Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips: Matchday 12

Premier League Match Previews and Betting Tips: Matchday 12

Some great games to look forward to including the Manchester derby on Saturday. Leeds United against West Ham United on Friday night has potential and Everton against Chelsea on Saturday almost guarantees goals. Join us as we preview the action.

Match of the Day

Just a point separates these North West rivals with United slightly edging it in the league. United will be hoping to bounce back from their crashing out of the Champions League but face a City side that is starting to find form. 

Manchester United v Manchester City
Manchester United Form Guide DWDWD
Manchester City Form Guide DLWLW
  • Venue: Old Trafford
  • Saturday 12 December 17:30
  • Referee: Chris Kavanagh
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 18/5 D:17/5 A: 13/16

About the Game:

The Manchester derby will be the main event this weekend as the two noisy neighbours clash at Old Trafford. The hosts have no time to mourn after being knocked out of the UEFA Champions League and will now feature in the Europa League round of 32. They have had the edge against Manchester City over the years, even when they have not been in their form, doing the double against them last season. Both the Manchester teams have struggled against the better sides this season, with either yet to win a game against the top six.

Ole Gunnar Solskjear side has failed to dominate the ‘lesser teams’ in the league, having to come from behind in their last two Premier League games. They were dominated by West Ham last weekend, conceding first but came from behind with an iconic second-half cameo by Bruno Fernandes and Marcus Rashford to win 3 – 1. This game comes on the back of another epic comeback in which they fought from two goals down against Southampton to win 3 – 2. in that game Edison Cavani announced himself to the Red Devils faithful, scoring twice and assisting one. Despite the upset in Europe, United will fancy this one; they perform better against teams who keep possession, using the counter-attack to good effect.

Bet on Manchester United v Manchester City at bet365

One of the biggest surprises this season has been the indifferent form of the 2018-19 Champions. In City’s title-winning campaign they won 32 games, drew two and lost four. After ten games this season, they already have two loses and three draws. These defeats were painful, 5-2 at home against Leicester and 2-0 against the league leaders Tottenham. A chance was blown to show their title credentials in the game against champions Liverpool; the match was drawn 1-1.

Part of City’s problems has been the lack of firepower, injuries to key players such as Sergio Aguero has left them toothless upfront and without that killer instinct that City normally possess. Although the tide does seem to be turning, they have scored seven in the last two games, and Aguero returned to action in midweek, scoring in the 3-0 win over Marseille, playing the last 25 minutes and finding the net not long after coming on. City have kept five clean sheets in a row heading into Saturday’s derby and will be confident that they can take advantage of a United defence that looks out of sorts. Ilkay Gündogan and Eric García are doubtful for this clash and Pep has ruled out Aguero starting, but no-one would be surprised if he comes off the bench to cause United problems.

Prediction: A healthy City win.

Rest of the Premier League Games

Coming up are our previews and Premier League betting tips for all the rest of the weekend’s action.

Leeds United v West Ham United
Leeds United Form Guide LLDWL
West Ham United Form Guide WWLDD
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Friday 11 December 20:00
  • Referee: Michael Oliver
  • Quick Glance Odds H:15/1 D: 14/5 A: 11/5

About the Game:

Both sides will take pride in their loss against top-six opposition over the weekend with the way they played and even scoring first in their games. Leeds are vulnerable at the back with only two sides conceding more goals than them and have had high scoring games with five of their eleven games yielding four or more goals. Patrick Bamford has been the spark for the side, scoring eight goals. The former Chelsea man averages a goal every 118 minutes, almost twice as productive as he was in the Championship last year in which he averaged a goal every 216 minutes. He is becoming more clinical; his shot conversion has gone from 11.2% to 18.6%. Robin Koch suffered a knee injury which will be a big loss for with Marcelo Bielsa already having to survive with two centre-backs in his squad. Leeds have never lost a top-flight home game played on a Friday (winning three drawing six) while their visitors have lost the last three Premier League away games without scoring.

West Ham has been a great attacking threat this season scoring in every game since they lost 2 – 0 to Newcastle on opening day. They were the better side for the entirety of their game against Manchester United but couldn’t handle their counter-attack. Tomas Soucek gave the Hammers the first half but failed to convert the numerous chances they created throughout the game to extend their advantage. A second time in the last five games that they have failed to keep hold of the lead, a pattern that was repeated in their last game against Chelsea. The vulnerability in their defence shows prospects of a high scoring match, having no problems netting goals, having scored the opening goal in eight of their eleven games. They could equal a club record of scoring first in seven straight Premier League games. Aaron Cresswell has created more chances than any other defender (20) as well as more chances from set-plays (12) and could cause Leeds problems.

