for the first time for Liverpool, Champions League participation was the perfect distraction for the champions. Already leading RB Leipzig by two away goals, it would take a footballing collapse for anything other than a routine night for Liverpool. Fabinho, restored to his normal midfield role, played well alongside Thiago Alcantara and Georginio Wijnaldum, and Liverpool played a more composed game. Although it would have been an easier night had Salah, Mane or Diogo Jota taken any of their first-half chances. Salah did finally score in the 70th minute; four minutes later, Mane scored Liverpool’s 2nd to make it 4-0 on aggregate. With attention switching back to the league, they may need to win the Champions League to qualify for next year’s competition. Last Sunday’s 1-0 loss to Scott Parker’s Fulham means they are in 8th place, seven points behind Chelsea in 4th and with four clubs within five points of each other, it will be a tough fight.
Prediction: Liverpool win, over 2.5.
Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*
|Newcastle v Aston Villa||Villa to win||21/20||2.05|
|Crystal Palace v West Bromwich||Palace to win||6/5||4.51|
|Everton v Burnley||Draw||5/2||15.78|
|Fulham v Manchester City||City to win||1/3||21.04|
|Manchester United v West Ham United||Draw||13/5||75.76|
Bookie of the week: Our Pick
Bet365 are our bookie of the week. To find out everything you could want about bet365, you can read our bet365 review.
* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.