Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips, Matchday 28
Another weekend of great fixtures ahead. At the top of the table Manchester City can take a huge stride towards the title by beating neighbours United. At the opposite end of the table, Fulham are desperate for the points and travel to out-of-sorts Liverpool. Join us as we preview all the games and share our betting tips.
Match of the Day
Sunday’s big game is the clash between Manchester City and Manchester United. City could go as many as seventeen points clear at the top of the table with a win against their neighbours. United need points to keep their Champions League hopes alive.
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
- Sunday 7th March 16:30
- Referee: Anthony Taylor
- Quick Glance Odds H: 8/15 D:333/100 A: 5/1
About the Game:
The Premier League at its finest, as we feature a top-six battle in which the two top sides battle it out in the Manchester Derby. Pep Guardiola’s side could win a quadruple this year. Progressing steadily at the top of the table, in firm control of the round of 16 ties in the Champions League, are in the FA Cup’s quarter-finals and are in the League Cup’s final. They have shown real intention to clinch this season title. Now firmly at the top, they are likely soon to be in a position where they concentrate wholly on the Champions League. The most expensive defence in the world has been delivering this season after not doing themselves justice, delivering poor performances last season. The acquisition of Ruben Dias, in particular, has brought stability to secure fifteen shutouts, conceding seventeen goals.
Manchester City is on course for a third title in four years. Their performance against the league’s elites is championship form: five wins, two draws, and one defeat. They have won twenty-one consecutive games, scoring fifty-five goals and conceding just eight goals. Riyad Mahrez has been exceptional every time he plays with his numbers of fifteen goals and assists in thirty starts incredible for a rotational player. It feels like the league title campaign is done and dusted, but with eleven games and thirty-three points to play, the fat lady isn’t quite singing yet, but she is definitely warming up!
The Red Devils find themselves fourteen points behind the league leaders, further adrift the title challenge, and now join the crowded scramble for the top four. Manchester United’s last four games against top opposition have yielded goalless draws. This game is in visitor’s hands to lose as any other result other than a win would have a more devastating impact on them than it would have on their hosts. United have already dropped points this week; a disappointing 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace on Wednesday. That game will not live long in fans memories, perhaps except for Palace fans as they nearly snatched a winner at the end, United needing a good save from Henderson in goal to save their blushes.
Paul Pogba’s absence at the heart of the midfield removes some shine from the team that had found their rhythm and led the table for a while. However, their talented squad tends to come short when they face high calibre opposition. Edison Cavani’s return comes at a perfect time, with the Red Devils struggling to find the net in recent games. In the absence of the Uruguayan, they have scored just one goal in five games, including three consecutive goalless stalemates. They would need to counter-attack their way to glory and use the pace of Marcus Rashford (nine goals, six assists), who could hurt the opposition. Daniel James also offers speed; the Welshman is playing more recently after becoming somewhat a forgotten man at Old Trafford.
Prediction: City’s incredible winning run continues 2-0.
Rest of the Premier League Games
Coming up are our previews and Premier League betting tips for all the rest of the weekend’s action.
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Saturday 6th March 12:30
- Referee: Andre Marriner
- Quick Glance Odds H:19/4 D: 3/1 A: 8/13
About the Game:
Matej Vydra will be pleased after ending a 1,212 minutes’ goalless run that runs for over a year when he scored in their 1 – 1 draw against Leicester City. They delivered am improved performance coming from the 4 – 0 surrender at Tottenham. Chris Wood’s return has brightened up Sean Dyche’s attack holding up play and linking up neatly with his wide runners. They are six points off the bottom three among five teams entangled in the broiling relegation battle. Burnley will be full of confidence welcoming the Gunners after winning their first-ever game against them in the reverse of this fixture 1 – 0 at the Emirates. Wood has four goals this season, while Dwight McNeil is the best provider with three assists, and these are the two players to keep an eye on in front of the goal. The Clarets have drawn four consecutive games at Turf Moor. Burnley, to do the double? Stranger things have happened this season.