Prediction: Draw, BTTS.

Wolves v Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Form Guide LLWDL
Aston Villa Form Guide DLLDW
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium
  • Saturday 12 December 12:30
  • Referee: Mike Dean
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 11/8 D: 12/5 A: 27/11

About the Game:

Wolves have won four and drawn two of their last seven games losing just once and will fancy their chances against a Villa side that has lost four of their last five fixtures. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side did a double against their Midlands rivals the last term. They lost Liverpool 4 – 0 in their previous game. The absence of Raul Jimenez (who suffered a fractured skull in their win against Arsenal) has left Wolves short up-front, and the team seemed afraid to shoot against the champions. The Mexican has since been discharged from the hospital with the player vowing to be “back soon”, but no date is set for his return. A bigger worry would be the misfiring form of Adama Traore still hunting his first goal involvement of the season.

Aston Villa fans took great delight in their West Midland rivals 4-0 defeat at the hands of Liverpool, a team that Villa famously hammered 7-2 earlier in the season. They should, however, perhaps be more concerned about the current form of the side their side who have suffered defeat four times in the last five games. Despite this run, Dean Smith’s side has been positive in this period, scoring eight goals and had yet another memorable 3 – 0 win against Arsenal. The backline has been their weakness leaking 11 goals with four coming in the first hour against Southampton at home. They will be hoping the forced rest, due to their game against Newcastle being cancelled, gave them enough time to reflect on their recent 2 – 1 loss to West Ham. Villa attacking mindset has been their downfall, but it’s unlikely they will change from it. Especially as they are coming against another attacking side, raising the prospects of goals in this game.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

Newcastle United v West Brom
Newcastle United Form Guide LDWWD
West Bromwich Albion Form Guide LLLDD
  • Venue: St James Stadium
  • Saturday 12 December 15:00
  • Referee: Darren England
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 13/10 D: 40/17 A: 13/5

About the Game:

Newcastle has been in inconsistent form this season but secured a 2 – 0 win against Crystal Palace (who beat West Brom 5 – 1) in their previous game. Callum Wilson and Joelinton were on target late in the game with Steve Bruce recognising former Bournemouth forward Wilson for his influence on the side netting his seventh of the season. They had a period of inactivity after a Coronavirus scare that even saw their training ground closed. This rest could prove handy in a busy December period. The coordination of the two strikers up front is their best weapon with the quality of Almiron behind them a major factor in their chances, especially with the side looking well balanced and solid in their midfield and defence. The Magpies could be without several players with the situation around Co-vid infections unclear.

West Brom was thumped hard by Crystal Palace in their last game. They started positively with their wonder boy Conor Gallagher showing the quality that could be pivotal for them going forward. He was a nuisance for Palace defence throughout the game, even scoring the equaliser after going behind through Darnell Furlong’s own goal. They, however, collapsed in the second half and were reduced to ten men.

They have shown promise, being competitive in narrow losses to Manchester United and Tottenham as well as drawing against Chelsea. They beat Sheffield United 1 – 0 recently to claim their first league win and currently sit in 19th on six points. If they face a depleted Newcastle, they could grab a surprise point here.

Prediction: Newcastle win.

Everton v Chelsea
Everton Form Guide DWDDL
Chelsea Form Guide LDLDW
  • Venue: Goodison Park
  • Saturday 12 December 20:00
  • Referee: Jonathan Moss
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 39/10 D: 31/10 A: 16/19

About the Game:

Everton has lost four of the last six games, in stark contrast to their impressive start of the season when they won their first four consecutive games. Their only win in this recent run was against Fulham earning just five points in the last seven games. A series of injuries and suspension has hit the Merseyside blues hard. With the most recent one to Fabian Delph who sustained a hamstring injury in their 1 – 1 draw last time out against Burnley. Seamus Coleman and Luca Digne have provided great value from the wingback but are both unavailable. Dominic Calvert-Lewin was on target in the game against Burnley and will be Everton’s main threat against the Blues. Richarlison also looks a player in form; he provided the assist for Calvert-Lewin in the last game.

Chelsea had a relaxing midweek with manager Frank Lampard making ten changes after already winning their Champions’ League group. The ability to rest players could be a big bonus for the Blues as we enter the busy festive season. Chelsea came from a goal down to beat Leeds 3 – 1 at Stamford Bridge, meaning they have collected 13 points from a possible 15 in the last five games. Their only defeat of the season came at the hands of Liverpool back in September. Their summer signings felt extravagant at the time and had a slow start together, but they are starting to click and have certainly boosted the club’s squad strength. They have not, however, had much success against the Merseyside club, losing two and drawing two of the last five games. They will be without Hakim Ziyech who has shown great promise, but they have more attacking options to fill the void.

Prediction: Over 2.5. BTTS

Southampton v Sheffield United
Southampton Form Guide WLWWD
Sheffield United Form Guide WDWLD
  • Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium
  • Sunday 13 December 12:00
  • Referee: Andy Madley
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 10/13 D: 56/19 A: 22/5

About the Game:

Southampton has a chance to continue their excellent run when they entertain bottom of the league Sheffield United. The Saints will be seeking a seventh win in ten games, scoring a late penalty to beat Brighton 2 – 1 at the Amex last time out. Danny Ings marked his return from injury converting from the spot for his sixth of the campaign and would be a big motivation for the side who have done exceptionally well without their best goal scorer. They are accustomed to fast starts having netted first in eight of the previous nine games. Everyone has turned up for the side with Theo Walcott showing glimpses of his teenage years that saw Arsenal sign for the youngster as well as the usefulness of Ward-Prowse from set-pieces. Southampton has scored exactly twice in each of the five Premier League home games, don’t be surprised to see this scoreline on Sunday.

Sheffield United are on a poor run. The Blades will be trying to avoid a 7th consecutive defeat, earning just a single point from a possible 33 so far this season. A positive from their loss to Leicester is their boldness in front of goal that has to has produced goals against sides such as Arsenal and Leicester City. Jamie Vardy punished them in a breakaway goal late in stoppage time in a match that looked to be a stalemate. Oli McBurnie netted for the bottom side who will have felt gutted with the 2-1 scoreline. Eight of the defeats they have suffered have come by way of just a single goal, including the last three losses. This resilience shows they have fight in them, and you expect it will be sooner rather than later that they have their efforts will be rewarded.

Prediction: Southampton narrow 2-1 win.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Crystal Palace Form Guide LLLLL
Tottenham Form Guide DWDWW
  • Venue: Selhurst Park
  • Sunday 13 December 14:15
  • Referee: Kevin Friend
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 4/1 D: 3/1 A: 4/5

About the Game:

A big 5-1 win for Crystal Palace over the weekend against West Brom will be a big boost coming to their game against the league leaders. Wilfred Zaha’s return has turned fortunes with the Ivorian netting a brace and being a positive influence in the side that looks way better with him in their ranks. Palace lost both their games against Burnley and Newcastle in the Ivorian’s absence after enjoying a big 4 – 1 win against Leeds before was sidelined. Christian Benteke scored a brace too as the Eagles took full advantage of ten men West Albion showing off their claws as a very collaborated attacking side. A side that was the lowest goal scorers last season, the transformation is so complete that it is not unfeasible that they will give the league leaders a run for their money.

Tottenham are unbeaten in the Premier League since the opening game, looking lethal on the counter-attack. They have, however, not been so impressive against the ‘lesser’ clubs in the league when they have to be on the front foot. Jose’s side has dropped points against West Ham and Newcastle claiming narrow wins against Brighton, Burnley, and West Brom. They perform better against the ‘big six’ claiming seven points in games against Manchester United, Manchester City, and Chelsea. Harry Kane got a landmark goal last time out in the 2-0 win against Arsenal, his goal, his eighth in the league and 250th of his career, made him the highest goal scorer in the North London derby with 11 goals. The England captain is on the form of his life, forming an incredible partnership with Heung-Min Son. Jose Mourinho’s side has slipped on this kind of banana before though and would need to bring their A-game at Selhurst Park to maintain their stay at the top of the table.

Prediction: Tottenham win, BTTS.

Fulham v Liverpool
Fulham Form Guide WDLDD
Liverpool Form Guide WWWLW
  • Venue: Craven Cottage
  • Sunday 13 December 16:30
  • Referee: Andre Marriner
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 17/2 D: 26/5 A: 7/19

About the Game:

Fulham avoided a severe beating against Manchester City last weekend, conceding two in the opening 26 minutes yet managing to hold out for the remainder of the game. That fact alone will give them hope of competing against the champions at home. Their performance recently suggests that they have a chance to avoid relegation, especially after beating Leicester City to move out of the relegation zone. Parker’s side could take advantage of the Reds having an eye of next Wednesday’s clash against Tottenham, meaning they could risk not playing a full-strength team against Fulham.