Alexandre Lacazette (nine) and Nicholas Pepe (five) have reduced the overdependence on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (eight) for goals. Everyone in the team is stepping up, as seen in Willian’s performance in their 3 – 1 win against Leicester City, providing two assists. A top-four sprint could be on the cards with the camp’s big names firing and exceptional talent in reserve at Mikel Arteta’s disposal. The FA Cup winners are ten points behind Chelsea but have played a game less. The form of Bakayo Saka and Emile-Smith Rowe has re-energised the team, and it’s amazing how the young academy stars can have such a great impact when given a chance. Arteta has influenced his side to play high pressing possession football just like Man City and look likely to score at any point of the game, shifting the ball fluidly from defence to attack. Recent form has been patchy, though, just two wins in their last six league games, the last, a good 3-1 win away at Leicester.
Prediction: A tight Arsenal win by a single goal
- Venue: Bramall Lane
- Saturday 6th March 15:00
- Referee: Paul Tierney
- Quick Glance Odds H: 13/5 D: 12/5 A: 21/20
About the Game:
Sheffield United are still bottom of the table but still had the passion and desire to deliver a magnificent defensive display for thirty minutes with ten men to pick up three vital points in their mid-week 1-0 win over Aston Villa. This win was just their fourth all season. Twelve points from safety still a big mountain to climb with just eleven games left to play. That result ended a four-game losing streak, and it was just their second clean sheet in a league win all season. Chris Wilder side are seemingly in a hopeless position but have the potential to pull out a magical run as they have often been the best of the rest at the bottom of the table. The performance against Villa shows they haven’t started waving the white flag yet, and a win here and a West Bromwich loss would see them finally leave the foot of the table. David McGoldrick’s six goals are twice the number of any other of his teammates this season, and he is likely to be a danger against a Southampton side that leak goals.
The Saints have won the last three consecutive games in this fixture, scorings three goals in each of the last two. Ralph Hasenhuttl side has had an alarming form since the start of the year; as of 4th January, they were the sixth, level on points with fourth-placed Tottenham. They then went on to earn just one point in nine games and are now seven points from the drop zone after losing five consecutive away games. The list of injuries is alarming as Oriol Romeu was ruled out for the rest of the season to add up to Takumi Minnamino, Theo Walcott, and Kyle Walker-Peters. A game against the bottom of the table Sheffield United should be a valuable source of points as they travel to the Etihad next. James Ward Prowse has made eighty-three consecutive appearances and has five goals and five assists. Danny Ings is worth a punt as possible any time goal scorer for the Saints.
Prediction: A tight draw.
- Venue: Villa Park
- Saturday 6th March 17:30
- Referee: Craig Pawson
- Quick Glance Odds H: 137/100 D: 9/4 A: 21/10
About the Game:
Villa couldn’t take advantage of ten men Sheffield United losing by a solitary goal. A win could have moved them within three points of the Champions League spot. They have to endure another stubborn opposition without Jack Grealish’s guile, who has six goals and ten assists to his name. A transformed side since surviving relegation on the last day of the season has worked hard to secure safety this season. They had a great start of the season with four straight wins. Dean Smith’s side has a tough run of games against Tottenham, Liverpool, and Manchester City in the next six games that could define their European aspiration. They are eight points behind fourth-placed Chelsea. Ollie Watkins has a chance to add to his tally of ten goals, having not hit the target in four consecutive games. Anwar El Ghazi is having his best season, scoring seven goals in all competitions this season.
Pedro Neto is a real spark for Wolves managing five goals and five assists, four more goal involvements than any other player. The biggest problem that Nuno Espirito Santo’s side has faced this season was the loss of his maestro Raul Jimenez who was in fine form before suffering a fractured skull. They appear safe from relegation in midtable, but the twelve-point gap to Everton, who sit in the Europa League place, looks too much to bridge. In their last game, their defence collapsed against the league leaders to concede three goals in the final ten minutes to lose 4 – 1. They came so close to the ending of Man City’s twenty game consecutive wins. Defeat against City was Wolves was their first in six, a great spell that started with a 2 – 1 win against Arsenal at the beginning of February. They then drew 0-0 with Leicester, followed by two consecutive wins against Southampton and Leeds. They face Liverpool immediately after this game, making this an important game to earn points before welcoming the Champions to the Molineux Stadium. Adama Traore, who had a fierce campaign last season, has just one goal in the FA Cup so far.