Liverpool are yet to score two goals on their travels but will certainly fancy ending this run against a team that has lost five of their last six home matches. Now Champions League action is over; the champions can concentrate on holding on to their title. In their last league game, they thrashed Wolves 4 – 0 with plenty of positives to take from the game. Goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher kept a clean sheet on his debut with Trent Alexander-Arnold returning from injury as well as Naby Keita. An area of concern is injuries, Liverpool has seven players ruled out for this clash.

Prediction: Liverpool win, under 2.5.

Arsenal v Burnley
Arsenal Form Guide LDDDW
Burnley Form Guide WWLWD
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium
  • Sunday 13 December 19:15
  • Referee: Graham Scott
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 3/5 D: 33/10 A: 29/5

About the Game:

The Gunners have never lost against Burnley (winning ten drawing two) winning the last nine consecutive home games and will be expecting this run continues. They are, however, a side that is quickly falling out with their often impatient fans. The Gunners failed to record a win in the entirety of last month as their top goal scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang struggling to get goals, managing just two in ten games. They lost the North London derby against Tottenham in the previous game, humbled by their neighbours 2 – 0 in a game they played well in periods but failed to crack open the steel defence.

Burnley are the joint-lowest scorers in the division with just five goals, collecting just six points from the opening ten fixtures. They are also one of five clubs in the Premier League that have this campaign failed to win away from home. In their last game, they had to settle for a 1-1 draw against Everton and took the lead thanks to Robbie Brady. They could have doubled the lead with Chris Wood failing to get the better of Jordan Pickford and were made to suffer after a Dominic Calvert-Lewin goal. For a side that played in the Europa League two seasons ago, they are now struggling in the red zone on relegation form. Could they take advantage of a nervous Arsenal?

Prediction: A draw for two struggling sides.

Leicester v Brighton
Leicester Form Guide DDWLL
Brighton Form Guide LWDLL
  • Venue: King Power
  • Sunday 13 December 19:15
  • Referee: Martin Atkinson
  • Quick Glance Odds H: 11/10 D: 13/5 A: 56/19

About the Game:

The Foxes have that extra firepower in their side when they need it, enjoying an iconic late win against Sheffield United which was the first win in five games in all competitions. A deserved win for the Foxes who played well for entire of the game, striking the post twice and creating chances easily which should build momentum coming into the weekend. Brendan Rodgers side has been more impressive on their travels with three of their four defeats coming at home. Leicester City is unbeaten in six meetings with Albion since they were promoted, winning four times. A strong finish is what the King Power faithful have been accustomed to, having scored the most goals in the final 15 minutes with their never say die spirit. 

Brighton slipped once more losing 2 – 1 at home to Southampton. They took the lead through Pascal Gross penalty, but Jan Vestergaard equalised, and Danny Ings converted from the penalty spot condemning them to a fifth defeat of the season. The difference in this game could be a lethal striker just as Leicester have Jamie Vardy. Brighton lacks a ruthless goal scorer who can be clinical in front of the goal. The Seagulls have been playing exceptionally well but have not been making the most of the chances they have been creating, and that could cost them coming against a very comfortable attacking side and well balanced in every aspect of their game. They need a win more than the host and having seen Fulham squeeze a win at this stadium; they could be motivated to get something out of this.

Prediction: Leicester win, over 2.5.

Combi bet of the day: Our Pick*

Game Event Odds Cumulative Odds
Leeds v West Ham Draw 27/10 3.70
Newcastle v West Brom Newcastle win 29/20 9.06
Chelsea v Everton Chelsea to win 1/2 15.41
Manchester United v Manchester City City to win 8/11 26.61
Arsenal v Burnley Draw 16/5 111.79

Place a  bet on this 5-fold accumulator at bet365

Bookie of the week: Our Pick

Bet365 are our bookie of the week. To find out everything you could want about bet365, you can read our bet365review.

* All our selections are provided for entertainment only and should only be used for informational purposes. Whilst we use our experience and knowledge to help inform you to make a considered bet, we are not responsible for any losses that may arise from actual results being different than predicted.

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Matchday 12

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