Prediction: A 1-1 draw.
- Venue: AMEX Community Stadium
- Saturday 6th March 20:00
- Referee: Michael Oliver
- Quick Glance Odds H: 31/20 D: 9/4 A: 9/5
About the Game:
A goal ruled out twice and two penalty misses sums up a chaotic weekend of misfortune for the Seagulls. A painful 1 – 0 defeat saw Brighton sink much closer to the relegation bunch and are now level on points with seventeenth placed Newcastle and four points behind eighteenth placed Fulham. As we have highlighted throughout the season, Graham Potter’s side has been one of the best teams in terms of performances, dominating possession and creating a host of chances but not getting the game over the line. After losing to Crystal Palace 2 – 1 at home, conceding the two goals by the two attempts on target, Brighton has lost the last two league games, as many as the previous twelve. They recorded forty shots in that game while facing just nine, which shows how attacking they are. Neal Maupay has no goal involvement in the last seven games but has the best tally of seven league goals.
Brendan Rodger’s season is on a tough curve after an impressive start. The Foxes were knocked out of the Europa League by Slavia Prague, the only English team not to progress and their league form is faltering with a loss and a draw in their last two. It is a big blow to their increasingly forlorn-looking pursuit of the Premier League leader Manchester City who are now a massive fifteen points ahead. Harvey Barnes was carried off in a stretcher with his leg in a brace to add to their large list of high profile injuries. James Maddison is still side-lined, and Jamie Vardy just recovered from his layoff and hasn’t hit top gear yet. Maddison and Barnes have either scored or assisted fifteen of the last twenty goals for the Foxes. The memories of last year’s slip up on the final day still fresh; they will keen not to allow Champions League football elude them again. Iheanacho has scored two goals in the last three away starts and salvaged them a point in the recent 1 – 1 draw against Burnley.
Prediction: Brighton win over injury-hit Leicester.
- Venue: The Hawthornes
- Sunday 7th March 12:00
- Referee: Martin Atkinson
- Quick Glance Odds H: 7/5 D: 9/4 A: 2/1
About the Game:
An ambitious Sam Allardyce asked his side to win two of the three consecutive home games, and they delivered, securing a narrow 1 – 0 win against Brighton. If anyone can save his side from the drop, it will be big Sam who has never been relegated so far in his illustrious managerial career. If West Brom can win this game against the team in seventeenth, the gap is just six between them and Newcastle with thirty-three left to play for. Kyle Bartley scored the only goal in the recent win and is now West Brom’s second-highest goalscorer with three goals after Matheus Pereira, who has five goals. Two consecutive shutouts for the first time this season is a big positive statistic to carry to the next two home games for a side that struggles to score. Sam Johnstone became the first goalkeeper to reach the milestone of one hundred saves this season. They now need to improve their attack to back up their now impressive defence to grab those vital wins.
Miguel Almiron’s injury (four goals, one assist) is a big blow to Newcastle, who is already missing their best player Callum Wilson (ten goals, five assists). This match is a relegation battle despite the nine points separating the two sides; a defeat takes them within just six points, and with eleven games left to play, this would be a worrying prospect. The Magpies were ten points away from the drop zone three weeks ago and are now three points from the relegation spots. More worrying is the terrible form in contrast to all the teams below them, which should be a worrying factor. Steve Bruce will have to motivate his side as the run of games (Aston Villa, Brighton, Spurs, Burnley, West Ham) favours a resurgence, but the current form of just one win in six doesn’t inspire belief.
Prediction: Narrow West Bromwich win.
- Venue: Anfield
- Sunday 7th March 16:00
- Referee: Kevin Friend
- Quick Glance Odds H: 9/25 D: 17/4 A: 7/1
About the Game:
It’s unlikely that you are reading this and are not aware of Liverpool’s current plight. The 1-0 defeat at home to Chelsea on Thursday was Liverpool’s fifth successive home defeat, the first time this has happened in 128 years. Just six short months ago, Liverpool was lifting the trophy for the first time in thirty years but now face a mammoth task to even qualify for the Champions League and may have to pin their hopes on winning the competition this year. Liverpool sits seventh, twenty-three points shy of Manchester City, but worryingly for the champions, teams around them all have a game in hand, and if results go against them, they could drop as low as ninth. Klopp was widely criticised after the Chelsea game for taking off top scorer Mohamed Salah off when his team were trailing 1-0; the Egyptian has seventeen goals and showed his displeasure at the decision to substitute him. The only win Liverpool have enjoyed in the last six in the league was a 2-0 win away at bottom club Sheffield United. Fulham is in better form than Sheffield United and are fighting for their lives; this could be a very tricky game for the soon to be disposed champions.
Ruben Loftus-Cheek has been a real revelation in his loan spell at Fulham. The famous saying numbers don’t lie, well, sometimes they do. The 25-year old has just one goal involvement this season, but his influence in the team going forward has been immense. Theses dominant performances have helped reduce the gap to Newcastle United from ten to just three in three weeks. Two wins and three draws in six has helped lift the mood for Scott Parker’s side. They lost 1-0 at home to Tottenham on Thursday, but that was only by a solitary goal against a team with Harry Kane, Gareth Bale and Son in their ranks. The fixture schedule is tough; after the champions, they face champions-elect Manchester City. Bobby De Cordova-Reid is the team’s top scorer on five but hasn’t scored a goal since the 2-2 draw with West Brom in January. Ademola Lookman is another to watch; the 23-year-old has four and scored in the 1-0 win against Sheffield United.
Prediction: Liverpool win.
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Sunday 7th March 19:15
- Referee: Stuart Attwell
- Quick Glance Odds H: 9/20 D: 7/2 A: 6/1
About the Game:
Tottenham fans who watched their 4 – 0 triumph win over Burnley will wonder why it had taken so long for Jose Mourinho to make the three-time Champions League winner Gareth Bale a consistent starter. There is no doubting the Welshman’s talents; in 2018, Bale broke Liverpool’s hearts by scoring two in the Champions League final to give Real Madrid the Champions League trophy. He’s in good form recently after being seemingly surplus to requirements at the beginning of his loan move; the 31-year-old has seven-goal involvements (four-goal, three assists) in his last four games. The emergence of Bale has coincided with recovery for this Tottenham side. Back-to-back wins are much better than the five defeats in six they were previously on. Spurs are now eighth, just six points behind fourth-placed West Ham United with a game in hand. Heung-Min Son has fifteen assists this season, just one short of Kevin De Bruyne’s sixteen. Hugo Lloris achieved a milestone of 100 clean sheets in the 1-0 win against Fulham, becoming the sixteenth keeper to achieve this and the ninth quickest.
Ten points safe from the relegation zone is a real comfort for the Eagles. Coming from a less than convincing 2 – 1 win at Brighton and two goalless draws against Fulham and Manchester United. Roy Hudson is too experienced not to keep them afloat, but that is as good as it gets for them, you feel. They rely on their well-compacted defence that is difficult to break, which helps them cover up for their deficiency in the attack which has been highlighted by the injury to their best player, Wilfred Zaha. Games against Tottenham are ones they haven’t found joy in, losing three and drawing two of the last five. The previous two consecutive games have been a 1 – 1 draw. In the absence of Wilfred Zaha (nine goals), they have their eyes on Christian Benteke (four goals) and wonderkid Eberechi Eze (three goals) to deliver upfront. They offered little in the last game against Manchester United but could have grabbed three points late on if not for a save near the end from United goalkeeper Dean Henderson.
Prediction: Tottenham to win, Over 2.5.
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
- Monday 8th March 18:00
- Referee: Chris Kavanagh
- Quick Glance Odds H: 11/20 D: 3/1 A: 11/2
About the Game:
Thomas Tuchel remains unbeaten in England, winning seven and drawing three of his first ten games. The German has toughened up the Blues defence, and they are a much more resilient side conceding just two goals in this run. More impressively, they haven’t conceded in the last four home games and will be hoping this continues against an attacking side in Everton. The midweek 1 – 0 win against Liverpool, which followed their win against Athletico, will be a big morale boost to build on. They have an away goal in their Champions League tie against Atletico Madrid, and we have a sneaking suspicion that Europe could be a happy hunting ground this year for the Blues. Mason Mount is quickly establishing himself as one of the Premier League’s best performers; the youngster has five goals and three assists to his name. Three of these goals have come in the last six games for Chelsea. More importantly, are the consistent displays from midfield that has seen the 22-year-old pick up the man-of-the-match award four times in the league.
Carlo Ancelotti has been preaching the Champions League football gospel to the Goodison faithful, and they are now starting to believe it could be possible. The 2-0 win at Anfield against their biggest rivals Liverpool, not only stopped a run of two consecutive defeats, but it also seemed to motivate the team to secure two more wins on the bounce. The two successive wins against Southampton and West Brom were both 1-0 scorelines, and neither was particularly pretty, but six points are six points however they are earned. The return of Allan provides extra protection for their defence that has kept three consecutive clean sheets. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison have a unique understanding that has yielded thirty goals in all competitions this season. The Brazilian has scored in four consecutive Premier League games and is the third-best scoring Brazilian level with Gabriel Jesus (18); only Neymar (19) and Joao Pedro (30) have scored more. The home team has won each of the last four games in this fixture, and Everton will need to play well to beat this recurring trend.
Prediction: Score draw.
- Venue: London Stadium
- Monday 8th March 20:00
- Referee: Mike Dean
- Quick Glance Odds H: 21/20 D:13/5 A: 5/2
About the Game:
The surprise package of the season has been the Hammers, who were sitting in the final Champions League spot before games this week. Leeds are a side that they have historically struggled against, but this season they have already had the edge against them in the reverse fixture, winning by a 2 – 1 scoreline. Michail Antonio has been pivotal upfront with seven goals, while their top goalscorer is Tomas Soucek with eight goals. Jesse Lingard has provided a special auxiliary element in their attack with devastating runs from behind. Most importantly, he has brought a unique cohesion in the side, evident in their good chemistry on the pitch and how they celebrate. The former England international seems to have found a spiritual home at West Ham after barely featuring for Manchester United over the last two campaigns. The Hammers lost last game against Manchester City 2-1 but won their previous two games, beating Sheffield United 3-0 and Tottenham 2-1.
Marcelo Bielsa seems to have done all the hard work to keep the Yorkshire club safe in midtable in their first season back in the Premier League. However, you can’t help but feel this side is capable of so much more, especially after their explosive start to life back in the top-flight. Consistency has been the biggest problem, with every win recently being followed by a loss or two. The team that is free-scoring one game struggles the next, as seen in recent 1-0 defeats against Wolves and Aston Villa. The Whites are marvellous with the ball dominating possession but have now failed to score six times, four times at home. They are vulnerable from set-pieces shipping nineteen goals, including penalties, to face a real threat against the Hammers, who are dangerous from this situation. Patrick Bamford has had a career-defining season scoring thirteen goals and five assists this season, and is likely to be a big danger in this fixture.
Prediction: West Ham win, over 2.5.
Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*
|Burnley v Arsenal||Arsenal win||8/13||1.61|
|Sheffield United v Southampton||Sheffield United win||13/5||5.81|
|Aston Villa v Wolves||1-1 draw||11/2||37.80|
|Liverpool v Fulham||Liverpool to win||4/11||51.54|
|Tottenham v Crystal Palace||Tottenham to win||9/20||74.74|
Bookie of the week: Our Pick
Bet365 are our bookie of the week. To find out everything you could want about bet365, you can read our bet365 review.
* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.